[Federal Register Volume 61, Number 13 (Friday, January 19, 1996)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 1442-1480]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 96-494]
[[Page 1441]]
_______________________________________________________________________
Part II
Environmental Protection Agency
_______________________________________________________________________
40 CFR Part 76
Acid Rain Program; Nitrogen Oxides Emission Reduction Program; Proposed
Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 61, No. 13 / Friday, January 19, 1996 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 1442]]
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 76
[AD-FRL-5400-2]
RIN 2060-AF48
Acid Rain Program; Nitrogen Oxides Emission Reduction Program
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule and notice of public hearing.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The proposed rule would implement the second phase of the
Nitrogen Oxides Reduction Provisions in Title IV of the Clean Air Act
(``the Act'') by establishing nitrogen oxides (NOX) emission
limitations for certain coal-fired utility units and revising NOX
emission limitations for others as specified in section 407(b)(2) of
the Act. The emission limitations will reduce the serious adverse
effects of NOX emissions on human health, visibility, ecosystems,
and materials.
DATES: Comments. Comments must be received on or before March 4, 1996.
Public Hearing. A public hearing will be held in Washington, DC on
February 8, 1996, beginning at 10:00 a.m. Persons interested in
presenting oral testimony must contact Peter Tsirigotis at EPA's Acid
Rain Division, telephone number (202) 233-9133, by February 2, 1996 to
verify arrangements.
ADDRESSES: Comments should be submitted (in duplicate, if possible) to:
Air Docket Section (A-131), Attention, Docket No. A-95-28, U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, 401 M Street, SW, Washington, DC
20460.
Public Hearing. The public hearing will be held at the
Environmental Protection Agency, 401 M Street, Washington D.C., in the
Education Center Auditorium.
Docket. Docket No. A-95-28, containing supporting information used
in developing the proposed rule, is available for public inspection and
copying between 8:30 a.m. and 3:30 p.m., Monday through Friday, at
EPA's Air Docket Section, Waterside Mall, Room 1500, 1st Floor, 401 M
Street, SW, Washington, DC 20460. A reasonable fee may be charged for
copying.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Peter Tsirigotis, at (202) 233-9133,
Source Assessment Branch, Acid Rain Division (6204J), U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, 401 M Street, Washington, DC 20460.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The information in this preamble is
organized as follows:
I. RULE BACKGROUND AND SUMMARY
A. Benefits of Reducing NOX Emissions
B. Cost-Effectiveness of this Regulatory Action
II. REVISION OF PHASE II, GROUP 1 BOILER NOX PERFORMANCE
STANDARDS
A. Statutory Provision
B. Methodology
C. Feasibility of Achieving Revised Phase I Performance
Standards
D. Adverse Effects of NOX and Benefits of Reduction
E. Revised Emission Limits for Group 1 Boilers
F. Compliance Date
G. Definition of Coal-Fired Utility Unit
III. CONTROL OF NOX EMISSIONS FROM GROUP 2 BOILERS
A. Description of Group 2 Boilers
B. NOX Control Technologies for Group 2 Boilers
C. Statutory Requirements
D. Methodology for Establishing Group 2 Emission Limitations
E. Characterization of Costs
F. Emission Limits for Group 2 Boilers
G. General Issues Raised
IV. REFERENCES
V. REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS
A. Executive Order 12291
B. Paperwork Reduction Act
C. Unfunded Mandates Act
D. Regulatory Flexibility Act
E. Miscellaneous
I. Rule Background and Summary
A. Benefits of Reducing NOX Emissions
The primary purpose of the Acid Rain NOX Emission Reduction
Program is to reduce the multiple adverse effects of the oxides of
nitrogen, a family of highly reactive gaseous compounds that contribute
to air and water pollution, by substantially reducing annual emissions
from coal-fired power plants. Since the passage of the 1970 Clean Air
Act, NOX has increased by about 7%; it is the only conventional
air pollutant to show an increase nationwide.
Electric utilities are a major contributor to NOX emissions
nationwide: in 1980, they accounted for 30 percent of the total
NOX emissions and, from 1980 to 1990, their contribution rose to
32 percent of total NOX emissions. Approximately 85 percent of
electric utility NOX comes from coal-fired plants.
The NOX emissions discharged into the atmosphere from the
burning of fossil fuels consist primarily of nitric oxide (NO). Much of
the NO, however, reacts quickly to form nitrogen dioxide (NO2)
and, over longer periods of time, is transformed into other pollutants,
including ozone and fine particles. These secondary pollutants are
harmful to public health and the environment.
NO2 and airborne nitrate also degrade visibility, and when
they return to the earth through rain or snow (``wet deposition'') or
as gases, fog, or particles (``dry deposition''), they contribute to
excessive nitrogen loadings to estuaries (``eutrophication''), such as
in the Chesapeake Bay, and acidification of lakes and streams.
NO2 has been documented to cause eye irritation, either by
itself or when oxidized photochemically into peroxyacetyl nitrate
(PAN). Ozone (O3), the most abundant of the photochemical
oxidants, is a highly reactive chemical compound which can have serious
adverse effects on human health, plants, animals, and materials. Fine
particles at current ambient levels contribute to morbidity and
mortality.
B. Cost-Effectiveness of this Regulatory Action
On April 13, 1995 EPA promulgated the Acid Rain NOX rule
setting emission limits for all Phase I and Phase II dry bottom wall-
fired and tangentially fired boilers (Group 1) in the U.S. that combust
coal as a primary fuel. The regulation is expected, by the year 2000,
to nationally reduce NOX emissions by an estimated 1.54 million
tons per year. The total annual cost of this regulation to the electric
utility industry is estimated at 321 million dollars, resulting in an
overall cost-effectiveness of 208 dollars per ton of NOX removed.
The nationwide cost impact on electricity consumers is an average
increase in electricity rates of approximately 0.21 percent (EPA's
Regulatory Impact Analysis, docket item II-F-2 ).
The proposal would set lower Group 1 emission limits and establish
emission limits for several other types of coal-fired boilers (i.e.,
cyclones, cell burners, wet bottoms, vertically fired, and fluidized
bed combustors) for Phase II. The proposal would, by the year 2000,
achieve an additional reduction of 820,000 tons of NOX annually.
The annual cost for these additional reductions would be approximately
143 million dollars, at an average cost-effectiveness of 172 dollars
per ton of NOX removed. The nationwide impact on electricity rates
of this proposal is an average increase of approximately 0.07 percent,
significantly lower than the impacts resulting from the April 13, 1995
rule (see EPA's Regulatory Impact Analysis, docket item II-F-2).
This rule, when promulgated, must meet statutory criteria which
relate to cost and performance of existing installations of low
NOX burner technology (LNBT) and to estimates of cost and
performance of future
[[Page 1443]]
installations of a variety of NOX control technologies. At this
time there remain significant uncertainties regarding this information
and the best approaches for analyzing it. The information collected to
date is incomplete. Resolving these issues is one of the purposes of
soliciting public comments on this proposed rule. Information received
in the course of this rulemaking may show that no change in the
standard for tangentially fired and dry bottom wall-fired boilers may
be appropriate and that no standard for cyclones may be justifiable
under the statutory criteria.
II. Revision of Phase II, Group 1 Boiler NOX Performance
Standards
A. Statutory Provision
Section 407(b)(2) provides that:
Not later than January 1, 1997, the Administrator may revise the
applicable emission limitations for tangentially fired and dry
bottom, wall-fired boilers (other than cell burners) to be more
stringent if the Administrator determines that more effective low
NOX burner technology is available: Provided, That, no unit
that is an affected unit pursuant to section 404 and that is subject
to the requirements of [section 407] (b)(1), shall be subject to the
revised emission limitations, if any. 42 U.S.C. 76516(b)(2).
Under this provision, the Administrator may revise the applicable
NOX emission limitations for Group 1 boilers to be more stringent
if available data on the effectiveness of low NOX burner
technology shows that more stringent limitations can be achieved using
such technology. Any revised emission limitations will apply only to
Group 1 boilers that first become subject to NOX emission
limitations on or after January 1, 2000. Units with Group 1 boilers
that are subject to both SO2 and NOX emission limitations in
Phase I of the Acid Rain Program are entirely exempted from any revised
emission limitations. ``Early-election units,'' i.e., units with Group
1 boilers that are not subject to SO2 emission limitations until
Phase II but that have voluntarily become subject to the NOX
emission limitations by January 1, 1997 and demonstrate compliance with
these limitations throughout the rest of Phase I and during the period
2000-2007 are grandfathered from any revised limits until January 1,
2008, at which time any revisions will apply. 40 CFR 76.8.
Section II.B of the preamble summarizes the methodology the Agency
has used to evaluate the effectiveness of low NOX burner
technology applied to Group 1 boilers. Preamble Section II.C provides
estimates of the emission limitations (in lb/mmBtu) that a substantial
majority of units subject to any revised emission limitations can be
expected to achieve on an annual average basis. (The revised emission
limitations will hereafter be referred to as ``the Phase II, Group 1''
or ``revised Group 1'' emission limitations.) As with units subject to
the NOX emission limitations in Phase I, the designated
representative of a unit that is subject to the Phase II, Group 1
emission limitations and cannot meet the applicable emission limitation
using low NOX burner technology may seek to participate in a
NOX averaging plan with other units with the same owner or
operator or may petition for a less stringent alternative emission
limitation. The Technical Support Document, filed in Air Docket A-95-28
as item number II-A-9, contains a comprehensive description of the
methodology and results of the Agency's evaluation of the effectiveness
of Group 1 low NOX burner technology.
Preamble Section II.D addresses the benefits of reducing NOX
emissions. Finally, Section II.E concludes, based on the performance of
low NOX burners (LNBs) on Group 1 boilers and the benefits and
relative cost of reducing NOX by revising the Group 1 emission
limitations, that revised emission limitations should be adopted.
Section II.F addresses the compliance date for meeting the revised
limitations, an issue raised by the regulated utility industry.
B. Methodology
1. EPA's LNB Application Database
The Agency has developed a computerized database containing
detailed information on the characteristics and emission rates of coal-
fired units with Group 1 boilers on which low NOX burners (LNBs)
have been installed without any other NOX controls. The Department
of Energy (DOE) and Utility Air Regulatory Group (UARG), a major
industry association representing utility owners and operators, have
assisted EPA in identifying known applications of LNBs on Group 1
boilers.
EPA considered the option of including units on which LNBs have
been installed in combination with separated overfire air or other
NOX controls. EPA rejected this approach primarily because, in
many instances, the control technology vendor designed the combined
system, not the LNB component alone, to achieve the emission
performance standard. EPA also decided to exclude units on which LNBs
were installed before November 15, 1990, the date of enactment of the
Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990. Presumably, Congress was aware of
such LNB installations when it set the emission limitations in section
407 (b)(1); but the task here is to determine whether those limitations
should be revised because of the availability of more effective LNB, as
reflected in the performance of subsequent LNB installations.
The second criterion EPA used in selecting units for evaluating the
effectiveness of Group 1 LNB technology was the availability of post-
retrofit hourly emission rate data, measured by continuous emission
monitoring systems (CEMS), certified pursuant to 40 CFR part 75 (Acid
Rain Continuous Emission Monitoring Rule.) The only source of such
emission rate data has been the Acid Rain Emission Tracking System
(ETS), a computerized information system containing the quarterly
emissions reports submitted electronically by utilities under the Acid
Rain Program. For Phase I units, ETS provided hourly CEMS data on
NOX emission rates for four quarters of 1994 and the first two
quarters of 1995. In most instances, for Phase II units, ETS provided
CEMS data for the first two quarters of 1995, only. EPA solicits
comment on the appropriateness of using performance data collected by
means other than CEMS operated pursuant to 40 CFR part 75.
Using these selection criteria, EPA has compiled a database of
coal-fired units with Group 1 boilers, with LNB installations after
November 15, 1990, and for which post-retrofit hourly CEMS emission
rate data are available. This database presently consists of 24 dry
bottom wall-fired boilers (22 Phase I units, 2 Phase II units) and 9
tangentially fired boilers (6 Phase I units, 3 Phase II units). This
data set, called the ``EPA LNB Application Database,'' forms the
technical basis for EPA's evaluation of the effectiveness (percent
NOX removal) of low NOX burner technology for Group 1
boilers. EPA plans to continue this analysis as LNBs are installed on
more Phase II units and as additional quarters of hourly CEMS data from
ETS become available. Additional quarters of ETS CEMS data would be
expected to increase the size of this data set considerably since they
would include post-retrofit emission rate data for LNB installations
performed during summer and fall, 1995.
The EPA LNB Application Database contains the following information
for each boiler: nameplate capacity; firing type; pre-retrofit NOX
emission rate; source of pre-retrofit emission rate data; date of
boiler shutdown for LNB installation; date boiler resumed normal
operations after LNB installation, shakedown, and optimization; hourly
[[Page 1444]]
CEMS data from ETS for post-retrofit NOX emission rates; and
hourly data from ETS for boiler operating time and load. EPA contacted
utilities to verify the date of boiler shutdown for LNB installation
and the date the boiler resumed normal operations after post-retrofit
optimization whenever these dates could not be readily ascertained from
the hourly CEMS data and other information submitted by utilities to
EPA. The Agency solicits comment on what other data would be necessary
when assessing whether LNBs are operated in a low-NOX mode during
a certain time period (e.g., percent combustion air introduced through
close-coupled overfire air ports in tangentially fired boiler LNB
retrofits).
2. Determination of Achievable Annual Emission Limitations
Because the Acid Rain Phase I NOX Emission Reduction Program
goes into effect on January 1, 1996, units in the EPA LNB Application
Database have not been required to meet the Phase I NOX emission
rate standards in either 1994 or 1995. For every LNB retrofit there is
a period of time, immediately following the retrofit, during which
operators learn to operate the new equipment safely and in accordance
with the manufacturer's specifications. The operators then learn to
optimize NOX emissions reduction according to each utility's
compliance strategy. Performance of LNBs before optimization likely
overstates or understates the NOX reduction achievable by the
LNBs. Additionally, continued operation of LNBs to minimize NOX
emissions increases the operation and maintenance (O & M) costs of each
LNB retrofit after optimization. Therefore, even though LNB controls
are installed, the units may not be operated, throughout the entire
post-retrofit period, to sustain the NOX emission reductions the
controls were designed to achieve since this would increase O & M costs
when the NOX reductions are not yet required.
As discussed in EPA's Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA), plants
incur both fixed and variable O & M costs when operating LNBs to lower
NOX emissions in order to meet the NOX emission limits. The
RIA assumes an annual maintenance cost increase of 1.5% of the
installed capital cost of the LNB equipment for both dry bottom wall-
fired and tangentially fired boilers and a variable cost of 0.04 mills/
kWh for dry bottom wall-fired boilers. While the incremental O & M
costs given in the RIA are estimated with respect to boiler O & M costs
prior to the technology retrofit. The sources of these incremental
costs (auxiliary fan power consumption, increased difficulty of
maintaining steam temperatures over the load range at reduced excess
air levels, higher maintenance demands), suggest that the absence of a
requirement to limit NOX emissions may result in operational
changes and higher NOX emissions. Thus, the average NOX
emission rate over the post-retrofit pre-compliance period may not be
representative of achievable LNB performance under actual compliance
conditions. On the other hand, it is reasonable to expect that
utilities operated their newly installed NOX controls for some
period of time following optimization of the equipment to simulate
compliance conditions, perhaps as a dry run or for training purposes.
It is intuitive that NOX reduction techniques which, by their
nature, create potentially damaging chemical environments inside
boilers and reduce overall plant efficiency when pushed to the highest
levels of NOX reduction performance, could be tested for several
weeks at levels which are not sustainable for longer periods of time.
According to certain utilities, there is anecdotal evidence that
initial performance levels for LNBs cannot be maintained indefinitely
on some boilers.\1\,\2\
\1\ It was reported that three tangentially fired boilers at
Duke Power Company's Allen plant could not maintain design
efficiency at full load, while meeting the existing standard of 0.45
lbNOX/mmBtu. Plant engineers are currently attemping to resolve
the problem with a slagging additive. E-mail communication from
Robert McMurray, Duke Power, to Doug Carter, USDOE, 11/7/95.
\2\ Southern Company reports that two of its Georgia Power
Company, McDonough plant tangentially fired units cannot meet their
NOX performance and plant performance guarantees at the same
time. Telecommunication between Rob Hardman, Southern Company
Services, and Doug Carter, USDOE, 11/3/95.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In publications and in past rulemakings, DOE and industry have
addressed what time period is sufficient for determining an achievable
emission limit for a NOX control technology over the long-term.
For example industry has stated ``that acceptable results [of long-term
performance] can be achieved with data sets of at least 51 days with
each day containing at least 18 valid hourly averages'' (see docket
items II-I-99, Advanced Tangentially-Fired Combustion Techniques for
the Reduction of Nitrogen Oxide (NOX) Emissions from Coal-Fired
Boilers; and II-I-100, Demonstration of Advanced Wall-Fired Combustion
Modifications for the Reduction of Nitrogen Oxide (NOX) Emissions
from Coal-Fired Boilers).
EPA has adopted the 52-day framework for evaluating the
effectiveness of Group 1 LNB technology. The first objective was to
identify the lowest average NOX emission rate each boiler has
sustained for at least 52 days, i.e., over a period of 1248 hours
during the post-retrofit period when the boiler was operating and valid
CEMS data was available. (Such a 1248 hour operating period is
generally longer than 52 calendar days since hours during which the
boiler did not operate, or operated for only part of the hour are
ignored, as are hours for which valid CEM data was not available.) This
period, referred to as the ``low NOX period,'' is assumed to
simulate boiler operations under compliance conditions. The next
objective was to determine whether the distribution of operating
conditions (e.g., load and excess air) during the low NOX period
is representative of actual boiler operating conditions throughout a
year. For each boiler in the database, EPA has developed histograms of
hourly average NOX emission rates as a function of load for the
low NOX period and boiler operating load patterns throughout 1994
(see docket item II-A-9). If the operating conditions in the low
NOX period are representative, EPA assumes the boiler can achieve
an annual average NOX emission rate equal to the average emission
rate recorded for the period. EPA used these histograms to estimate
``load weighted annual NOX emission rates'' based on weighted
averages of the average emission rate during the low NOX period
for each operating load level (or ``load bin'') times the number of
hours during 1994 the boiler operated within each load bin.
Some utility commenters have expressed the concern that by not
using all the recorded post-retrofit CEM data EPA is not accurately
assessing the long-term performance capabilities of LNBs. These
commenters believe that all CEM data collected after a fixed shakedown
period (30 to 90 days) for equipment optimization and operator
training, which is applied universally to all installations, should be
used for this assessment. To address this concern, EPA analyzed the CEM
data for 2 time periods: (1) a time period that would begin 30 days
after LNB installation and include all the post-retrofit data, referred
to as the ``post-retrofit period,'' and (2) a time period beginning
with the first day of the low NOX period and continuing beyond 52
days to include all available CEM data throughout the
[[Page 1445]]
entire post-retrofit period, referred to as the ``post-optimization
period.''
One of the primary advantages of using the low NOX period or
the post-optimization period, as defined above, for assessing
performance capabilities of LNBs applied to Group 1 boilers is that
they explicitly recognize the site-specific nature of the LNB equipment
optimization and operator training processes. For some units, both the
shakedown of the technology retrofit and operator training proceed
smoothly and can be completed within 30 or 60 calendar days. Whereas
for other units, particularly units combusting a range of coals and or
cycling through load pattern shifts, these processes can take much
longer. EPA finds that for dry bottom wall-fired boilers in the
database, the beginning of the low NOX period generally occurs
between 2 and 5 months after completion of the LNB retrofit. Not as
much variation is seen among the tangentially fired boilers, although
only 3 such boilers in the database have more than one quarter of post-
retrofit CEM data available.
Utility commenters have also expressed the concern that NOX
emission rate data taken before the Phase I compliance period for Acid
Rain SO2 emission limitations, which began January 1, 1995, may
not represent ``normal operating conditions.'' Specifically, in some
instances, 1994 Phase I data may not represent the current range of
coal quality characteristics being combusted by affected boilers. LNB
installations and vendor guarantees are typically tied to operating
within a specific range of coals. Moreover, EPA has learned of at least
two Phase I boilers which experienced significant increases in NOX
emissions when switching to coal for SO2 compliance purposes.
Other units at the Joppa steam plant, for example, experienced
significantly lower NOX emissions, after switching from eastern
bituminous to Powder River Basin coal. These units were dropped from
the database for the purposes of assessing LNB performance because the
measured percent reduction in NOX emissions reflects the combined
effects of the control technology retrofit and the switch to a more
reactive subbituminous coal.
To address these concerns, for each boiler in the database where
the 52-day low NOX period began in 1994, EPA has identified a 52-
day low NOX period for 1995 and compared the average NOX
emission rates for the two periods (see docket item II-A-9). Where
these analyses show a noticeable change occurred in NOX emissions
after the beginning of the Phase I SO2 compliance period, EPA
intends to investigate whether switching to low sulfur coal for
SO2 control or whether other operational parameters might explain
the difference in LNB performance. Further, EPA solicits comments from
the utilities documenting the specific circumstances where the
characteristics of coal quality and operating parameters have impacted
NOX emissions.
Also in the Group 1 technical support document (docket item II-A-
9), EPA has developed and compared average NOX emissions rates for
the following: low NOX period, low NOX period in 1995, post-
optimization period, overall post-retrofit period, and the load-
weighted annual average NOX emission rate. The document contains
statistical tests of significance on the absolute values of the
differences between these alternative ways of estimating the average
achievable NOX emission rate over the long-term. The next section
of the preamble summarizes and discusses these comparisons.
EPA has used two complementary analyses to estimate annual average
emission rates that can be sustained by LNBs installed on Phase II
units with Group 1 boilers and to develop percentile distributions of
Phase II units that can comply with various performance standards more
stringent than the Phase I standards. The two analyses are described
briefly below:
(1) Analysis 1 analyzes actual average emission rates, as
measured by CEMS data, achieved by LNBs applied to Phase I units in
Phase I and a few Phase II units to calculate the percent reduction
achievable by LNBs as a function of uncontrolled emission rate; and
(2) Analysis 2 applies the percent NOX reduction derived in
Analysis 1 to boiler-specific uncontrolled emission rates for the
population of units that will be subject to any revised NOX
emission limitations in Phase II in order to determine achievable
emission rates for the Phase II, Group 1 population.
The straightforwardness of the retrofit CEMS data analysis
(Analysis 1) is appealing in that it reflects actual boiler operating
experience. On the other hand, to the extent the Phase I population of
boilers is more difficult to retrofit and has higher baseline emission
rates and a greater proportion of tight, high furnace temperature
boilers than the Phase II population, emission rates based solely on
the retrofit CEMS data analysis will understate the achievable annual
emission limitations. Analysis 2, which uses a regression model applied
to the CEMS data to estimate the percent reduction as a function of
uncontrolled emission rates, captures differences in the two
populations of boilers.
Utilities complying with Group 1, Phase I reductions for
tangentially fired boilers had a spectrum of technologies to choose
from in addition to LNBs and some, perhaps due to other NOX
requirements such as title I of the Act, chose to go beyond LNBs in
their technology choice. As a result, DOE believes there is the
possibility that those units installing LNB were in some way different
from tangentially fired boilers in general and, therefore, existing LNB
installations may not be representative of how well LNBs will perform
on Phase II tangentially fired boilers. EPA seeks comment regarding the
representativeness of LNB installations.
Similarly, EPA is aware of no tangentially fired boiler with
uncontrolled NOX emissions exceeding 0.67 lb/mmBtu, which has been
retrofit with LNB. DOE believes that about one-fourth of the Phase II
tangentially fired boiler capacity exceeds this level of uncontrolled
emissions. EPA seeks comment on the ability of LNBs to meet the
proposed standards on boilers with uncontrolled NOX emissions
exceeding 0.67 lb/mmBtu, and requests any additional data which relates
to this issue.
C. Feasibility of Achieving Revised Phase I Performance Standards
1. Assessment Using Retrofit CEMS Data Analysis
Table 1 presents summary statistics on all known retrofit
applications of LNBs to Group 1 boilers, where LNB installation
occurred after November 15, 1990 and for which long-term post-retrofit
hourly CEMS emission rate data are available. The term ``baseline
NOX rate'' refers to the emission rate as of November 15, 1990 and
represents short-term uncontrolled NOX emissions.
[[Page 1446]]
Table 1.--Summary of the Known LNB Applications on Group 1 Boilers With CEMS Data Available
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low NOX period
No. of units Boiler size (MWe) Baseline NOX rate NOX rate (lb/
(lb/mmBtu) mmBtu)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wall-Fired Boilers
Phase I:
Mean................................. 22 270.6 0.908 0.418
Range................................ 22 100.0-816.3 0.570-1.340 0.319-0.484
Phase II:
Mean................................. 2 267.4 0.757 0.354
Range................................ 2 254.3-280.5 0.513-1.000 0.262-0.445
Phase I & II:
Mean................................. 24 270.3 0.896 0.413
Range................................ 24 100.0-816.3 0.513-1.340 0.262-0.484
Tangentially Fired Boilers
Phase I:
Mean................................. 6 230.3 0.653 0.365
Range................................ 6 125.0-324.0 0.630-0.665 0.346-0.387
Phase II:................................
Mean................................. 3 80.5
80.0-81.6 0.514
0.478-0.587 0.325
0.304-0.363
Phase I & II:
Mean................................. 9 180.4 0.607 0.352
Range................................ 9 80.0-324.0 0.478-0.665 0.304-0.387
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tables 2 and 3 present detailed data on the 24 dry bottom wall-
fired LNB installations and the 9 tangentially fired LNB installations,
respectively. Table 2 does not include data for LNB installations that
occurred before the cutoff date of November 15, 1990 since these
installations occurred prior to the passage of the Act. Table 3 does
not include installations at the Joppa Steam plant (owned by Electric
Energy Inc.) since these units switched to Powder River Basin coal, nor
does it include installations at Lansing Smith, unit 2, (owned by Gulf
Power Co.) and Albright, unit 3 (owned by Monongahela Power Co.) since
EPA is unsure when during the post-retrofit period these units operated
with LNBs without separated overfire air. If EPA is provided
information during the comment period about when these latter two units
operated with LNBs only, EPA will add them to the database, provided
sufficient valid data is available.
EPA recognizes that the amount of compliance NOX data will be
increasing beginning January 1, 1996 as the Phase I units start
compliance reporting. EPA will carefully consider the first quarter
1996 data--subject to its timely receipt and required processing by
EPA--in preparing the final NOX rule for the Phase II units and
the Group 2 units. Therefore, it is important for quarterly 1996
emission reports to be accurate and timely submitted.
Table 2.--Known LNB Applications on Wall-Fired Boilers With CEMS Data Available
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low NOX
LNB Baseline period NOX
Phase State Utility Plant Boiler ID Size (MWe) retrofit NOX rate rate (lb/
date (lb/mmBtu) mmBtu)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1..... AL Alabama Power Co........... E. C. Gaston.......... 1 272.0 11/30/94 0.900 0.394
1..... AL Alabama Power Co........... E. C. Gaston.......... 2 272.0 04/07/92 .780 .394
1..... AL Alabama Power Co........... E. C. Gaston.......... 3 272.0 05/23/93 .800 .408
1..... AL Alabama Power Co........... E. C. Gaston.......... 4 244.8 05/21/94 .800 .408
1..... KY Big Rivers Electric Corp... Coleman............... C1 174.3 02/07/94 1.340 .436
1..... KY East Kentucky Power Coop Cooper................ 1 100.0 03/01/94 .900 .419
Inc.
1..... KY East Kentucky Power Coop Cooper................ 2 220.9 12/31/94 .900 .419
Inc.
1..... KY East Kentucky Power Coop HL Spurlock........... 1 305.2 04/08/93 .900 .402
Inc.
1..... FL Gulf Power Co.............. Crist................. 6 369.8 05/29/94 1.040 .462
1..... FL Gulf Power Co.............. Crist................. 7 578.0 01/02/94 1.160 .484
1..... IN Hoosier Energy REC Inc..... Frank E Ratts......... 1SG1 116.6 10/01/94 1.068 .469
1..... IN Hoosier Energy REC Inc..... Frank E Ratts......... 2SG1 116.6 07/01/94 1.090 .430
1..... KY Kentucky Utilities Co...... EW Brown.............. 1 113.6 06/16/93 1.000 .466
1..... WV Ohio Power Co.............. Mitchell.............. 1 816.3 02/01/94 .767 .455
1..... WV Ohio Power Co.............. Mitchell.............. 2 816.3 01/01/94 .767 .455
1..... PA Pennsylvania Electric Co... Shawville............. 1 125.0 12/25/93 .990 .438
1..... IN Southern Indiana Gas & Elec F B Culley............ 2 103.7 05/20/94 1.050 .348
Co.
1..... AL Tennessee Valley Authority. Colbert............... 1 200.0 05/15/94 .800 .397
1..... AL Tennessee Valley Authority. Colbert............... 2 200.0 05/15/94 .670 .397
1..... AL Tennessee Valley Authority. Colbert............... 3 200.0 12/24/91 .830 .397
1..... AL Tennessee Valley Authority. Colbert............... 4 200.0 05/15/94 .860 .397
1..... WI Wisconsin Public service Pulliam............... 8 136.0 05/15/94 .568 .319
Corp.
2..... IL Central Illinois Light Co.. Ed Edwards............ 2 280.5 01/01/93 1.000 .445
2..... NV Sierra Pacific Power Co.... North Valmy........... 1 254.3 06/01/94 .513 .262
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 1447]]
Table 3.--Known LNB Applications on Tangentially Fired Boilers With CEMS Data Available
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low NOX
LNB Baseline period NOX
Phase State Utility Plant Boiler ID Size (MWe) retrofit NOX rate rate (lb/
date (lb/mmBtu) mmBtu)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1..... GA Georgia Power Company........ McDonough, J............ 1 245.0 6/5/95 0.657 0.346
1..... GA Georgia Power Company........ McDonough, J............ 2 245.0 12/16/94 .657 .346
1..... GA Georgia Power Company........ Yates................... 4 125.0 4/1/95 .630 .387
1..... GA Georgia Power Company........ Yates................... 5 125.0 11/26/94 .650 .387
2..... NY Niagara Mohawk Power Corp.... Dunkirk................. 1 80.0 2/1/95 .478 .308
2..... NY Niagara Mohawk Power Corp.... Dunkirk................. 2 80.0 1/1/95 .478 .308
2..... NY Rochester Gas & Electric Corp Rochester 7............. 4 81.6 3/31/95 .587 .363
1..... WI Wisconsin Electric Power Co.. Oak Creek............... 7 317.6 7/15/94 .661 .362
1..... WI Wisconsin Electric Power Co.. Oak Creek............... 8 324.0 4/16/95 .665 .362
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Units in the same plant that have identical low NOX period
emission rates share a common stack. Under the Acid Rain CEMS Rule,
emissions discharged by units sharing a common stack may be monitored
by either a single monitor located in the stack or separate monitors
located in ducts going from the units to the stack. Similarly, units
sharing a common stack frequently have the same baseline NOX rate.
Virtually all of the baseline NOX rates in Tables 2 and 3 come
from utility-reported data provided to EPA on the Acid Rain Cost Form
for NOX Control Costs for Group 1, Phase I Boilers. Utilities used
a CEMS or an EPA Reference Method for measuring these emissions data.
The remaining baseline NOX rates come from CEMS data reported
in monitor certification review (CREV) tests (see docket item II-A-9).
These latter data represent average NOX emission rates calculated
from 9 test runs comprising the most recent relative accuracy test
audit (RATA). Each RATA test run contains about 25 minutes of CEMS
data.
Tables 4 and 5 summarize comparisons of post-retrofit average
NOX emission rates computed using alternative bases: low NOX
period, post-optimization period, low NOX period in 1995, and
overall post-retrofit period following a fixed 30-day start-up period.
EPA solicits comment on the relative merits of these alternative bases
for determining the performance of low NOX burners and in
particular, the use of a fixed 30-day, 60-day, or 90-day start-up
period, universally applied, or some other approach that reflects
stabilization of the NOX control equipment, and how to determine
the proper period using the reported hourly emissions data. Summaries
of these data are provided below.
Table 4.--Dry Bottom Wall-Fired Boilers
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low NOX period Post- Low NOX period Overall post-
Comparison of average emission rates (1994-1995 optimization (1995 data retrofit
data) period only) period
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Phase I boilers................................. 0.418 0.436 0.437 0.455
Phase II boilers................................ .354 .368 .354 .385
Phase I & II boilers............................ .413 .430 .429 .449
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table 5.--Tangentially Fired Boilers
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low NOX period Post- Low NOX period Overall post-
Comparison of average emission rates (1994-1995 optimization (1995 data retrofit
data) period only) period
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Phase I boilers................................. 0.365 0.373 0.365 0.375
Phase II boilers................................ .325 .327 .325 .334
Phase I & II boilers............................ .352 .358 .352 .361
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For each boiler used in the retrofit CEMS data analysis, EPA has
identified the low NOX periods for both 1994 and 1995 as well as
examined a plot of daily average NOX emission rates over the
entire post-optimization period. Where these analyses show a noticeable
change occurred in NOX emissions after the beginning of the Phase
I compliance period, EPA will investigate whether switching to low
sulfur coal for SO2 control or whether other operational
parameters might explain the difference in LNB performance. EPA has
examined the relationship between the low NOX period and the post-
optimization period. The average NOX emission rates for wall-fired
boilers for the low NOX period are lower than the post-
optimization period. (No difference is observed for tangentially fired
boilers because these two time periods are essentially equivalent in
length.) Since the Phase I NOX Emission Reduction Program is not
in effect until January 1, 1996, even though LNBs are installed, the
units may not be operated to optimize NOX emissions throughout the
entire post-retrofit period since O&M costs increase when operating
LNBs to minimize NOX emissions. In addition, a literature review
indicates that through operational optimization NOX emissions can
be reduced by 10-20%. The existing wall-fired installations of LNBs do
show a difference in NOX reductions, depending on the portion of
the post-retrofit data considered. The performance of these units, and
[[Page 1448]]
therefore the data analysis period, is key to deciding whether the
statutory test of ``more effective'' LNBs have been demonstrated.
Hence, comment is solicited on defining the best approach to evaluating
this post-retrofit data. At this time, EPA has made no final decision
on the length of data analysis period.
Recent publications and comments from utility industry
representatives indicate that there is concern that 52-day periods (low
NOX periods) may not adequately capture annual dispatch patterns
and seasonal variations in demand for electrical power generation. EPA
therefore has developed estimates of ``load-weighted annual NOX
emission rates'' based on weighted averages of the average emission
rate during the low NOX period for each load bin times the number
of hours during 1994 the boiler operated within each load bin. As
summarized below, in less than half of the comparisons, the load-
weighted annual NOX emission rate is no more than 10% above the
low NOX period rate and in the remaining is at or below the low
NOX period rate.
Table 6.--Comparison of Average NOX Emission Rates
[Dry bottom wall-fired boilers]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Load-
weighted
Low NOX annual NOX
period emission
rate
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Phase I boilers................................. 0.418 0.409
Phase II boilers................................ .354 .355
Phase I & II boilers............................ .413 .405
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table 7.--Comparison of Average NOX Emission Rates
[Tangentially fired boilers]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Load-
weighted
Low NOX annual NOX
period emission
rates
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Phase I boilers................................. 0.365 0.325
Phase II boiler................................. .325 .330
Phase I & II boilers............................ .352 .327
------------------------------------------------------------------------
EPA believes the load-weighted annual NOX rate estimates
address the concern over the adequacy of using 52-day periods. The data
show that the annual emission rate projected over the actual dispatch
pattern of 1994, results in approximately the same emission rate as the
low NOX period identified during the post-retrofit timeframe. EPA
compared the dispatch patterns over the low NOX period with the
actual 1994 annual dispatch pattern and found them to be similar for
most boilers. This indicates that the low NOX period dispatch
patterns were representative. Additionally, a strong generic
relationship between NOX and load was not found (see docket item
II-A-9). Moreover, the ``52-day periods'' generally span more than two
calendar months; they represent NOX emission rates averaged over
1248 sequential hours during which the boiler was operating and valid
CEMS measurements were reported. Hours for which a valid NOX
emission rate measurement is not available (e.g., hours for which
substitute data was used for the NOX emission rate), the unit was
not operating, or the unit operated for only part of the hour are not
included. Valid CEMS NOX emission data after such a gap were moved
forward and linked to the 52-day low NOX data chain until there
are 1248 hours of NOX hourly data. The Technical Support Document
contains information on the beginning and end of each of the 52-day low
NOX periods as well as the other bases used for estimating post-
retrofit average NOX emission rates.
EPA has tabulated the percentage of time each boiler's daily
average NOX emission rate, during the low NOX period, was
less than or equal to alternative performance standards more stringent
than the existing Group 1 NOX emission limitations. Consistent
with the definition of 52-day periods and with the missing data
substitution algorithms in the Acid Rain CEMS Rule, a ``daily'' average
is defined as the average of a sequential (but not necessarily
continuous) set of 24 hours of valid NOX emission rate
measurements excluding missing data results. Tables 8 and 9 show the
percentile distributions of Group 1 boilers, by type. EPA estimated the
percentage of units in the Group 1 boiler data set that during their
low NOX period in 1994 or 1995, would have complied with various
alternative performance standards more stringent than the existing
Group 1 NOX emission limitations.
Table 8.--Dry Bottom Wall-Fired Boilers
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
% of Boilers Less Than or Equal to Standard for Low NOX Period
Average
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX Performance Standard (lb/mmBtu)............ 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.44 0.43
Phase I boilers (22)........................... 95.5% 86.4% 72.7% 72.7% 63.6%
Phase II boilers (2)........................... 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 50.0% 50.0%
Phase I & II boilers (24)...................... 95.8% 87.5% 75.0% 70.8% 62.5%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table 9.--Tangentially Fired Boilers
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
% of Boilers Less Than or Equal to Standard for Low NOX Period
Average
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX Performance Standard (lb/mmBtu)............ 0.42 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.36
Phase I boilers (6)............................ 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 66.7% 66.7%
Phase II boilers (3)........................... 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Phase I & II boilers (9)....................... 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 77.8% 77.8%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Viewed collectively, the various tabulations, analyses, and plots
of actual post-retrofit CEMS data suggest to EPA that dry bottom wall-
fired boilers with LNBs and tangentially fired boilers with LNBs can
easily achieve an annual emission limitation below the current emission
limitations of 0.50 lb/mmBtu and 0.45 lb/mmBtu respectively. Estimates
of post-retrofit average NOX emission rates using different bases
(i.e., low NOX period, low NOX period in
[[Page 1449]]
1995, load-weighted annual NOX rate, and post-optimization period
average) are consistent; all of these rates are 14 percent or more
below the current emission limitation. Commenters have observed that
there is substantial uncertainty concerning the ability of Phase II
boilers to meet a lower standard if one considers: (a) units with less
than 52 days of monitoring data; (b) the lack of control technology
performance data from tangentially fired boilers with uncontrolled
emission rates higher than 0.67 lb/mmBtu; and (c) periods of
performance monitoring other than the ``low NOX period.'' Further
comment is sought on this issue.
2. Assessment Using Phase II Population Projection Analysis
Figures 1 and 2 display plots of the average NOX reduction
achieved by LNBs, derived from actual retrofit CEMS data, as a function
of the short-term uncontrolled NOX emission rate. (These plots are
based on the data in Tables 2 and 3 above.) Also shown in the figures
are the results of linear regression models EPA developed to estimate
the LNB-controlled emission rate as a function of the short-term pre-
retrofit uncontrolled emission rate. EPA has selected the short-term
uncontrolled emission rate as the baseline for these analyses because
boiler-specific measurements of this variable are available from the
CREV test data sets for almost all Phase I, Group 1 boilers and for 69
percent of Phase II, Group 1 boilers. EPA further determined that the
Phase II data set (69% of the Phase II population) adequately
represents the entire Phase II population by comparing boiler size and
age distributions (for details of this analysis, see page 3 of docket
item II-A-9).
Based on the information in Figures 1 and 2, EPA estimated the
emission rates that can be achieved by Group 1 units subject to any
revised emission limitations using LNBs. For both types of Group 1
boilers, EPA used the regression equation with boiler-specific CREV
uncontrolled emission rates to develop projections of the LNB-
controlled emission rate. For each unit, as shown by the coefficient of
correlation, R2, the regression equation accounts for about 68%
(wall-fired) and 67% (tangentially fired) of the variability observed
in the data. The regression equations result in NOX reduction
efficiency of low NOX burners applied to Group 1, Phase II boilers
with respect to uncontrolled NOX emission rate. The NOX
emission reduction percentage then typically ranges from 40 percent to
67 percent for wall-fired boilers and from 35 percent to 47 percent for
tangentially fired boilers, depending on each boiler's uncontrolled
NOX emission rate. The lower long-term average NOX reduction
is achieved by low NOX burners on boilers with lower uncontrolled
emission rates. Similarly, the higher long-term average NOX
reduction is achieved by low NOX burners on boilers with higher
uncontrolled emission rates. EPA solicits comment on the
representativeness of the reduction efficiency ranges in determining
performance of low NOX burners.
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P
[[Page 1450]]
[GRAPHIC][TIFF OMITTED]TP19JA96.000
[[Page 1451]]
[GRAPHIC][TIFF OMITTED]TP19JA96.001
BILLING CODE 6560-50-C
[[Page 1452]]
From these boiler-specific population projections, EPA has
developed percentile distributions estimating the number of Group 1
boilers (subject to any revised emission limitations) that can comply
with various alternate performance standards more stringent than the
current NOX emission limitations. The resulting distributions of
Group 1 boilers by percentile achievement for different performance
standards are shown below.
Table 10.--Percentile Achievement of Alternative Wall-Fired Boiler
Performance Standards
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percentile Performance standard (lb/mmBtu)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
100................................ 0.465
95................................. 0.451
90................................. 0.448
85................................. 0.441
80................................. 0.434
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table 11.--Percentile Achievement of Alternative Tangentially Fired
Boiler Performance Standards
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percentile Performance standard (lb/mmBtu)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
100................................ 0.499
95................................. 0.401
90................................. 0.377
85................................. 0.370
80................................. 0.364
------------------------------------------------------------------------
The percentile distributions of estimated achievable annual
emission limits based on the Phase II population projection analysis
indicate that 99.5% of the Phase II dry bottom wall-fired boilers could
comply with a revised performance standard of 0.45 lb/mmBtu and 92.3%
of the Phase II tangentially fired boilers could comply with a revised
performance standard of 0.38 lb/mmBtu. These percentages indicate a
better performance than is indicated by the CEMS data analysis. To
determine why this difference exists, EPA investigated the uncontrolled
NOX emission rates of Phase I and Phase II boilers. A tabulation
of the average uncontrolled emission rates for the Phase I and Phase II
populations of Group 1 boilers shows, for both types, that Phase I
boilers have higher uncontrolled emission rates.
Table 12.\3\--Comparison of Phase I, Group 1 and Phase II, Group 1
Uncontrolled NOX Emission Rates
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Phase I Phase II
Boiler type average average Percent
NOX rate NOX rate difference
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dry Bottom Wall-fired................... 0.963 0.744 23
Tangentially fired...................... .652 .536 18
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hence, it is seen that Phase II boilers operate at typically lower
uncontrolled emissions rates. As a result, a greater fraction of those
boilers are expected to be able to meet a given emission target.
\3\ Based on CREV data taken from EPA's database of uncontrolled
NOX emissions, presented in Appendix A of RIA.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the preceding discussion, performance data for Group 1 boilers
was based on emission data for the low NOX period, i.e., a period
of 52 days of operation as defined above. If the post-optimization
period as defined above were used to determine the performance of low
NOX burners, the applicable emission limits would be 0.46 lb/mmBtu
and 0.39 lb/mmBtu for wall-fired and tangentially fired boilers
respectively. Similarly, if the overall post-retrofit period were used,
the applicable emission limits would be 0.48 lb/mmBtu and 0.39 lb/mmBtu
for wall and tangentially fired boilers respectively by EPA's
calculation. DOE calculates an applicable emission limit of 0.50 lb/
mmBtu for wall-fired boilers using the overall post-retrofit period,
excluding 2 units considered by EPA, and using a different regression
formula than EPA (see docket item, II-D-62, Analysis of Proposed
Section 407(b)(2) NOX Rule, Department of Energy, Staff Paper,
December 14, 1995).
If the data used by DOE for the post-retrofit period, using DOE's
computations, are representative of performance of wall-fired boilers
retrofit with LNBs, then no change in the standard for such boilers
would be called for and EPA in the final rule would retain the existing
standard for such boilers. An analysis by DOE concluded that only 70%
of the affected wall-fired units could meet the proposed emission limit
of 0.45 lb/mmBtu (docket item, II-D-62, Analysis of Proposed Section
407(b)(2) NOX Rule, Department of Energy, Staff Paper, December
14, 1995). EPA seeks comment on the data and the computation used by
DOE and on whether the existing standard should be retained for wall-
fired boilers.
In the case of tangentially fired boilers, DOE reviewed performance
of tangentially fired boilers retrofit with LNBs in addition to those
considered by EPA. The emissions data for the units have only recently
been reported to EPA under part 75 and have not yet been analyzed.
DOE's analysis indicates that 90% of the affected units can meet the
current standard of 0.45 lb/mmBtu, but the proposed standard can be met
by only 40% (docket item, II-D-62, Analysis of Proposed Section
407(b)(2) NOX Rule, Department of Energy, Staff Paper, December
14, 1995). If DOE's data are representative of the actual performance
of these units, then no change in the standard for such boilers would
be appropriate and EPA in the final rule would retain the existing
standard for such boilers. EPA seeks comments on the data and on
whether the existing standard should be retained for tangentially fired
boilers.
EPA recognizes that in several instances the data on which today's
proposal is based relate to a limited number of boilers and that
analysis of the performance and cost of NOX controls could benefit
from fuller data, involving more units. For example, there are several
low NOX burner technology retrofits on tangentially fired boilers
for which the Agency does not yet have available CEM data collected in
accordance with part 75 and for which the Agency has not yet evaluated
data not reported through part 75 that recently became available.
During the comment period the Agency will have the opportunity to
examine NOX emissions data collected from these and other low
NOX burner technology installations. The Agency will also be able
to expand the hourly data examined for each boiler listed in Tables 2
and 3 above to include data collected after the second quarter of 1995.
In light of additional data that EPA may receive during the comment
period, the final rule may establish different Phase II, Group 1
NOX emission limitations than those proposed today. If the new
information is found not to justify revising the emission limitations
promulgated in Phase I, EPA will not revise them.
In light of the above discussion about new information that will be
received during the comment period, in developing the proposal the
Agency considered comment suggesting that the issuance of this proposal
should be delayed in order to obtain fuller data on which to base
determinations concerning the Phase II, Group 1 emission limitations.
However, as discussed above, title IV establishes a schedule for
issuance of and compliance
[[Page 1453]]
with the NOX emission limitations in this proposal. Section 407(b)
requires that any revision of the Group 1 emission limitations (and any
Group 2 emission limitations) be established by January 1, 1997 and
applicable in Phase II. Establishment by January 1, 1997 of the Phase
II NOX emission limitations under title IV will provide utilities
with the information that they need concerning emission requirements
for Phase II in order to fashion the most efficient strategies to
comply with the Acid Rain NOX emission reduction program. Under
the Acid Rain program, compliance strategies may include: early
election plans (where Phase II, Group 1 units elect to comply starting
in 1997 with Phase I NOX emission limitations and avoid any
revised Group 1 limitations until 2008); NOX averaging plans
(where NOX emissions of units with the same owner or operator are
controlled to various extents and averaged to meet an overall limit);
or alternative emission limitations (where a unit with controls
designed, but unable, to meet the standard emission limitation can
qualify for a less stringent limitation).
In light of the statutory deadlines under section 407 and EPA's
analysis of the presently available data, the Agency has concluded that
it has a sufficient basis for proposing revised emission limitations
for Phase II, Group 1 boilers. EPA intends to use the comment period on
the proposal to gather more data. The Agency stresses that it will
welcome, and fully consider in the final rule, any additional data
relevant to the proposed emissions limitations.
3. Conclusions
EPA proposes to find that currently available data on the
effectiveness of LNB technology on Group 1 boilers demonstrates that
``more effective LNB technology is available'' for both dry bottom
wall-fired and tangentially fired boilers under Phase II of the Acid
Rain NOX Emission Reduction Program. Projections developed by
applying CEM-based estimated percent reductions to boiler-specific
uncontrolled emission rate data for the Phase II population indicate
that over 90% of dry bottom wall-fired boilers could individually meet
a performance standard of 0.45 lb/mmBtu and over 90% of tangentially
fired boilers could individually meet a performance standard of 0.38
lb/mmBtu.
EPA has taken the approach of selecting, as the revised emission
limitations achievable by Group 1 boilers, the emission limitations
that will be achievable by 90% of the applicable boiler population.
EPA chose to base the proposed emission limitation on the emission
rate that a target of 90% of the population will be able to meet
because of the flexibility offered by two compliance options available
to all Group 1 boilers: (1) emission averaging and (2) alternative
emission limitations. Group 1 boilers that install the NOX control
technology and cannot meet the applicable emission limitation on an
individual boiler basis may average with other boilers that are below
the applicable emission limitation or may petition the permitting
authority for a more relaxed emission limit. While the Agency could
have assumed that significantly more than 10% of the boiler population
could use the averaging or alternative emission limitation option, the
Agency maintains that use of the compliance target of 90% reasonably
implements the statutory requirement that the emission limitations be
based on the degree of emission reduction ``achievable'' through
retrofit application of cost-comparable NOX control technology.
This is analogous to the approach used in setting NOX emission
limitations under section 407(b)(1) for Phase I, Group 1 boilers.
Section 407(b)(1) required that the Phase I, Group 1 emission
limitations reflect what could be ``achieved using low NOX burner
technology'' (42 U.S.C. 7651f (b)(1)), and, in adopting the presumptive
limits set forth in section 407(b)(1) (A) and (B), EPA relied on
analysis showing that ``less than 10 percent of the Group 1 units would
fail to meet the presumptive limits.'' 60 FR 18758.
Table 13.--Group 1 Boiler Statistics and Expected Results
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For Dry Bottom Wall-Fired Boilers
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alternative NOX Emission Standard (lb/mmBtu)................ 0.46 0.45 0.44 0.43
% boilers estimated to achieve standard based on Phase II
population projection method............................... 99.5% 99.5% 87.0% 80.9%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For Tangentially Fired Boilers
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alternative NOX Emission Standard (lb/mmBtu)................ 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.36
% boilers estimated to achieve standard based on Phase II
population projection method............................... 95.2% 93.1% 92.3% 80.6%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EPA has estimated that adopting the revised Group 1 performance
standards will reduce nationwide NOX emissions by an additional
200,000 tons annually beyond the annual tonnage reductions under the
existing Group 1 emission limitations. When estimating the additional
emission reductions from boilers achieving the revised performance
standards, EPA has conservatively assumed that LNBs were not applied to
any boilers with baseline emission rates at or below the applicable
revised performance standard. Thus, these boilers would not contribute
to the aggregate estimate of tons NOX removed.
D. Adverse Effects of NOX and Benefits of Reduction
Nitrogen oxides (NOX) emissions result in an unusually broad
range of detrimental effects to human health and the environment.
NOX is a primary precursor to ozone formation and therefore is a
major component in smog (oxidant air pollution). Atmospheric deposition
of nitrogen compounds contributes to the degradation of water quality
in certain areas with its ensuing ecological effects. These and other
effects, described below, caused by NOX emissions or their
transformation products can adversely affect the environment and human
health.
Reducing NOX emissions from coal-fired power plants by
revising the emission limitations for Group 1, Phase II boilers (and by
establishing emission limitations for Group 2 boilers) would be
expected to produce multiple benefits. Benefits would accrue from
reducing ozone within and transported into ozone non-attainment areas,
reducing the formation of nitrate
[[Page 1454]]
particulate matter in the air, reducing ambient levels of NO2 and
PAN gases, reducing excessive nitrogen loadings to the Chesapeake Bay
and other estuaries, reducing acid deposition and resulting
acidification of lakes and streams, and improving visibility.
1. Formation of Secondary Pollutants, Eutrophication, and Acidic
Deposition
NOX emissions, as discharged into the atmosphere from the
burning of fossil fuels, consist primarily of nitric oxide (NO). Much
of the NO, however, reacts with organic radicals to form nitrogen
dioxide (NO2) and, over longer periods of time, is transformed
into other pollutants, including ozone (O3) and nitrate fine
particles.
Water quality degradation due to excessive nutrients
(``eutrophication'') can occur when airborne nitrogen compounds fall
directly on water, particularly an estuary, or the surrounding land and
enter the water through runoff. Acidic deposition occurs when airborne
nitrate compounds, which can be transported over long distances, return
to the earth through rain or snow (``wet deposition'') or as gases,
fog, or particles (``dry deposition''). While the severity of the
damages depend on the composition or sensitivity of the receptor,
acidic deposition, according to the 1990 Amendments of the Clean Air
Act, ``represents a threat to natural resources, ecosystems,
visibility, materials, and public health.''
2. Benefits from Reducing Ozone
Ozone, which is the most abundant of the photochemical oxidants, is
formed when NOX reacts with volatile organic compounds VOCs \4\
and sunlight. Heat accelerates this process, so ozone is most severe
during the summer months. Ozone is a highly reactive chemical compound
which can have adverse effects on human health, plants, animals, and
materials. Even 6-8 hours' exposure to elevated levels of ozone can
produce decreased lung function, increased airway inflammation,
increased sensitivity to lung infection in adults and children, the
effects being most pronounced during outdoor work and exercise (see
docket item II-A-10; Krupnick and Ozkanynak, 1991; Huang, 1988; Abbey,
1993). Elevated ozone increases the risk and intensity of asthma
attacks (Wittmore and Korn, 1980; Krupnick, 1988). The Public Health
Service of the National Institutes of Health estimates that, in 1992,
12.4 million Americans had asthma (Benson, 1994).
\4\ Like NOX, volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are emitted
directly into the atmosphere from a combination of man-made sources
(burning of fossil fuels in utility and industrial boilers, motor
vehicle emissions, hydrocarbon releases from dry cleaning and other
industrial processes) and natural sources (mostly vegetation).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ozone at currently occurring levels also inhibits photosynthesis in
crops, trees, and plants, which leads to reduced agricultural crop
yields, increased susceptibility to pests and disease, and economic
losses associated with noticeable leaf damage in ornamental plants.
According to the National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program
(NAPAP), ozone has been responsible for significant reductions in the
annual yields of several domestically important crops: corn, 1%;
cotton, soybeans, 7%; and alfalfa, 30% (NAPAP, 1990). Other analyses of
five-year data from the National Crop Loss Assessment Network (NCLAN)
5 corroborate this assessment (Sommerville, 1989).
\5\ NCLAN was established by EPA during the 1980s for controlled
field tests to develop dose-response relationships between ozone
concentrations and crop yield.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
A growing body of scientific evidence indicates that reducing
NOX emissions on a regional basis is a cost-effective approach to
achieving the ozone NAAQS the most seriously polluted ozone
nonattainment areas of the Eastern U.S.6 (60 FR 45583, August 31,
1995). These areas have consistently failed to achieve this health-
based standard despite up to 20 years of applying controls to sources
of VOCs, another ozone precursor, on a localized basis (NRC, 1991).
Recent studies of the South, the Northeast Corridor, and the states
bordering Lake Michigan conclude that ozone and NO