2024-30370. 2024 LNG Export Study: Energy, Economic, and Environmental Assessment of U.S. LNG Exports

Cumulative (2020-2050) Consequential GHG Intensities of U.S. LNG Exports

Comparison of scenarios	Scenario	2050 U.S. LNG exports (Exajoule or EJ) [Bcf/d] a	Cumulative (2020-2050) change in . . .			Cumulative consequential GHG emissions intensity (g CO 2 e/MJ)
			U.S. LNG exports (EJ) [% increase from existing/FID]	GHG emissions (MMT CO 2 e) [% increase from existing/FID] b	Global services (%)
Existing/FID Exports to Model Resolved	Defined Policies	20.3 [56.3]	113 [50%]	711 [0.05%]	0.08	6.3
	Commitments (High CCS)	11.9 [33.1]	31 [14%]	97 [0.01%]	0.02	3.1
	Commitments (Mod CCS)	9.7 [26.8]	11 [5%]	67 [0.01%]	0.01	5.9
	Net Zero (High CCS)	10.3 [28.5]	17 [8%]	21 [0.002%]	0.01	1.2
	Net Zero (Mod CCS)  c	6.2 [17.2]	0	NA	NA	NA
a  2050 U.S. LNG export levels for Model Resolved scenarios.
b  Cumulative change in GHG emissions (2020-2050) are 1.2% higher than the GCAM results to align the upstream emission estimates with NETL estimates that are used to explore upstream and liquefaction facility contributions to the consequential results (see Appendix C for additional details).
c   Net Zero (Mod CCS) U.S. LNG export levels do not change between the Existing/FID Exports to Model Resolved scenarios resulting in no change in global emissions or services, the results are listed as “NA” or Not Applicable.