98-1765. Approval and Promulgation of Implementation Plans; Phoenix, Arizona Ozone Nonattainment Area, 15 Percent Rate of Progress Plan and 1990 Base Year Emission Inventory  

  • [Federal Register Volume 63, Number 16 (Monday, January 26, 1998)]
    [Proposed Rules]
    [Pages 3687-3693]
    From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
    [FR Doc No: 98-1765]
    
    
    
    [[Page 3687]]
    
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    ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
    
    40 CFR Part 52
    
    [AZ-005-ROP FRL-5953-4]
    
    
    Approval and Promulgation of Implementation Plans; Phoenix, 
    Arizona Ozone Nonattainment Area, 15 Percent Rate of Progress Plan and 
    1990 Base Year Emission Inventory
    
    AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
    
    ACTION: Proposed rule.
    
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    SUMMARY: EPA proposes to determine that the Phoenix, Arizona ozone 
    nonattainment area has in place sufficient control measures to meet the 
    15 percent rate of progress (ROP) requirement in Clean Air Act section 
    182(b)(2). This proposal is based on EPA's reanalysis of Arizona's 15 
    percent plan submitted for the Phoenix area. This reanalysis takes into 
    account current information on the implementation of the State's 
    vehicle inspection and maintenance program, additional controls 
    recently adopted by the State, and national rules either proposed or 
    promulgated by EPA that affect emissions in the Phoenix area. EPA is 
    also proposing to approve the area's 1990 base year emissions 
    inventory.
    
    DATES: Comments on this proposal must be received in writing by March 
    27, 1998. Commenters may also request the opportunity to submit oral 
    comments pursuant to Clean Air Act section 307(d)(5). Requests for a 
    public hearing must be received by February 5, 1998.
    
    ADDRESSES: Written comments should be addressed to Frances Wicher at 
    the Region 9 address.
        Copies of the State's submittals, EPA's draft technical support 
    document (TSD) for this rulemaking, EPA's policies governing 15 percent 
    plan approvals and emission inventories, and other supporting 
    documentation are contained in the docket for this rulemaking. Copies 
    of this document and the TSD are also available in the air programs 
    section of EPA Region 9's website, http://www.epa.gov/region09. The 
    docket is available for inspection during normal business hours at the 
    following locations:
    
    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Region 9, Office of Air Planning, 
    Air Division, 17th Floor, 75 Hawthorne Street, San Francisco, 
    California 94105. (415) 744-1248.
    Arizona Department of Environmental Quality, Library, 3033 N. Central 
    Avenue, Phoenix, Arizona 85012. (602) 207-2217.
    
    FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Frances Wicher, Office of Air Planning 
    (AIR-2), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Region 9, 75 Hawthorne 
    Street, San Francisco, California 94105. (415) 744-1248.
    
    SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
    
    I. Background
    
    A. Clean Air Act Requirements
    
    1. Base Year Emission Inventories
        The Phoenix metropolitan area was originally classified as a 
    moderate ozone nonattainment on November 6, 1991. 1 Section 
    182(b) of the Clean Air Act (CAA or Act) requires that each state in 
    which all or part of a moderate ozone nonattainment area is located 
    submit, by November 15, 1992, an inventory of actual emissions from all 
    sources, as described in sections 172(c)(3) and 182(a)(1), in 
    accordance with guidance provided by the Administrator. EPA provided 
    preliminary guidance on this base year inventory in the General 
    Preamble for the Implementation of Title I of the Clean Air Act 
    Amendments of 1990, April 16, 1992, 57 FR 13498, 13502, indicating that 
    the inventory should be for calendar year 1990 and should include both 
    anthropogenic and biogenic sources of volatile organic compounds 
    (VOCs), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and carbon monoxide (CO). The inventory 
    should address actual emissions of these pollutants during the peak 
    ozone season in the nonattainment area as well as emissions from 
    sources emitting greater than 100 tons per year in a 25-mile buffer 
    zone around the nonattainment area. The inventory should include all 
    point and area sources, as well as all highway and non-highway (non-
    road) mobile sources.
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        \1\  The Phoenix metropolitan area was recently reclassified 
    from moderate to serious for ozone. 62 FR 60001 (November 6, 1997). 
    This reclassification does not affect the requirement for a 1990 
    base year inventory or a 15 percent ROP demonstration.
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    2. 15 Percent ROP Plans
        Section 182(b)(1)(A) of the CAA requires State's with ozone 
    nonattainment areas classified as moderate and above to develop plans 
    to reduce VOC emissions by 15 percent, net of growth, from the 1990 
    baseline. The 15 percent rate of progress (ROP) plans were to be 
    submitted by November 15, 1993, and the reductions were required to be 
    achieved by November 15, 1996.
        For the 15 percent ROP plans, the CAA sets limitations on the 
    creditability of certain types of reductions. Specifically, a state 
    cannot take credit for reductions achieved by Federal Motor Vehicle 
    Control Program (FMVCP) measures promulgated prior to 1990, or for 
    reductions resulting from requirements to lower the volatility (Reid 
    Vapor Pressure (RVP)) of gasoline promulgated prior to 1990 or required 
    under section 211(h) of the CAA, which restricts gasoline RVP. 
    Furthermore, the CAA does not allow credit for corrections to vehicle 
    inspection and maintenance (I/M) programs or corrections to Reasonably 
    Available Control Technology (RACT) rules as these programs were 
    required prior to 1990.
        Although the November 15, 1996 deadline has now passed, the 15 
    percent ROP requirement remains. Once a statutory deadline has passed 
    and has not been replaced by a later one, the deadline then becomes as 
    soon as possible. Delaney v. EPA, 898 F.2d 687, 691 (9th Cir. 1990). 
    EPA has interpreted this requirement to be ``as soon as practicable'' 
    (55 FR 36458, 36505 (September 9, 1990)); therefore, to demonstrate 
    that the Phoenix area has met the CAA section 182(b)(1) requirement, it 
    must be demonstrated that the 15 percent reduction will be achieved as 
    soon as practicable by showing that the applicable implementation plan 
    contains all VOC control measures that are practicable for the Phoenix 
    area and that meaningfully accelerate the date by which the 15 percent 
    level is achieved.
        EPA has developed guidance that specifically addresses the 
    crediting of post-1996 emission reductions in 15 percent ROP 
    demonstrations. Under EPA policy, reliance on post-1996 emission 
    reductions in the 15 percent plan necessitates that the 1996 target 
    level of emission reductions be revised to remove the additional 
    emission reductions from the FMVCP and federal RVP regulations between 
    1996 and the year 15 percent is actually to be demonstrated. References 
    2, 3 and 4.
        EPA's policy regarding 15 percent ROP plans can be found in the 
    General Preamble (57 FR 13498, 13507) and other EPA guidance documents 
    referenced in this document and found in the docket for this 
    rulemaking.
    
    B. Phoenix's 15 Percent ROP Plan
    
        The State of Arizona submitted the initial 15 percent rate of 
    progress plan for the metropolitan Phoenix area (The Maricopa 
    Association of Governments 1993 Ozone Plan for the Maricopa County 
    Area, November 1993 (1993 MAG Plan)) on November 15, 1993 and an 
    Addendum (March 1994) to that plan on April 8, 1994. On April 13, 1994 
    EPA found the initial plan incomplete because it failed to include, in 
    fully
    
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    adopted and enforceable form, all of the measures relied upon in the 15 
    percent demonstration. This incompleteness finding started the 18-month 
    sanction ``clock'' in CAA section 179 and the two-year clock under 
    section 110(c) for EPA to promulgate a federal implementation plan 
    (FIP) covering the 15 percent ROP requirement. Subsequently in November 
    1994 and April 1995, Arizona submitted an attainment plan for the 
    Phoenix area which updated the 15 percent ROP demonstrations. 
    2 On May 12, 1995, EPA found the revised 15 percent plan and 
    the attainment plan complete, turning off the sanctions clock; however, 
    under section 110(c), the FIP clock continues until EPA approves the 15 
    percent plan. Since 1995, EPA has acted to approve many of the control 
    measures contained in these plans but has not yet acted on the overall 
    15 percent plan.
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        \2\  The State also submitted its Voluntary Early Ozone Plan for 
    the Metropolitan Phoenix Area (VEOP) on April 21, 1997. This plan 
    contains several additional VOC control measures but does not 
    include any revisions to the demonstration in the previously 
    submitted 15 percent plan.
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        The 15 percent ROP demonstration in the MAG 1993 Plan relied 
    primarily on improvements to the State's vehicle emissions inspection 
    and maintenance program (I/M), a summertime gasoline volatility (RVP) 
    limitation of 7.00 pounds per square inch (psi), numerous stationary 
    and area source control measures, and a number of transportation 
    control measures.
        Improvements to the State's I/M program (known as the Vehicle 
    Emissions Inspection Program (VEIP)) included biennial IM240 transient 
    testing for model year 1981 and newer vehicles, more stringent testing 
    cut points (the tailpipe emissions levels at which cars are failed), 
    pressure and purge testing, increased waiver limits, improvements to 
    the anti-tampering program, and a remote sensing program. These I/M 
    improvements accounted for 50 percent of the emission reductions 
    necessary to show the required ROP. See 1993 Ozone Plan Addendum, page 
    3-6. In designing its enhanced VEIP, Arizona relied in good faith on 
    the technical specifications and associated emission reductions in 
    EPA's enhanced I/M regulations, 40 CFR part 51, subpart S as 
    promulgated on November 5, 1992 (57 FR 52950).
        Arizona began to implement the improvements to its I/M program in 
    early 1995 and quickly determined that EPA's pressure and purge test 
    could not be implemented in practice in I/M testing lanes, and 
    consequently suspended the tests. The State subsequently redesigned the 
    pressure test and began implementing it in 1996. No effective purge 
    test, however, is currently available. EPA continues to work to develop 
    such a test and Arizona remains committed to implementing a test when 
    it becomes available.
        Early testing of the final cut points assumed in the State's 15 
    percent plan also indicated that they would not work in practice 
    because of unacceptably high false failure rates (i.e., failing cars 
    that should have passed) of up to 50 percent. Arizona is currently 
    working to develop alternatives to the final cut points and intends to 
    begin implementing those alternatives as early as 1999.
        The purge test and the final cut points accounted for roughly 60 
    percent of the total emission reductions expected from the VEIP and 30 
    percent of the emission reductions necessary to show 15 percent ROP. In 
    part to replace these lost emission reductions and in part to ensure 
    continued progress toward attainment of the ozone standard in the 
    Phoenix area, the State opted into EPA's federal reformulated gasoline 
    program in 1997 (60 FR 30260 (June 3, 1997)) and has recently adopted 
    its own, more stringent Cleaner Burning Gasoline (CBG) program as well 
    as other control measures. EPA proposed to approve the State's CBG 
    program on November 20, 1997. 62 FR 61942.
    
    C. EPA's 15 Percent ROP Plan Obligation
    
        In August 1996, EPA was sued by the American Lung Association of 
    Arizona, ALAA v. Browner, No. CIV 96-1856 PHX ROS (D.Ariz.). This case 
    sought to enforce EPA's obligation under CAA section 110(c) to 
    promulgate a federal plan for the 15 percent ROP requirement. On July 
    8, 1997 a consent decree was filed with the U.S. District Court for the 
    District of Arizona establishing a schedule of January 20, 1998 for 
    proposing and May 18, 1998 for promulgating a 15 percent ROP plan. 
    Under the consent decree, EPA's obligation to promulgate a plan is 
    relieved to the extent that it has approved State measures.
        The State's 15 percent plan as revised and submitted in 1993 
    through 1995 does not reflect the changes to the control strategy 
    necessitated by the problems with enhanced I/M and the implementation 
    of the federal RFG program. In addition, EPA guidance requires a 
    recalculation of the 15 percent target emission level if post-1996 
    emissions reductions (such as those from the RFG program) are to be 
    credited to the 15 percent plan. As a result, EPA does not have in 
    front of it a complete state submittal containing a revised 15 percent 
    ROP demonstration that it could act on without additional analysis, 
    public hearing and adoption by the State. Consequently in this 
    document, EPA is proposing to find, based on its own analysis of the 
    available emission reductions, that the State has sufficient measures 
    to provide for the 15 percent reduction.
    
    II. EPA's Evaluation
    
    A. 1990 Base Year Emission Inventory
    
        EPA is proposing to approve the State's 1990 base year emissions 
    inventory for the Phoenix metropolitan area and to use it, with minor 
    modifications, as the basis for the 15 percent ROP demonstration.
        As specified in EPA guidance (Reference 1, p. 13502), the 1990 base 
    year inventory is composed of annual and seasonal inventories of actual 
    (as opposed to permitted or potential) VOC, NOX, and CO 
    emissions in the Phoenix ozone nonattainment area as well as actual 
    emissions from all large point sources within a 25-mile buffer zone 
    around the nonattainment area.
        EPA proposes to approve the base year inventory because it is (1) 
    accurate in that it uses established estimation and measurement methods 
    approved by EPA; (2) comprehensive in that it estimates emissions from 
    all categories of sources for the three ozone precursors; and (3) 
    current in that it provides estimates of actual emissions for the 1990 
    base year as required.
        Table 1 provides a summary of the baseline emissions inventory.
    
        Table 1.--Metropolitan Phoenix 1990 Baseline Emissions Inventory    
                              (Metric tons per day)                         
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     Source type                     VOC      NOX       CO  
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Point Sources................................     25.6     70.9     13.8
    Area Sources.................................    111.8      7.4      3.9
    On-Road Mobile...............................    136.2    130.1    911.5
    Non-Road Mobile..............................     57.9     85.2    521.1
    Biogenic.....................................     37.3  .......  .......
                                                  --------------------------
        Total....................................    368.8    293.6   1450.3
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Source: 1993 Ozone Plan, Appendix B, Exhibit 1.                         
    
        For use in its 15 percent ROP analysis, EPA has slightly modified 
    the State's 1990 base year inventory to reflect the Agency's delisting 
    of perchloroethylene (used primarily as a drycleaning solvent) as a VOC 
    (61 FR 4588 (February 7, 1996)), a revised version of EPA's MOBILE5a 
    on-road motor vehicle emission estimation model, and slightly revised 
    inputs to that model to be consistent with base
    
    [[Page 3689]]
    
    year and future year analyses.3 These modifications 
    decreased the submitted base year area source inventory by 1.2 metric 
    tons per day and the on-road mobile source inventory by 0.6 metric tons 
    per day for a total decrease of 1.8 metric tons per day.
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        \3\ The modifications that EPA used in its analysis do not 
    affect the approvability of the State's 1990 base year emissions 
    inventory. The delisting of perchloroethylene occurred after the 
    statutory due date for the inventory. In addition, states were not 
    required to upgrade to the later version of MOBILE5a for their base 
    year inventories. Reference 5. Finally, the principle MOBILE5a 
    modification was to use minimum and maximum daily temperatures to 
    calculate temperature corrections to VOC exhaust emissions, hot soak 
    evaporative emissions, and resting loss and running loss emissions 
    instead of a single ambient temperature as was done by Arizona. 
    Although EPA does not recommend the use of a single ambient 
    temperature to calculate these emissions, the impact on the base 
    year inventory in this case is so slight (less than 0.6 metric tons 
    per day out of an inventory of 136 metric tons per day or less than 
    0.5 percent) as to not constitute grounds for disapproval.
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    B. Calculation of the 15 Percent ROP Target
    
        A number of steps are necessary to calculate the 15 percent ROP VOC 
    target emission level. First, the 1990 base year inventory must be 
    revised to exclude sources outside the nonattainment area, biogenic 
    emissions, and any VOC emission reductions that will accrue from the 
    FMVCP and federal RVP standards during the 1990-1996 period. The 
    resulting inventory is referred to as the ``adjusted base year 
    inventory.'' For 15 percent ROP plans that rely on post-1996 emissions 
    reductions, the adjusted base year inventory must also exclude any VOC 
    emission reductions resulting from the FMVCP and federal RVP standards 
    from 1996 until the projected date by which the 15 percent ROP will be 
    demonstrated (henceforth referred to as the demonstration year). See 
    Reference 4. Procedures for calculating emission reductions from the 
    FMVCP and federal RVP standards are discussed in Reference 1 (page 
    13507) and Reference 6. Table 2 presents the adjusted base year 
    inventory.
    
                    Table 2.--Adjusted Base Year Inventories                
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                   Adjusted 
                                                                  base year 
                                                     Adjustment   inventory 
                                                     (mt VOC/d)   (mt VOC/d)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
    1990 Base year inventory......................  ...........        367.0
    Stationary sources outside of the                                       
     nonattainment area...........................         -1.8  ...........
    Biogenic emissions............................        -37.3  ...........
    1990 nonattainment area base year                                       
     anthropogenic inventory......................  ...........        327.9
    FMVCP/RVP 1990-1996...........................        -47.4  ...........
    Adjusted base year inventory (1996)...........  ...........        280.5
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
    
        The target level of VOC emissions for demonstrating 15 percent ROP 
    is then calculated by multiplying the adjusted base year inventory by 
    0.15, adding the VOC reductions from any RACT and/or I/M corrections 
    and from the FMVCP and federal RVP regulations, then subtracting this 
    total from the 1990 nonattainment area base year anthropogenic 
    inventory.
    
                                                       Table 3.--15 Percent Rate of Progress Target Levels                                                  
                                                                    (Metric tons of VOC/day)                                                                
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                                                                                  (C) 1990                                                         (H) 1996 
                                                        (A) 1990     (B) Red.    adj. base     (D) 15%      (E) Red.    (F) RACT &   (G) Needed     target  
                      July 1, year                      ROP base   from FMVCP/  year EI (A-     target    from FMVCP/      I/M       Red (B + D    emission 
                                                        year EI    RVP (90-96)       B)       (0.15 x C)  RVP (96-99)  corrections    + E + F)   level (A-G)
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    1996............................................        327.9         47.4        280.5         42.1  ...........          2.3         91.8        236.1
    1998............................................        327.9         47.4        280.5         42.1          3.4          2.3         95.2        232.7
    1/1/1999........................................        327.9         47.4        280.5         42.1          4.2          2.3         96.0        231.9
    4/1/1999........................................        327.9         47.2        280.5         42.1          4.6          2.3         96.4        231.5
    1999............................................        327.9         47.4        280.5         42.1          5.0          2.3         96.8        231.1
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Note: January 1, 1999 and April 1, 1999 values are interpolated between 1998 and 1999 values.                                                           
    
        To demonstrate a 15 percent rate of progress, projected 1996 
    emissions, accounting for growth after 1990 and including any 
    adjustments for FMVCP/RVP emission reduction occurring after 1996, must 
    be at or below the target emission level.
    
    C. 15 Percent Demonstration
    
        EPA proposes to determine that the Phoenix area will have 
    sufficient controls in place by no later than April 1, 1999 to meet the 
    15 percent rate of progress requirement and that this date is the most 
    expeditious date practicable for achieving the 15 percent target based 
    on the set of controls EPA has proposed for crediting in the 15 percent 
    demonstration and the unavailability of any other practicable controls 
    that could advance the date.
        Table 4 presents the projected controlled 1996 inventory and Table 
    5 lists the control measures that make up the 15 percent demonstration. 
    EPA notes that the State included a number of adopted and implemented 
    control measures in its 15 percent plan and Voluntary Early Ozone Plan 
    that have not been credited in this 15 percent demonstration because 
    they are not yet in the SIP. These measures remain creditable in future 
    ROP demonstrations to the extent they are SIP approvable.
    
       Table 4.--1996 Projected Inventory for April 1, 1999 Demonstration   
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                  Emissions 
                          Source  Category                         (mt VOC/ 
                                                                     day)   
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
    On-Road....................................................         76.7
    Non-Road...................................................         43.0
    Point......................................................         18.2
    Area.......................................................         93.3
    Total......................................................        231.2
    Target Level...............................................        231.5
    Surplus emission reductions................................          0.3
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
    
    
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        Table 5.--Control Measures Making Up the 15 Percent Demonstration   
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                               Adjusted 1996
                 Category                  Approval status     reduction (mt
                                                                  VOC/d)    
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Arizona Vehicle Emissions           Approved 60 FR 22518             3.3
     Inspection Program.                 (May 8, 1995).                     
    Arizona Summertime Gasoline         Approved 62 FR 31734            13.0
     Volatility Limitation (7.00 psi     (June 11, 1997).                   
     RVP) (on-road and nonroad).                                            
    Federal RFG--Phase I (on-road and   Approved June 3,                 6.0
     nonroad).                           1997 (62 FR 30260).                
    National Phase I Non-Road Engines   Promulgated July 3,              9.1
     Standards.                          1995 (60 FR 34582).                
    MCESD Rules 331, 336, 337, 342,     Approval signed 1/20/           11.3
     346, and 351.                       97.                                
    Stage II vapor recovery...........  Approved 11/1/94 (59             9.8
                                         FR 54521).                         
    MCESD Rule 335 architectural        Approved 1/6/92 (57              2.9
     coatings.                           FR 354).                           
    Autobody refinishing (national      National rule                    1.4
     rule).                              proposed April 30,                 
                                         1996 (61 FR 19005)                 
                                         and December 30,                   
                                         1997 (62 FR 67784).                
    Consumer products (national rule).  National rule                    2.4
                                         proposed April 2,                  
                                         1996 (61 FR 14531).                
    Architectural and industrial        National rule                    0.6
     coatings (national rule).           proposed June 25,                  
                                         1996 (61 FR 32729).                
    Total.............................  ....................            59.8
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
    
    Arizona Vehicle Emissions Inspection Program
        Enhancements to Arizona's vehicle emission inspection program were 
    approved by EPA in 1995 and included IM240 testing for 1981 and newer 
    vehicles, pressure and purge testing, and tighter cut points. 
    Enhancements to the program were implemented beginning in January, 
    1995. Emission reductions credited in the 15 percent demonstration 
    reflect the program as actually implemented in 1996 (that is, without 
    the final cut points or the purge test) and assume no further 
    improvements.
        Arizona's enhanced I/M program also includes a remote sensing 
    program (RSP). The EPA's proposed 15 percent ROP demonstration, 
    however, does not currently include any reductions from this program. 
    The State has estimated reductions from the RSP of 3.7 metric tons of 
    VOC per day in 1996 based on the analysis in the 1993 MAG plan 
    4 (Reference 7); however, EPA does not currently have 
    sufficient information to determine an appropriate credit for use in 
    its own analysis. EPA proposes to credit the non-enhanced RSP with up 
    to 3.7 metric tons per day if it obtains sufficient information to 
    determine the appropriate credit.
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        \4\ Since EPA's approval of the State's VEIP, the State has 
    enhanced the implementation of the RSP. This measure is not 
    currently in the SIP. The State's reduction estimate is for the non-
    enhanced program.
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    Summertime Gasoline Volatility Limit (7 psi RVP)
        The State's 7 psi summertime gasoline volatility limit was fully 
    implemented in 1996. Emission reduction credit proposed for the 15 
    percent plan assumes a decrease in the RVP limit from the federally-
    required 7.8 psi to 7 psi and is calculated for both on-road motor 
    vehicles and non-road gasoline-powered vehicles.
    Federal Reformulated Gasoline Program--Phase I
        The Federal reformulated gasoline program became effective in the 
    Phoenix area at the retail level on August 4, 1997. 62 FR 30260 (June 
    3, 1997). As with RVP, the program affects both on-road motor vehicle 
    emissions and non-road gasoline-powered engine emissions. The proposed 
    emission reduction credit for RFG includes emission reductions from 
    both categories.
        Arizona has adopted its own Clean Burning Gasoline (CBG) Program to 
    replace the federal RFG program beginning in June, 1998. EPA has 
    recently proposed to approve that program and Arizona has requested to 
    opt-out of the Federal RFG program should EPA grant final approval to 
    its CBG program. Since the State's program has been designed to achieve 
    more emission reductions than available under EPA's RFG regulations, 
    there will be no loss of emission reductions as the Phoenix area 
    transitions from the federal to the state program; therefore, for the 
    purposes of this 15 percent demonstration, EPA proposes to grant 
    emission reductions equivalent to those proposed above for the federal 
    RFG program. If EPA approves the CBG program, the Agency will give it 
    the same credit as federal RFG for the purposes of the 15 percent 
    demonstration. Emissions reductions from the CBG program, if approved 
    by EPA, that are in excess of those proposed for credit above may be 
    used by the State in any future rate-of-progress demonstrations.
    Phase I Non-road Engine Standards
        On July 3, 1995, EPA promulgated Phase I emission standards for new 
    spark-ignition (gasoline) engines of 25 horsepower or less. These 
    engines include those typically used in lawnmowers and other 
    residential gardening equipment, commercial lawn and garden equipment, 
    and small pumps and compressors, and some other industrial/construction 
    equipment. The Phase I standards were effective with model year 1997 
    engines and are expected to reduce VOC emissions from the impacted 
    equipment types by 22.9 percent in 1999. See Reference 8.
    Stage II Vapor Recovery
        EPA approved Arizona's Stage II Vapor Recovery rules (Arizona 
    Revised Statutes Secs. 41-2131 through 2133 and Arizona Administrative 
    Code R4-31-901 through R4-31-910) in 1994. This program required the 
    installation of California Air Resources Board (CARB) certified stage 
    II vapor recovery equipment at service stations by November 15, 
    1994.5
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        \5\ In its 15 percent plan, the State did not explicitly 
    identify several measures that had been implemented after 1990 but 
    prior to the development of the plan even though these measures are 
    fully creditable in 15 percent plans. These measures include the 
    Stage II vapor recovery program and the final limits in Maricopa 
    County's architectural coating rule. The State, however, did 
    incorporate reductions from these measures into the projected 1996 
    inventory. For the purposes of EPA's analysis, these measures and 
    their associated reductions (which are identical to the ones 
    calculated by the State) have been explicitly identified.
    
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    [[Page 3691]]
    
    MCESD Rules
        Concurrently with this proposal, EPA has approved MCESD Rules 331, 
    336, 337, 342, 346, and 351 into the SIP. Rule 331 limits the emissions 
    of VOCs from surface cleaning and degreasing operations. Rule 336 
    limits emissions from surface coating operations. Rule 337 limits 
    emissions of VOCs from screen, gravure, letterpress, flexographic and 
    lithographic printing processes, including related coating and 
    laminating processes. Rule 342 controls the emissions of VOCs emanating 
    from applying coatings of finishing materials to furniture or fixtures 
    made of wood or wood derived materials. Rule 346 limits VOC emissions 
    from the surface preparation and coating of wood millwork such as 
    shutters, doors, windows and their associated woodwork, and Rule 351 
    controls emissions of VOCs from organic liquid loading operations at 
    bulk plants and bulk terminals. These rules, which affect emissions 
    from both point and area sources, result in a total reduction of 9.2 
    metric tons per day from point sources and 2.1 metric ton per day from 
    area sources.
    Architectural Coatings
        EPA approved MCESD's Rule 335 Architectural Coatings in 1992. This 
    rule had a number of compliance deadlines in 1991 and reductions from 
    these final deadlines are fully creditable to the 15 percent plan. See 
    also Footnote 5.
    Consumer Products
        On April 2, 1996, EPA proposed national VOC emission standards for 
    24 categories of consumer products requiring compliance with the 
    standards by 1997. Under EPA policy, 15 percent demonstrations may 
    credit an overall 20 percent reduction in emissions from the consumer 
    products categories covered by this rule. Reference 9. For Maricopa 
    County, this rule will reduce VOC emissions from consumer products by 
    an estimated 2.4 metric tons per day.
        This measure, as well as the national autobody refinishing rule and 
    the national architectural and industrial maintenance coating rule 
    discussed in the following sections are statutorily required. See CAA 
    section 183(e) and ``Consumer and Commercial Products: Schedule for 
    Regulation,'' 60 FR 15264 (March 23, 1995). The Agency anticipates at 
    this time that rules will be finalized by mid-1998. EPA has recently 
    been sued to enforce the requirement to promulgate these rules and is 
    currently discussing a schedule for their promulgation. Sierra Club v. 
    Browner, CIV No. 97-984 PLF (D.D.C.).
        The fact that these rules are required federal rules, and will 
    likely soon have court-ordered deadlines, creates circumstances that 
    allow EPA to consider them as part of 15 percent plans. Taking credit 
    for reductions from proposed required federal measures is consistent 
    with the overall scheme of the Clean Air Act ozone nonattainment 
    provisions, as well as the relevant provisions by their terms. Congress 
    anticipated that these federal measures would contribute to both 
    progress toward attainment and attainment of the ozone standard and 
    thus these measures are an integral part of Congress' blueprint for 
    ozone attainment. Therefore, EPA concludes that implementation plans 
    should be allowed to account for those reductions in both attainment 
    and rate-of-progress plans. See Reference 10 and 61 FR 10920, 10936 
    (March 18, 1996).
        Among the categories covered by the national rule for consumer 
    products is windshield wiper fluids. MCESD has also adopted Rule 344 to 
    control emissions from windshield wiper fluids. EPA is currently 
    discussing the enforceability of the rule with the County and has not 
    approved the measure into the SIP, hence the emission reductions from 
    this category are based on the national rule and not Rule 344.
    Autobody Refinishing
        On April 30, 1996 and December 30, 1997, EPA proposed a national 
    rule governing emissions from autobody refinishing coatings. Under EPA 
    policy (Reference 11), a 37 percent reduction in emissions from 
    autobody refinishing may be credited to this national rule. For 
    Maricopa County, this rule will reduce VOC emissions from autobody 
    refinishing by an estimated 1.4 metric tons per day.
        MCESD has also adopted Rule 345 to control emissions from autobody 
    refinishing. EPA is currently discussing the enforceability of this 
    rule with the County and has not approved the measures into the SIP, 
    hence the emission reductions from this category are based on the 
    national rule and not Rule 345.
    Architectural and Industrial Maintenance Coatings
        On June 25, 1996 EPA proposed a national rule limiting the VOC 
    content of numerous categories of architectural and industrial 
    maintenance (AIM) coatings. Under EPA policy (Reference 12), a 20 
    percent reduction in emissions from the AIM coatings rule may be 
    credited to this national rule for areas without architectural coating 
    rules. As discussed above, Maricopa County already has in place Rule 
    335 that limits VOC content of architectural coatings. The national 
    rule, as proposed, includes new or tighter limits than are currently in 
    Rule 335 for a number of coating categories (e.g., traffic marking); 
    therefore, the Phoenix area will realize additional emission reductions 
    from the national rule of 0.6 metric tons per day by mid-1999.
    
    D. ``As Soon As Practicable'' Demonstration
    
        As discussed above, CAA section 182(b)(1) requires that all 
    moderate and above ozone nonattainment areas prepare plans that provide 
    for a 15 percent VOC emission reduction by November 15, 1996. Since 
    this deadline has passed, in order to demonstrate that the Phoenix area 
    has met the CAA section 182(b)(1) requirement, it must be demonstrated 
    that the 15 percent reduction will be achieved as soon as practicable 
    by showing that the applicable implementation plan contains all VOC 
    control measures that are practicable for the Phoenix area and that 
    meaningfully accelerate the date by which the 15 percent level is 
    achieved. Measures that provide only an insignificant additional amount 
    of reductions or could not be implemented soon enough to meaningfully 
    advance the date by which the 15 percent is demonstrated are not 
    required to be implemented to meet this test.
        For the purposes of this 15 percent demonstration only, EPA is 
    proposing to interpret ``significant emission reduction'' to be equal 
    to or more than one-half of one percent (0.5 percent) of the total 
    emission reduction needed to meet the 15 percent ROP requirement in 
    1999 for the Phoenix nonattainment area. One-half of one percent is 0.5 
    metric tons per day.
        For the purposes of this 15 percent demonstration only, EPA is also 
    proposing to interpret ``to meaningfully accelerate the date by which 
    the 15 percent is demonstrated'' to mean three or more months. Because 
    April 1 is before the June 1 start of the Phoenix ozone season, the 
    ambient air quality benefit that would be gained by advancing the 
    demonstration date by less than three months in advance of April 1 
    would not justify the implementation of additional federal measures in 
    the Phoenix area for the purposes of demonstrating 15 percent. On the 
    other hand, to advance the benchmark demonstration date for the ``as 
    soon as practicable'' test much more than three months (that is, before
    
    [[Page 3692]]
    
    January 1, 1999) would leave so little time between the projected 
    effective date of this action (July 1, 1998) and the benchmark 
    demonstration date that no measure could be reasonably implemented in 
    that short time period. Based on this reasoning, EPA believes that 
    three months is an appropriate benchmark for this ``as soon as 
    practicable'' test in this case.
        Based on its analysis and the set of SIP-approved and federal 
    measures proposed for credit above, EPA is projecting that the Phoenix 
    area will meet the required 15 percent reduction no later than April 1, 
    1999. An additional emission reduction totaling at least 0.6 metric 
    tons per day would be needed by January 1, 1999 to advance the 
    demonstration date to January 1, 1999. See TSD, Section III.D. 
    Therefore, to show that April 1, 1999 is the ``as soon as practicable 
    date'' to demonstrate a 15 percent ROP for the Phoenix area, it must be 
    shown that there are no measures that achieve a 0.6 metric tons per day 
    reduction by January 1, 1999.
        EPA analyzed a number of control measures that could potentially 
    advance the date by which the 15 percent reduction is demonstrated in 
    the Phoenix area and has found that there are no measures or 
    combination of measures that would advance the date by more than a de 
    minimis amount. These measures included ones recommended by EPA (see 
    ``Sample City Analysis Comparison of Enhanced I/M Reductions Versus 
    Other 15 Percent ROP Plan Measures,'' which is an attachment to 
    Reference 2), by the State and Territorial Air Pollution Program 
    Administrators/Association of Local Air Pollution Control Officials 
    (see ``Meeting the 15-Percent Rate-of-Progress Requirement Under the 
    Clean Air Act: A Menu of Options,'' STAPPA/ALAPCO, September 1993), and 
    in the Report of the Governor's Air Quality Strategies Task Force 
    (December 2, 1996), and the ``Reanalysis of the Metropolitan Voluntary 
    Early Ozone Plan,'' ADEQ et al, October 1997.
        Most of the measures EPA analyzed generated very small additional 
    emission reductions by January 1, 1999 (e.g., a complete ban on open 
    burning) or could not be implemented to achieve emission reduction 
    before January 1, 1999 (e.g., I/M improvements). In many cases, the 
    State is already developing (e.g., industrial cleaning solvents) or had 
    already adopted a similar measure (e.g., graphic arts) so that little, 
    if any, additional reductions would be achieved by a federal measure. 
    The complete analysis of potential measures is contained in the TSD for 
    this proposal.
        Based on this analysis, EPA has concluded that there are no 
    reasonable measures or combination of reasonable measures that could 
    meaningfully advance the demonstration date; therefore, the Agency 
    proposes to find that April 1, 1999 is the most expeditious date 
    practicable to demonstrate the 15 percent reduction.
    
    III. Conclusion
    
        Pursuant to its authority under CAA section 110(c) and for the 
    reasons discussed above, EPA is proposing to determine that the Phoenix 
    metropolitan area has in place or will have in place sufficient control 
    measures to meet the 15 percent ROP requirement for VOCs in CAA section 
    182(b)(1)(A) as soon as practicable. This proposed determination is 
    predicated on EPA's reanalysis of the State's 15 percent ROP plan to 
    reflect the realities of the VEIP, reductions from additional controls 
    adopted by the State, and additional federal regulations.
        EPA is also proposing to approve the State's 1990 base year 
    inventory under CAA sections 110(k)(2) and 182(a)(1).
    
    IV. Administrative Requirements
    
    A. Executive Order (E.O.) 12866
    
        The Office of Management and Budget has exempted this action from 
    E.O. 12866 review.
    
    B. Regulatory Flexibility Act
    
        Under the Regulatory Flexibility Act, 5 U.S.C. 601 et seq., EPA 
    must prepare a regulatory flexibility analysis assessing the impact of 
    any proposed or final rule on small entities. 5 U.S.C. 603 and 604. 
    Alternatively, EPA may certify that the rule will not have a 
    significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities. 
    Small entities include small businesses, small not-for-profit 
    enterprises, and government entities with jurisdiction over populations 
    of less than 50,000.
        This proposal simply presents the analysis of the emission impacts 
    on the Phoenix metropolitan area of already adopted or proposed State 
    and federal rules. This action neither proposes the promulgation of 
    additional measures nor requires Arizona or its local jurisdictions to 
    adopt or implement additional measures beyond those that they currently 
    have adopted and implemented or have been proposed or implemented at 
    the federal level. As such, it does not propose to regulate any 
    entities. Therefore, pursuant to 5 U.S.C. 605(b), EPA certifies that 
    today's proposed action does not have a significant impact on a 
    substantial number of small entities within the meaning of those terms 
    for RFA purposes.
    
    C. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
    
        Title II of the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (UMRA), P.L. 
    104-4, establishes requirements for Federal agencies to assess the 
    effects of their regulatory actions on State, local, and tribal 
    governments and the private sector. Under section 202 of the UMRA, EPA 
    generally must prepare a written statement, including a cost-benefit 
    analysis, when EPA promulgates ``any general notice of proposed 
    rulemaking that is likely to result in promulgation of any rule that 
    includes any Federal mandate that may result in the expenditures by 
    State, local, and tribal governments, in the aggregate, or by the 
    private sector, of $100 million or more'' in any one year. A ``Federal 
    mandate'' is defined, under section 101 of UMRA, as a provision that 
    ``would impose an enforceable duty'' upon the private sector or State, 
    local, or tribal governments'', with certain exceptions not here 
    relevant. Under section 203 of UMRA, EPA must develop a small 
    government agency plan before EPA ``establish[es] any regulatory 
    requirements that might significantly or uniquely affect small 
    governments''. Under section 204 of UMRA, EPA is required to develop a 
    process to facilitate input by elected officers of State, local, and 
    tribal governments for EPA's ``regulatory proposals'' that contain 
    significant Federal intergovernmental mandates. Under section 205 of 
    UMRA, before EPA promulgates ``any rule for which a written statement 
    is required under [UMRA section] 202'', EPA must identify and consider 
    a reasonable number of regulatory alternatives and either adopt the 
    least costly, most cost-effective or least burdensome alternative that 
    achieves the objectives of the rule, or explain why a different 
    alternative was selected.
        As explained above, sections 202, 203, 204, and 205 of UMRA do not 
    apply to today's action because it does not impose an enforceable duty 
    on or otherwise affect any entity. Therefore, EPA is not required and 
    has not taken any actions under UMRA.
    
    List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
    
        Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Intergovernmental 
    relations, Ozone.
    
    
    [[Page 3693]]
    
    
        Dated: January 20, 1998.
    Carol M. Browner,
    Administrator.
    
    References
    
        1. General Preamble for the Implementation of Title I of the Clean 
    Air Act Amendments of 1990, April 16, 1992, 57 FR 13498.
        2. Memorandum, John S. Seitz, Director of the Office of Air Quality 
    Planning and Standards, and Richard B. Ossias, Deputy Associate General 
    Counsel to Regional Air Division Directors; ``15 Percent VOC SIP 
    Approvals and the `As Soon As Practicable' Test;'' February 12, 1997 
    including the attachment ``Sample City Analysis Comparison of Enhanced 
    I/M Reductions Versus Other 15 Percent ROP Plan Measures,'' E.H. Pechan 
    and Associates, December 12, 1996.
        3. Note, Margo Oge, Director Office of Mobile Sources and John 
    Seitz, Director of OAPQS to Regional Division Directors; re: Date by 
    which States Need to Achieve all the Reductions Needed for the 15% Plan 
    from I/M and Guidance for Recalculation, August 13, 1996.
        4. Memorandum, Gay MacGregor, Director Regional and State Programs 
    Division, OMS and Sally Shaver, Director, Air Quality Strategies and 
    Standards Division, OAQPS to Regional Air Division Directors; 
    ``Modeling 15% VOC Reduction(s) from I/M in 1999--Supplemental 
    Guidance;'' December 23, 1996.
        5. Memorandum, Philip A. Lorang, Director, Emission Planning and 
    Strategies Division, OMS to Regional Air Division Directors; ``Release 
    of MOBILE5a Emission Factor Model,'' March 29, 1993.
        6. OAQPS, U.S. EPA. Guidance on the Adjusted Base Year Emissions 
    Inventory and the 1996 Target for the 15 Percent Rate of Progress 
    Plans. EPA-452/R-92-005. October 1992.
        7. Letter, Nancy Wrona, Director, Air Quality Division, ADEQ; to 
    David Howekamp, Director, Air and Toxics Division, EPA-Region 9; 
    ``Submittal of Additional Information in Support of Approval of 15% 
    Rate of Progress Ozone Plan for Maricopa County;'' September 11, 1997.
        8. Memorandum, Philip A. Lorang, Director, Emission Planning and 
    Strategies Division, OMS to Regional Air Division Directors; ``Future 
    Nonroad Emission Reduction Credits for Court-Ordered Nonroad 
    Standards;'' November 29, 1994.
        9. Memorandum, John S. Seitz, Director, OAQPS to Regional Air 
    Division Directors; ``Regulatory Schedule for Consumer and Commercial 
    Products under Section 182(e) of the Clean Air Act;'' June 22, 1995.
        10. Memoranda, Mary Nichols, Assistant Administrator for Air and 
    Radiation, U.S. EPA to Regional Administrators, Regions 1-10; ``SIP 
    Credits for Federal Nonroad Engine Emissions Standards and Certain 
    Other Mobile Source Programs;'' November 23, 1994 and January 30, 1996.
        11. Memorandum, John S. Seitz, Director, OAQPS to Regional Air 
    Division Directors; ``Credit for the 15 Percent Rate-of-Progress Plans 
    for Reductions from the Architectural and Industrial Maintenance 
    Coating Rule and the Autobody Refinishing Rule;'' November 29, 1994.
        12. Memorandum, John S. Seitz, Director, OAQPS to Regional Air 
    Division Directors; ``Credit for the 15 Percent Rate-of-Progress Plans 
    for Reductions from the Architectural and Industrial Maintenance (AIM) 
    Coating Rule;'' March 22, 1995.
    
    [FR Doc. 98-1765 Filed 1-23-98; 8:45 am]
    BILLING CODE 6560-50-U
    
    
    

Document Information

Published:
01/26/1998
Department:
Environmental Protection Agency
Entry Type:
Proposed Rule
Action:
Proposed rule.
Document Number:
98-1765
Dates:
Comments on this proposal must be received in writing by March 27, 1998. Commenters may also request the opportunity to submit oral comments pursuant to Clean Air Act section 307(d)(5). Requests for a public hearing must be received by February 5, 1998.
Pages:
3687-3693 (7 pages)
Docket Numbers:
AZ-005-ROP FRL-5953-4
PDF File:
98-1765.pdf
CFR: (1)
40 CFR 52