[Federal Register Volume 61, Number 125 (Thursday, June 27, 1996)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 33421-33469]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 96-16330]
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 86
[AMS-FRL-5526-9]
Control of Emissions of Air Pollution from Highway Heavy-Duty
Engines
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking.
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SUMMARY: In this action, EPA proposes new emission standards and
related provisions for heavy-duty engines intended for highway
operation, beginning in the 2004 model year. The proposed provisions
represent a large reduction (approximately 50 percent) in emission of
oxides of nitrogen (NOX), as well as reductions in hydrocarbons
(HC) and nitrate particulate matter (PM) from trucks and buses. If the
proposed standards are implemented, the resulting emission reductions
would translate into significant, long-term improvements in air quality
in many areas of the U.S. This would provide much-needed assistance to
a range of states and regions facing ozone and particulate air quality
problems that are causing a range of adverse health effects for their
citizens, especially in terms of respiratory impairment and related
illnesses.
EPA is also proposing several provisions to increase the durability
of emission controls and to provide flexibility for manufacturers in
complying with the stringent new standards. The Agency previously
published an Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking relating to this
action and addresses here a number of the comments received on the
Advance Notice. EPA believes the proposed program would result in
significant progress throughout the country in protecting public health
and the environment.
DATES: EPA requests comment on the proposal rulemaking no later than
August 26, 1996.
EPA will hold a public hearing on this proposal on July 25, 1996.
EPA will also hold a public meeting on July 19, 1996, to discuss
the proposed HDE regulations and receive informal public input on them,
and to discuss other potential mobile source controls identified in the
California Ozone State Implementation Plan for the South Coast (the
greater Los Angeles area).
More information about commenting on this action and on the public
hearing and meeting may be found under Public Participation, in Section
II of SUPPLEMENARY INFORMATION.
ADDRESSES: Materials relevant to this proposal including the draft
regulatory text and Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) are contained in
Public Docket A-95-27, located at room M-1500, Waterside Mall (ground
floor), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 401 M Street, S.W.,
Washington, DC 20460. The docket may be inspected from 8:00 a.m. until
5:30 p.m., Monday through Friday. A reasonable fee may be charged by
EPA for copying docket materials.
Comments on this proposal should be sent to Public Docket A-95-27
at the above address. EPA requests that a copy of comments also be sent
to Chris Lieske, U.S. EPA, Engine Programs and Compliance Division,
2565 Plymouth Road, Ann Arbor, MI 48105.
The hearing on this proposal will be held at the Marriott Hotel and
[[Page 33422]]
Conference Center, 1275 South Huron Street, Ypsilanti, MI, (313) 487-
2000, from 9:00 am until all testimony has been presented.
The public meeting to discuss the proposed HDE regulations will be
held Downtown Los Angeles Hyatt Regency, 711 South Hope Street, Los
Angeles, California. The public meeting will be conducted in two
sessions beginning at 2:00 p.m. and 7:00 p.m., with a dinner recess
before the 7:00 p.m. sessions.
This proposal, the draft regulatory text, and the draft Regulatory
Impact Analysis (RIA) are available electronically and can be obtained
on the Technology Transfer Network (TTN), which is an electronic
bulletin board system (BBS) operated by EPA's Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards and via the internet. Details on how to access
TTNBBS and the internet are included in Section XIII of SUPPLEMENTARY
INFORMATION.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Chris Lieske, U.S. EPA, Engine
Programs and Compliance Division, (313) 668-4584.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Introduction
Air pollution continues to represent a serious threat to the health
and well-being of millions of Americans and a large burden to the U.S.
economy. This threat exists despite the fact that, over the past two
decades, great progress has been made at the local, state and national
levels in controlling emissions from many sources of air pollution. As
a result of this progress, many individual emission sources, both
stationary and mobile, pollute at only a fraction of their precontrol
rates. However, continued industrial growth and expansion of motor
vehicle usage threaten to reverse these past achievements. Today, more
than five years after passage of major amendments to the Clean Air Act
(CAA or the Act), many states are still finding it difficult to meet
the ozone and PM National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQSs) by the
deadlines established in the Act.\1\ Furthermore, other states which
are approaching or have reached attainment of the ozone and PM NAAQSs
will likely see those gains lost if current trends persist.
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\1\ See 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
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In recent years, significant efforts have been made on both a
national and state level to reduce air quality problems associated with
ground-level ozone, with a focus on its main precursors, oxides of
nitrogen (NOX) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs).\2\ In
addition, airborne particulate matter (PM) has been a major air quality
concern in many regions. As discussed below, NOX, ozone, and PM
have all been linked to a range of serious respiratory health problems
and a variety of adverse environmental effects.
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\2\ VOCs consist mostly of hydrocarbons (HC).
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NOX control is now seen as a critical strategy to control
ozone levels, which remain unacceptably high in many areas across the
country. For many years, control of VOCs was the main strategy employed
in efforts to reduce ground-level ozone. VOC reductions were deemed
more cost effective (on a per-ton basis) and more readily achievable
than NOX reductions. In addition, it was generally believed that
greater ozone benefits could be achieved through VOC reductions. More
recently, it has become clear that NOX controls are often an
effective strategy for reducing ozone where its levels are high over a
large region (as in the Midwest and Northeast). As a result, attention
has turned to controlling NOX emissions as a key to improving air
quality in many areas of the country.
Current projections show total NOX emissions decreasing
slightly during the next few years as stationary and mobile source
control programs promulgated under the 1990 CAA amendments are phased
in. However, the downward trends in NOX pollution will begin to
reverse and NOX emission inventories will begin to rise by the
early or middle part of the next decade due to growth in stationary and
mobile source activity. In this timeframe, emissions from mobile
sources will account for about half of all NOX emissions and
heavy-duty vehicles are projected to represent about one quarter of
mobile source NOX emissions. In most areas, a significant increase
in ground-level ozone is expected to accompany the rise in NOX
emissions. Levels of PM are also expected to rise, both because of the
expected increase in numbers of PM sources and because NOX is
transformed in the atmosphere into fine nitrate particles that account
for a substantial fraction of the airborne particulate in some areas of
the country (a process called ``secondary particulate formation'').
Given these expected trends and the absence of new emission control
initiatives, the Agency believes that some of the nation's hard-won air
quality improvements will begin to be seriously threatened early in the
next decade.
Over the past decade, ambient air measurements and computer
modeling studies have repeatedly demonstrated that ozone is a regional-
scale issue, not just a local issue, in part because ozone and its
precursors, NOX and VOC, are often transported across large
distances. Thus, there is a role for all levels of government to
address these issues. EPA's state and local partners generally agree
that only with new initiatives at the regional and national level can
long-term clean air goals be achieved.
The states have jurisdiction to implement a variety of stationary
source emission controls. In most regions of the country, states are
implementing significant stationary source NOX controls (as well
as stationary source VOC controls) for controlling acid rain, ozone, or
both. In many areas, however, these controls will not be sufficient to
reach and maintain the ozone standard without significant additional
NOX reductions from mobile sources. Generally, the Clean Air Act
specifies that standards for controlling NOX, HC, and PM emissions
from new motor vehicles must be established at the federal level.3
Thus, the states look to the national mobile source emission control
program as a complement to their efforts to meet air quality goals. The
concept of common emission standards for mobile sources across the
nation is strongly supported by manufacturers, which often face serious
production inefficiencies when different requirements apply to engines
or vehicles sold in different states or areas.
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\3\ The CAA limits the role states may play in regulating
emissions from new motor vehicles. California is permitted to
establish emission control standards for new motor vehicles, and
other states may adopt California's programs (Sections 209 and 177
of the Act).
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Motor vehicle emission control programs have a history of
technological success that, in the past, has largely offset the
pressure from constantly growing numbers of vehicles and miles traveled
in the U.S. The per-vehicle rate of emissions from new passenger cars
and light trucks has been reduced to very low levels. As a result,
increasing attention is now focused on heavy-duty trucks (ranging from
large pickups to tractor-trailers), buses, and nonroad equipment.
Since the 1970s, manufacturers of heavy-duty engines for highway
use have developed new technological approaches in response to periodic
increases in the stringency of emission standards.4 However, the
technological characteristics of heavy-duty engines, particularly
diesel engines, have so far prevented achievement of emission levels
comparable to today's light-duty
[[Page 33423]]
gasoline vehicles. While diesel engines provide advantages in terms of
fuel efficiency, reliability, and durability, controlling NOX
emissions is a greater challenge for diesel engines than for gasoline
engines. Similarly, control of PM emissions, which are very low for
gasoline engines, represents a substantial challenge for diesel
engines. Part of this challenge is that most traditional NOX
control approaches tend to increase PM, and vice versa.
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\4\ Highway heavy-duty engines, sometimes referred to as highway
HDEs in this proposal, are used in heavy-duty vehicles, which EPA
defines as highway vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating over
8,500 pounds.
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Despite these technological challenges, there is substantial
evidence of the ability for heavy-duty highway engines to achieve
significant additional emission reductions. In their successful efforts
to reach lower NOX and PM levels over the past 20 years, heavy-
duty highway diesel engine manufacturers have identified new
technologies and approaches that offer promise for significant new
reductions. New technological options are available to manufacturers of
heavy-duty gasoline engines as well. The emerging technological
potential for much cleaner heavy-duty vehicles is discussed further in
Section IV of this proposal and in the associated Regulatory Impact
Analysis (RIA).
Recognizing the need for additional NOX and PM control
measures to address air quality concerns in several parts of the
country and the growing contribution of the heavy-duty engine sector to
ozone and PM problems, EPA issued an Advance Notice of Proposed
Rulemaking (ANPRM) on August 31, 1995. In the ANPRM, the Agency sought
early comment on the general framework of a program to reduce emissions
from the heavy-duty engine category. The Agency has been pleased that a
broad range of interested parties have responded to the ANPRM with
their comments. To the extent possible, EPA has considered and
addressed these comments in the preparation of this Notice of Proposed
Rulemaking (NPRM). EPA continues to encourage comment on all aspects of
the proposed program; where ANPRM commenters may believe that this
action fails to address their comments, EPA encourages them to resubmit
those comments in the context of this formal proposal.
This preamble is organized as follows: Section II.A. summarizes the
public health and environmental concerns from ozone, PM and their
precursors; Section II.B. discusses the connection of these emissions
to air quality trends and the regional nature of the ozone and PM
problems; Section II.C. presents trends in overall nationwide NOX,
VOC, and PM emissions; Section II.D. presents the current and projected
future contribution of heavy-duty vehicles to overall emissions;
Section II.E. summarizes the overall rationale for the action being
proposed; Section III. then describes in detail the standards and other
provisions being proposed as well as background on the regulation of
highway heavy-duty engines; Section IV. summarizes the technological
feasibility of the proposed program; Section V. reviews the results of
EPA's economic and environmental analyses; Section VI. discusses the
potential role of several incentive-based programs; and Section VII.
provides information about the formal public comment process, including
a public hearing. The actual proposed regulatory language is available
in the public docket and electronically (see ADDRESSES above and
Section XIII. for further information).
II. Need for New NOX and VOC Emission Control
A. Health and Environmental Impacts of Ambient NOX and VOC: Ozone,
Particulate Matter, and Other Effects
Oxides of nitrogen (NOX) comprise a family of highly reactive
gaseous compounds that contribute to air pollution in both urban and
rural environments. NOX emissions are produced during the
combustion of fuels at high temperatures. The primary sources of
atmospheric NOX include both stationary sources (such as power
plants and industrial boilers), highway sources (such as light-duty and
heavy-duty vehicles) and nonroad sources (such as construction and
agricultural equipment). Ambient levels of NOX can be directly
harmful to human health and the environment. More importantly from an
overall health and welfare perspective, NOX contributes to the
production of secondary chemical products that in turn cause additional
health and welfare effects. Prominent among these are ozone and
secondary PM formation. Each of these phenomena is briefly discussed in
this proposal and in more detail in the Regulatory Impact Analysis.
Much of the evaluation of the health and environmental effects
related to NOX found in this section and in the Regulatory Impact
Analysis (RIA) were also discussed in the August 31, 1995 ANPRM.5
EPA encourages comment on the Agency beliefs expressed in this proposal
and in the RIA.
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\5\ Information cited in this section and other related
information on health and environmental effects related to NOX
and VOC are available from the Regulatory Impact Analysis and other
documents found in Docket A-95-27.
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1. Direct Health Effects of NOX
The component of NOX that is of most concern from a health
standpoint is nitrogen dioxide, NO2. EPA has set a primary
(health-related) NAAQS for NO2 of 100 micrograms per cubic meter,
or 0.053 parts per million. Direct exposure to NO2 can reduce
breathing efficiency and increase lung and airway irritation in healthy
people, as well as in the elderly and in people with pre-existing
pulmonary conditions. Exposure to NO2 at or near the level of the
ambient standard appears to increase symptoms of respiratory illness,
lung congestion, wheeze, and increased bronchitis in children.6
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\6\ Air Quality Criteria Document for Oxides of Nitrogen, EPA-
600/8-91/049aF-cF, August 1993 (NTIS #: PB92-17-6361/REB, -6379/REB,
-6387/REB).
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2. Indirect Health and Welfare Effects of NOX and VOC
In addition to the direct effects of NOX, the chemical
transformation products of NOX also contribute to adverse health
and environmental impacts. These secondary impacts of NOX include
ground-level ozone, nitrate particulate matter, acid deposition,
eutrophication (plant overgrowth) of coastal waters, and transformation
of other pollutants into more dangerous chemical forms. Each of these
is discussed below and in the Regulatory Impact Analysis. Also,
volatile organic compounds (VOCs), composed of a very large number of
different hydrocarbons (HC) and other organic compounds, are primary
precursors to ozone. The health and environmental effects of these
compounds as a class are generally considered in terms of their effect
on ozone and are discussed below and in the RIA. Health or other
effects of individual toxic compounds are not separately addressed in
this proposal.
a. Ozone
NOX and VOCs are primary precursors to ground level ozone
(O3). As discussed later in this proposal, ozone tends to be a
regional phenomenon in which elevated levels of ozone can develop over
wide areas.
Ozone is a highly reactive chemical compound that can affect both
biological tissues and man-made materials. Ozone exposure causes a
range of human pulmonary and respiratory health effects. While ozone's
effects on the pulmonary function of sensitive individuals or
populations (e.g., asthmatics) are of primary concern, evidence
indicates that high ambient levels of ozone can cause respiratory
symptoms in healthy adults and
[[Page 33424]]
children as well. For example, exposure to ozone for several hours at
moderate concentrations, especially during outdoor work and exercise,
has been found to decrease lung function, increase airway inflammation,
increase sensitivity to other irritants, and impair lung defenses
against infections in otherwise healthy adults and children. Other
symptoms include chest pain, coughing, and shortness of breath.7
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\7\ Air Quality Criteria Document for Ozone and Related
Photochemical Oxidants (External Review Draft), EPA/600/P-93/004aF-
cF, 1996.
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Recent studies focusing on chronic lung effects are also being
evaluated as part of EPA's review of the current ozone NAAQS. Repeated
exposures in laboratory animals suggest a cumulative impact,
potentially causing permanent structural changes to respiratory
tissues.8 Extrapolation of these results to humans raises concern
that individuals who have been exposed to ambient air containing high
levels of ozone each summer of their lives may experience a reduced
quality of life in their later years.9
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\8\ Gross, K.B., White, H.J. (1987) ``Functional and pathologic
consequences of a 52-week exposure to 0.5 PPM ozone followed by a
clean air recovery period,'' Lung 165:283-295.; Huang, Y, Chang, L.-
Y, Miller, F.J., Crapo, J.D. (1988) ``Lung injury caused by ambient
levels of ozone,'' J. Aerosol Med. 1:180-183; Tyler, W.S., Tyler,
N.K., Last, J.A., Gillespie, M.J., Barstow, T.J. (1988) ``Comparison
of daily and seasonal exposures of young monkeys to ozone,''
Toxicology 50:131-144.
\9\ See, for example, Euler, G.L.; Abbey, D.E.; Hodgkin, J.E.;
Magie, A.R. (1988) ``COPD symptom effects of long-term cumulative
exposure to ambient levels of total oxidants and nitrogen dioxide in
California Seventh-Day Adventist residents,'' Arch. Environ. Health
43:279-285.
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As described in more detail in the RIA, the presence of elevated
levels of ozone is of concern in rural areas as well. Because of its
high chemical reactivity, ozone causes injury to vegetation. This
injury has been observed at ozone levels above and also below the
current ozone NAAQS; EPA in is the process of reconsidering the
appropriate level of the ozone NAAQS in light of such evidence.
Although the action proposed is not being proposed for the purpose of
reducing crop damage from ozone, it is of interest to note that
estimates based on experimental studies of the major commercial crops
in the U.S. suggest that ozone may be responsible for significant
agricultural crop yield losses. In addition, ozone causes noticeable
leaf injury in many crops, which reduces their marketability and value.
Finally, there is evidence that exposure to ambient levels of ozone
existing in many parts of the country may be responsible for forest and
ecosystem damage. Such damage may be exhibited as leaf damage, reduced
growth rate, and increased susceptibility to insects, disease, and
other environmental stresses.
b. Nitrate Particulate Matter
The conversion of NOX into fine particulate matter (such as
ammonium nitrate) is of significant human health and environmental
concern. In general, air pollutants collectively called particulate
matter (PM) are divided into primary and secondary sources. Primary
sources include dust, dirt, soot, smoke, and liquid droplets directly
emitted into the air by sources such as factories, power plants, cars,
trucks, woodstoves/fireplaces, construction activity, forest fires,
agricultural activities such as tillage, and natural windblown dust.
Particles formed secondarily in the atmosphere by condensation or the
transformation of emitted gases such as SO2, NOX, and VOCs
are also considered particulate matter. Ambient PM is related to
several adverse health and environmental effects.
At the present time, data is not available to precisely partition
PM-10 into its primary and secondary PM components. Most of the well
developed nationwide PM-10 inventories are based only on primary
sources, but inventories for some PM-10 nonattainment areas have
identified the primary and secondary PM. From the available data, it is
clear that the roles of primary and secondary PM vary geographically.
For example, ammonium nitrate is a significant portion of the PM-10
inventory in cities in the western states (e.g., Denver, Salt Lake
City, Los Angeles) and a smaller portion of total PM in cities in the
eastern states (e.g., Philadelphia, New York). As discussed in the RIA,
EPA estimates that the NOX to Nitrate conversion rate varies from
near zero to about 20 percent, with a U.S. average in the order of
about 5 percent. While there is not data available on this at the
present time, it is reasonable to assume that NOX emissions from
heavy-duty engines are converted to nitrate at the same rate as
NOX from other sources.
The existing NAAQS for particulate matter were set in 1987. The
primary standards, intended to protect human health, are an average
concentration of 150 micrograms per cubic meter (g/m3)
over a 24-hour period and an average concentration of 50 g/
m3 annually. PM-10 was selected as the indicator for particle
pollution based on lung deposition studies. PM-10 includes all
particles in the size range of 10 micrometers or less. Particles
smaller than 2.5 micrometers are capable of penetrating deeper into the
lungs and air sacs. The secondary standards, intended to protect
against damage to the environment, were set identical to the primary
standards.
Since the last review of the PM-10 NAAQS in 1987, many
epidemiological studies of PM-10 exposure at levels below the existing
24-hour and annual standards have associated higher levels of particle
pollution with increased occurrence of illness and death (e.g.,
increased hospital admissions, aggravation of bronchitis and asthma,
and premature deaths). Based on studies of human populations exposed to
high concentrations of particles and on laboratory studies of animals
and humans, there are major human health concerns associated with PM.
These include deleterious effects on breathing and the respiratory
system, aggravation of existing respiratory and cardiovascular disease,
alterations in the body's defense mechanisms against foreign materials,
direct and indirect damage to lung tissue resulting in fibrosis,
carcinogenesis, and premature death. The major subgroups of the
population that appear to be most sensitive to the effects of
particulate matter include individuals with emphysema-like conditions
or cardiovascular diseases, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,
those with influenza, asthmatics, the elderly, and children. PM-10 also
soils and damages materials, and fine particles are a major cause of
visibility impairment in the United States.10
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\10\ Air Quality Criteria for Particulate Matter (External
Review Draft), EPA-600/AP-95/001a-a, April 1995.
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All particles in the atmosphere scatter light and, hence, reduce
visibility. However, light is scattered most efficiently by particles
with a diameter of 0.5-1.0 micrometers. Secondary particles such as
nitrates are in this size range. As discussed in the RIA, in locations
such as the western U.S., where the ambient levels of SO2 tend to
be low, EPA believes nitrate particles are major contributors to
visibility attenuation.
c. Other Secondary Effects of NOX
NOX is a major contributor to acid deposition. The damage
caused by acid deposition continues to be documented and includes
acidification of surface waters and soil, reduction in fish
populations, damage to forests and associated wildlife, soil
degradation, damage to materials, monuments, buildings, etc., and
reduced visibility.11
[[Page 33425]]
Effects of acid deposition are most pronounced during springtime
snowmelts, when ``pulses'' of highly acidic water, often containing
high concentrations of toxic aluminum, enter lakes and streams. In
addition, nitrogen compounds deposited on ecosystems can transport
acids already contained in the soils and thus contribute to the
acidification of those ecosystems. Although one commenter on the ANPRM,
API, challenged the importance of NOX control in reducing acid
deposition, EPA believes that geographically broad controls like those
proposed in this action represent a cost-effective method of reducing
overall levels of deposited acid.12
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\11\ ``Acid Deposition Standard Feasibility Study, A Report to
Congress,'' prepared for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency by
the Cadmus Group, Inc., under Contract Number 68-D2-0168, February
1995.
\12\ More information about EPA's position on the relationship
between NOX and acid deposition may be found as item II-A-13 in
Docket A-95-28, titled Draft Report: Adverse Effects of Nitrogen
Oxides and Benefits of Reductions.
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Another secondary effect of NOX emissions is their role in the
overgrowth of algae and other plants and oxygen depletion
(eutrophication) in coastal estuaries in the eastern part of the
country, including the Chesapeake Bay, as well as other estuaries and
coastal waters.13 Airborne nitrogen compounds act as fertilizers
for plant growth, contributing an estimated 25 percent of nitrogen
loading in some coastal waters. In waters where nitrogen compounds are
the limiting factor, eutrophication is resulting in the reduction or
loss of commercially valuable aquatic/marine species as well as
diminution of water-related recreational activities. EPA addressed this
effect on estuaries in the ANPRM and received no comments counter to
the Agency's assessment; comment on this issue is encouraged.
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\13\ Deposition of Air Pollutants Into the Great Waters: First
Report to Congress, EPA-453/r-93-055, May 1994.
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EPA encourages comment on all aspects of its review of the human
health and environmental impacts of ozone, NOX, and PM (especially
secondary nitrate PM), both in this preamble and in the Regulatory
Impact Analysis.
B. Need for NOX and VOC Control To Address Ozone and PM Issues
1. Regional NOX Control as a Strategy for Addressing Regional
Ozone Problems
The precursors to ozone and ozone itself are transported long
distances under some commonly occurring meteorological conditions.
Specifically, concentrations of ozone and its precursors in a region
and the transport of ozone and precursor pollutants into, out of, and
within a region are very significant factors in the accumulation of
ozone in any given area. Regional-scale transport, as it is discussed
in this proposal, may occur within a state or across one or more state
boundaries. Local source NOX and VOC controls are key parts of the
overall attainment strategy for nonattainment areas. However, the
ability of an area to achieve ozone attainment and thereby reduce
ozone-related health and environmental effects is often heavily
influenced by the ozone and precursor emission levels of upwind areas.
Thus, for many of these areas, EPA believes that attainment of the
ozone NAAQS will require control programs much broader than strictly
locally focused controls to take into account the effect of emissions
and ozone far beyond the boundaries of any individual nonattainment
area.
EPA therefore believes that effective ozone control requires an
integrated strategy that combines cost-effective reductions in
emissions from both mobile and stationary sources. EPA's current
initiatives, including the national highway heavy-duty engine standards
proposed in this action, are components of the Agency's integrated
ozone reduction strategy.
By the time the 1990 amendments to the Clean Air Act were passed,
the understanding that many areas face regional-scale ozone problems
was well established. Before 1990, the Act required states to address
the contribution of their pollution to other areas' attainment of the
ozone standard. Then, in the 1990 amendments, Congress included
additional provisions for states to address regional ozone transport in
their efforts to reach attainment by the statutory deadlines (the
Northeast Ozone Transport Region and Commission resulted from these
provisions). Since 1990, the understanding of regional transport of
ozone precursors and ozone itself has continued to expand.
The problem of regional transport of ozone and its precursors is
widely recognized by the states. In response to concerns about this
problem raised by state environmental commissioners comprising the
Environmental Council of the States (ECOS), EPA has worked closely with
states in the Ozone Transport Assessment Group (OTAG) to develop
various recommended control measures intended to address the regional
nature of ozone. Similarly, state and local air administrators, under
the auspices of STAPPA and ALAPCO, recently passed a unanimous
resolution endorsing national NOX emission regulations.14
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\14\ See comments from STAPPA/ALAPCO in Docket A-95-27.
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As the understanding of the photochemical phenomena related to
ozone has developed, NOX control options have received increasing
attention. Especially in addressing regional-scale ozone problems,
control of NOX has emerged as the primary strategy. VOC control,
by comparison, is seen as most effective in addressing localized ozone
peak concentrations found in or near major urban areas. As discussed
further below, EPA has conducted modeling studies in recent years
covering the eastern half of the U.S., which have reinforced the
understanding that regional-scale control of NOX emissions will be
essential to reducing the levels of transported ozone in large areas of
the Northeast, Southeast, and Midwest. EPA believes that ozone problems
in California also represent regional problems that would be
susceptible to regional NOX control. Thus, the extent of local
controls that will be needed to attain and maintain the ozone NAAQS in
and near seriously polluted cities is sensitive both to the amount of
ozone and precursors transported into the local area and to the
specific photochemistry of the area. In some cases (e.g., portions of
the Northeast Corridor, the Lake Michigan area, Atlanta, and
California) preliminary local modeling performed by the states
indicates that it will likely not be feasible to find sufficient local
control measures for individual nonattainment areas unless transport
into the areas is reduced in some manner. EPA has carefully considered
this important relationship between local and regional NOX
controls for individual areas and regions and for the country as a
whole, as summarized in the next sections. EPA requests comment on
these issues as well as general comments on the need for regional-scale
NOX controls.
a. Action by States and EPA To Achieve CAA Air Quality Goals
Title I of the 1990 Clean Air Act amendments (Sections 181-185(b),
generally) established an aggressive strategy for ozone nonattainment
areas to come into compliance with the ozone NAAQS. (The case of
attainment of the PM NAAQS is discussed in section B.3. below.) The
Act's strategy provides the framework for action by states and EPA for
national, regional, and local controls. Under these provisions, states
are expected to submit State Implementation Plans (SIPs)
[[Page 33426]]
demonstrating how each nonattainment area will reach attainment of the
ozone NAAQS. Based on the degree that ozone concentrations in an area
exceed the standard, the Act spells out specific requirements that
states must incorporate into their attainment plans and sets specific
dates by which nonattainment areas must reach attainment.
For nonattainment areas designated as serious, severe, or extreme,
state attainment demonstrations involve the use of photochemical grid
modeling (e.g., Urban Airshed Modeling, or UAM) for each nonattainment
area. Although these attainment demonstrations were due November 15,
1994, the magnitude of this modeling task, especially for areas that
are significantly affected by transport of ozone and precursors
generated outside of the nonattainment area, has delayed many states in
submitting complete modeling results.
Recognizing these challenges, EPA recently issued guidance on ozone
demonstrations, based on a two-phase approach for the submittal of
ozone SIP attainment demonstrations.15 Under Phase I, the state is
required to conduct limited UAM modeling and submit a plan implementing
a set of specific local control measures to achieve major reductions in
ozone precursors. Phase II involves a two-year process during which
EPA, the states, regional associations, and other interested parties
can improve emission inventories and modeling and identify regional
measures that may be needed to supplement the local controls of Phase
I. These improved analyses are then to be considered by states in
identifying additional local control measures that may be needed to
attain the NAAQS by the statutory dates. Currently, under Phase I of
the process, states are submitting plans and EPA is taking action to
approve or disapprove them.
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\15\ Memorandum from Mary D. Nichols, Assistant Administrator
for Air and Radiation, to EPA Regional Administrators, re Ozone
Attainment Demonstrations, March 2, 1995.
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As part of these Phase I submittals, some states have indicated
that on the basis of preliminary information, locally based stationary
source NOX controls in those nonattainment areas would not be
helpful--or, in a few cases, would be detrimental--to attainment of the
ozone NAAQS. These states have petitioned EPA under Section 182(f) of
the Act for exemptions from local NOX stationary source controls
they would otherwise be required to implement under Reasonably
Available Control Technology (RACT) and New Source Review (NSR)
regulations. In general, Section 182(f) provides that waivers must be
granted if states show that reducing NOX within a nonattainment
area would not contribute to attainment of the ozone NAAQS within the
same nonattainment area.\16\ This section of the Act was added in 1990
in recognition of the fact that NOX reductions within some
nonattainment areas can increase ozone concentrations.
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\16\ ``Section 182(f) Nitrogen Oxides (NOX) Exemptions--
Revised Process and Criteria,'' EPA Memo from John S. Seitz,
Director, OAQPS, to Regional Air Directors, February 8, 1995.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Section 182(f) of the Act also requires EPA to limit the assessment
of state petitions to the effect that NOX reductions within a
nonattainment area are likely to have on that local area's ability to
meet the NAAQS (i.e., this section of the Act does not permit an
assessment of pollutant transport into and out of the area). However,
in their modeling supporting their overall attainment demonstrations
under Phase II, states will need to project the levels of ozone and
precursors that are transported into the area (these assumptions are
called ``boundary conditions''). In many areas, the boundary conditions
used in Phase II modeling will need to assume that significant
reductions in ozone and NOX will be accomplished upwind. Thus, in
Phase II of the current process, it will be necessary for states and
EPA to consider the impacts of NOX controls at both the local and
regional levels in assessing how attainment can be achieved. As
described below, in most cases, EPA believes that broad, regional ozone
and NOX control in upwind areas will be necessary for Phase II
demonstrations even where Phase I modeling results currently indicate
that local NOX controls may be unnecessary or detrimental.
b. Local NOX Exemptions' Relation to Regional NOX Control
Needs
The state petitions for exemption from local RACT and NSR
requirements so far granted by EPA fall into three categories: (1) EPA
approved four state petitions for areas (Dallas and El Paso, TX,
Birmingham, AL, and northern Maine) for which Phase I modeling shows
that the areas will attain the ozone NAAQS without additional NOX
controls (there is no analysis for these areas showing NOX
controls are either beneficial or detrimental); (2) EPA granted
exemptions for five areas (Baton Rouge, LA, Beaumont, TX, Houston, TX,
the Lake Michigan area, and Phoenix, AZ) after Phase I modeling showed
that local NOX controls could worsen peak ozone concentrations in
the nonattainment areas; (3) EPA approved ten other petitions based on
monitoring data that shows the areas attained the ozone NAAQS without
additional NOX controls (there is no analysis for these areas
showing NOX controls are either beneficial or detrimental). It is
important to note that only five exemptions that have been granted
assert that NOX controls would be detrimental to attainment plans.
It is very important to view EPA's granting of exemptions from
local NOX controls in some areas under Phase I of the attainment
process in the broader context of the ultimate Phase II determinations.
Although EPA believes that it is reasonable to initiate new control
programs to address regional ozone problems on the strength of
information already available (see Section II.E. below), a better
overall picture of regional and local air quality phenomena for each
area will exist once Phase II demonstrations are completed. Some
commenters on the ANPRM have argued that EPA's granting of local
NOX exemptions for some areas during Phase I of the process should
be interpreted as a conclusion by the Agency that no further NOX
controls--local, regional, or national--will be necessary for these
areas to reach and maintain attainment or that such controls would be
harmful. API commented that EPA ``has failed to reconcile [the] two
incongruous policies,'' referring to the initiation of new regionally
based controls in a period when local NOX exemptions are being
granted in some areas. Similarly, the National Petroleum Refiners
Association (NPRA) stated that they view such simultaneous action to be
``contradictory and arbitrary.'' For several reasons, EPA believes that
such characterizations fail to recognize the limited role of local
NOX exemptions within the broader Phase II attainment
demonstration process.
First, because most of the NOX waiver petitions contain no
modeling analyses and many of those that contain modeling analyses are
being supplemented with improved Phase II modeling, EPA's approval of
each NOX exemption has been granted on a contingent basis.\17\
That is, a monitoring-based exemption lasts for only as long as the
area's monitoring data continue to demonstrate attainment. Thus, if a
violation is monitored (prior to the area being redesignated as being
in attainment) the exemption would be revoked and the
[[Page 33427]]
requirement to adopt NOX controls would again apply. Similarly,
any modeling-based exemption may need to be withdrawn if updated
modeling analyses for Phase II reach a different conclusion than the
Phase I modeling on which the exemption was based.\18\
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\17\ ``Section 182(f) Nitrogen Oxides (NOX) Exemptions--
Revised Process and Criteria,'' EPA Memo from John S. Seitz,
Director, OAQPS, to Regional Air Directors, May 27, 1994.
\18\ NOX Supplement to the General Preamble, 57 FR 55628
(Nov. 25, 1992).
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Second, as discussed above, Section 182(f) of the Act does not
permit EPA to consider regional-scale NOX issues when acting on
state petitions for exemptions from local NOX controls. Because
NOX has been shown to be effective in reducing regionally
transported ozone, the broader modeling under Phase II is expected to
show that many areas will need regional NOX controls to counter
expected growth and maintain or reach attainment. Where this occurs, it
might also lead to withdrawal of exemptions from local NOX
controls.
Third, EPA has separate authority under the CAA (Section
110(a)(2)(D)) to require a state to reduce emissions from sources where
there is evidence showing that transport of such emissions would
contribute significantly to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance
of attainment in other states. For example, local NOX controls may
need to be reinstated if Phase II modeling shows that additional
reductions in that area are needed for attainment and maintenance in
downwind areas, superseding any NOX exemption that may have been
granted under Phase I. If this need arises, Section 110(a)(2)(D) would
provide EPA the authority to require such additional reductions.
EPA therefore believes that decisions about initiating new NOX
control programs that have a regional-scale effect are appropriately
made based on the best understanding available at that time of the
broad attainment needs of all areas. As is discussed below for several
regions of the country, there is strong evidence that regional-scale
controls will be needed to achieve and maintain attainment. As a part
of the Phase II assessments, the impact of and need for NOX
control and the continuation or withdrawal of local NOX exemptions
would be taken fully into account. Thus, in assessing EPA's overall
NOX policy, it is important to understand the limited and perhaps
temporary nature of exemptions from NOX controls in some areas
within the context of the anticipated implementation of broader,
regional NOX control strategies upon completion of the Phase II
modeling.
An important issue that states and EPA will consider during the
Phase II process is the interaction between prospective regional
control programs and local air quality conditions. For nonattainment
areas that are granted local NOX exemptions based on the lack of
need for additional NOX controls (this covers the great majority
of current and pending exemptions, as shown above), introducing
regional controls that have an effect both inside and outside the
nonattainment area is generally not expected to harm air quality within
the area. In the few areas where Phase I modeling indicates that
reduction of NOX in the area could increase ozone in some
locations, a balancing of all relevant factors will be necessary if
Phase II modeling reinforces that a significant potential problem
exists. For example, if ozone and NOX transported into the area
would be significantly reduced by regional-scale controls, the absolute
level of ozone within the area would drop, changing the photochemistry
of the area and potentially offsetting any localized detriment to air
quality that might still be introduced by the regional controls (e.g.,
cleaner trucks within the area).
In its comments on the ANPRM, API referred to recent modeling
studies performed by the Modeling Ozone Cooperative, which API says
challenge EPA's earlier conclusions about the need for NOX control
in the Northeast. EPA is aware of and is reviewing the results of these
modeling studies. Based on EPA's evaluation of these studies to date,
the Agency finds that these studies in fact support EPA's previous
conclusions that broad regional-scale controls will be necessary for
the Northeast and other areas to attain and maintain the ozone NAAQS.
As API observes, these studies also predict that NOX reductions
may increase ozone levels in several areas. API also cites modeling
performed by the Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium (LADCO), which
appears to predict similar results for the Lake Michigan area. As
described below, the LADCO studies do however, suggest that reductions
in regional ozone at the boundary of their modeling domain will likely
play a key role in determining whether the NAAQS can be attained with
local VOC-oriented control measures.
EPA is concerned about these results and is interested in
additional modeling to further explore the degree to which NOX
control programs may increase ozone in some areas. Questions not
answered by current modeling include (1) how the results change if
additional stationary and mobile source NOX and VOC control
programs are assumed to be implemented by the time the heavy-duty
engine emission standards proposed in this action would be in place and
(2) whether urban-scale modeling of higher resolution can shed more
light on how widespread potential areas of increased ozone might be.
EPA expects that on balance it will continue to be preferable to
achieve regional-scale NOX and ozone reductions whenever possible,
even where current modeling indicates that increases in ozone may occur
in parts of some areas. EPA requests comments on this general
assessment, as well as on the discussions of individual regions below;
comments including additional data and modeling results that challenge
or reinforce EPA's views will be particularly valuable.
2. Role of Regional-Scale NOX Control in Addressing Ozone Problems
in Several Regions of the U.S.
EPA believes that the best data and modeling available show that
NOX in several large geographic areas of the country will continue
to contribute greatly to ozone problems in nonattainment areas well
into the future. Together, these areas account for about 87 percent of
nationwide NOX emissions from heavy-duty vehicles (see Chapter 7
of the RIA). Several of these regions are discussed individually below.
Where there are existing or pending exemptions from local NOX
controls in the region, their relationship to regional-scale NOX
controls is also discussed.
a. Eastern United States
There is a growing body of evidence that reducing regional ozone
levels holds the key to the ability of a number of the most seriously
polluted nonattainment areas in the Eastern United States, in both the
Southeast and the Northeast, to attain and maintain the ozone NAAQS.
Regional Oxidant Modeling (ROM) studies conducted by EPA (called the
ROMNET and Matrix studies) reinforce that reducing NOX emissions
in large geographical regions is the most effective approach for
reducing ozone levels in those large regions.19 At the same time,
these studies, as well as ongoing UAM modeling by states, suggest that
reductions in VOC emissions may be
[[Page 33428]]
key to reducing locally generated peak ozone concentrations.20
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\19\ See Regional Ozone Modeling for Northeast Transport
(ROMNET), EPA Doc. EPA-450/4-91-002a (June 1991), and Chu, S.H.,
E.L. Meyer, W.M. Cox, R.D. Scheffe, ``The Response of Regional Ozone
to VOC and NOX Emissions Reductions: An Analysis for the
Eastern United States Based on Regional Oxidant Modeling,''
Proceedings of U.S. EPA/AWMA International Specialty Conference on
Tropospheric Ozone: Nonattainment and Design Value Issues, AWMA TR-
23, 1993.
\20\ Because of the significant role that NOX plays in
atmospheric chemistry, additional regional NOX control can also
be very helpful in addressing the problems of year-round NOX
deposition in the Chesapeake Bay and other nitrogen-limited lakes
and estuaries and acid deposition and visibility degradation in the
eastern U.S. (as well as parts of the West).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In its analysis supporting the approval of a Low Emission Vehicle
program in the mid-Atlantic and Northeast states comprising the Ozone
Transport Region (OTR), EPA reviewed existing work and performed new
analyses to evaluate in detail the degree to which NOX controls
are needed.21 22 These studies showed that NOX emissions must
be reduced by 50 to 75 percent from 1990 levels throughout the OTR.
These studies showed that VOC emissions must also be reduced by 50 to
75 percent in and near the Northeast urban corridor. The studies also
concluded that transport of ozone and precursors from upwind areas both
inside and outside the OTR contributes significantly to ozone
predictions in much of the OTR.
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\21\ The Northeast Ozone Transport Region (OTR) is comprised of
the states of Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode
Island, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware,
Maryland, and the Consolidated Metropolitan Statistical Area that
includes the District of Columbia and northern Virginia.
\22\ Environmental Protection Agency, Low Emission Vehicle
Program for Northeast Ozone Transport Region; Final Rule, 60 FR
48673, January 24, 1995.
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More recently, three studies have become available confirming the
conclusions of the earlier studies. In one of these, the Agency
performed new ROM analyses evaluating the eastern third of the U.S. and
southern Canada.23 Taken together, these studies strongly support
the view that NOX emissions must be reduced in the range of 50 to
75 percent throughout the OTR and that VOC emissions must be reduced by
the same amount in and near the Northeast urban corridor to reach and
maintain attainment.
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\23\ Environmental Protection Agency, ``Summary of EPA Regional
Oxidant Model Analyses of Various Regional Ozone Control
Strategies,'' November 28, 1994; Kuruville, John et al., ``Modeling
Analyses of Ozone Problem in the Northeast,'' prepared for EPA, EPA
Document No. EPA-230-R-94-108, 1994; Cox, William M. and Chu, Shao-
Hung, ``Meteorologically Adjusted Ozone Trends in Urban Areas: A
Probabilistic Approach,'' Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 27B, No. 4,
pp 425-434, 1993.
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Among the Northeast states, only Maine, based on unique air
trajectory patterns, has sought an exemption from local NOX
control; this exemption is granted for the northern part of the state.
b. The Southeast
A recent Southern Oxidant Study report describes the results of
research showing that, in the South, relatively high concentrations of
ozone are measured in both rural and urban areas.24 These
pervasive levels of ozone, while for the most part not in excess of the
current ozone NAAQS, form a background into which individual urban
plumes are interspersed. Preliminary modeling analyses performed by the
State of Georgia Department of Natural Resources suggests that it will
be very difficult to meet the NAAQS in Atlanta during episodes similar
to those modeled episodes, given the high background levels of ozone
that appear to prevail in the South. Further analyses of monitored data
by Southern Oxidant Study investigators suggest that the background
ozone levels are likely to be more responsive to reductions in NOX
emissions than in VOC emissions. There are no petitions at this time
for local NOX exemptions in this region.
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\24\ ``The State of the Southern Oxidant Study (SOS): Policy-
Relevant Findings in Ozone Pollution Research,'' 1988-1994. North
Carolina State University, April 1995. See this reference for all
statements in this paragraph.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
c. The Lake Michigan Area
Modeling studies performed to date for the states surrounding Lake
Michigan (Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, and Michigan) under Phase I of
their attainment demonstrations clearly indicate that reducing ozone
and precursors transported into the nonattainment areas would have a
significant effect on the number and stringency of local control
measures needed to meet the ozone NAAQS.\25\ These studies suggest that
without such region-wide reductions, the necessary degree of local
control will be very difficult to achieve, even with very stringent
local controls. The EPA Matrix study referenced above reinforces that
regional NOX control will be effective in reducing ozone across
the Midwest region. Taken together, the information available to date
suggests that additional reductions in regional NOX emissions will
probably be necessary in meeting the NAAQS in the Chicago/Gary/
Milwaukee area and downwind (including western Michigan), even though
currently available modeling shows that there may be a detrimental
effect from applying NOX controls locally in and near the major
nonattainment areas, in the absence of regional controls.
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\25\ Lake Michigan Ozone Study; Lake Michigan Ozone Control
Program: Project Report, December 1995.
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EPA has granted an exemption from local NOX controls for
several areas in the Lake Michigan region based on Phase I modeling.
Phase II modeling is underway by these states, which the Agency is
hopeful will clarify the conditions under which NOX controls might
cause an increase in ozone in the future, the magnitude of such an
increase, and the parts of the nonattainment areas in this region in
which this may occur.
d. Eastern Texas
There has been only limited modeling work focusing on the air
quality characteristics of the eastern Texas region to date. The State
of Texas has requested and been granted exemptions for the Houston and
Beaumont/Port Arthur nonattainment areas, based on Phase I modeling
that predicted that additional local NOX controls could worsen the
ozone problem. New modeling is underway by the state, but there is not
yet enough data to draw conclusions about the potential effect of
transport of ozone and its precursors on these areas. This uncertainty
has led the state to request that the exemptions from local NOX
controls in these areas be granted on a temporary basis while more
sophisticated modeling is conducted.
e. California
The State of California has submitted their ozone SIP to EPA for
approval, relying on both NOX and VOC reductions for most
California nonattainment areas, comprising most of the populated
portion of the state, to demonstrate compliance with the NAAQS.
Specifically, the revised SIP projects that the following NOX
reductions are as follows: South Coast, 59 percent; Sacramento, 40
percent; Ventura, 51 percent; San Diego, 26 percent; and San Joaquin
Valley, 49 percent. For VOC, the required reductions will be the
following: South Coast, 79 percent; Sacramento, 38 percent; Ventura, 48
percent; San Diego, 26 percent; and San Joaquin Valley, 40 percent.
EPA has granted exemptions from local NOX controls within
three California nonattainment areas; EPA believes that these actions
do not affect the broader need for regional NOX controls in large
parts of the state for ozone and PM NAAQS attainment and maintenance.
3. Secondary PM Formation as a Regional Issue
Measurements of ambient PM in some western U.S. urban areas that
are having difficulty meeting the current NAAQS for PM-10 have
indicated that secondary PM is a very important component of the
problem. Nitrates
[[Page 33429]]
(e.g., ammonium nitrate) are a primary constituent of this secondary
PM. For example, on days when PM-10 is high in Denver, about 25 percent
of the measured particulate is ammonium nitrate. In the Provo/Salt Lake
City area, secondary PM accounts for approximately 50 percent of the
measured PM, with nitrates being an important component of the
secondary particulate. Secondary nitrate PM levels as high as 40
percent of the 24-hour PM-10 NAAQS standard have been measured in the
Los Angeles Basin and concentrations of nitrate PM about one third of
the NAAQS have been measured in the San Joaquin Valley.\26\
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\26\ Summary of Local-Scale Source Characterization Studies,
EPA-230-F-95-002, July, 1994.
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NOX is a critical reactant in the complex chemical reactions
which eventually result in the formation of atmospheric nitrates. Thus,
control of NOX emissions from heavy-duty vehicles will have a
positive effect in reducing atmospheric ammonium nitrate. Because the
atmospheric chemistry of secondary PM formation has common attributes
to that of ozone, secondary PM also tends to be a regional, rather than
a strictly local phenomenon. For this reason, EPA believes that, as is
the case for ozone, regional NOX controls can be very effective in
reducing secondary PM over a significant area. For example,
California's revised SIP concludes that secondary formation of nitrate
particulate (primarily ammonium nitrate) contributes to the particulate
problem in the South Coast Air Basin and the San Joaquin Valley. The
Agency requests comment on the role of secondary particulate in PM-10
nonattainment in specific areas and the effect of regional NOX
controls on such emission; comments that include additional data will
be particularly valuable.
The sources that contribute to PM levels can vary significantly
from area to area. In many areas in the western U.S., re-entrained
fugitive dust emissions dominate the overall PM emissions inventory. In
large urban areas, however, direct PM emissions from heavy-duty diesel
vehicles, as well as the secondary PM from NOX produced by all
heavy-duty vehicles, are believed to contribute significantly to
elevated PM levels.
As can be seen from the discussion above, NOX emissions have a
number of different fates in the atmosphere. In some situations, such
as the formation of atmospheric ozone, NOX is used as a catalyst
but not consumed. A single NOX molecule can potentially be
involved in many photochemical reactions producing several ozone
molecules. In other cases, such as the formation of nitrate particulate
and acid precipitation, NOX is consumed. All NOX eventually
leaves the atmosphere in dry gas, particulate deposition, or in wet
deposition. NOX has a mean residence time in the atmosphere on the
order of several days.
It is clear that heavy-duty vehicle NOX emissions have a role
in the formation of ozone, nitrate particulates, and acid
precipitation. The relative partitioning varies across the country
depending on factors such as geography, meteorology, and the
concentration of other atmospheric pollutants. This preamble and the
RIA contain information and analyses describing the positive impact of
this proposal on ozone, PM, and other environmental effects, which EPA
believes form a strong basis for this proposal. EPA is conducting
additional studies to further refine our understanding of the role of
NOX in the formation of ozone and nitrate PM. EPA requests comment
and data regarding the relative partitioning of NOX emissions.
C. National Emission Trends Related to Ozone and PM
1. National NOX and VOC Emissions Trends
Figure 1 displays projected total NOX emissions over the time
period 1990 to 2020, including a breakdown between stationary and
mobile source components over the same period.\27\ Figure 2 presents
similar data for VOC emissions for the period 1990 to 2010 (later-year
projections for VOC are under development).\28\ As the figures show, a
similar pattern is projected for both of these ozone precursor
emissions. Initially, the projections indicate that national
inventories will decrease over the next few years as a result of
continued implementation of finalized CAA stationary and mobile source
NOX control programs. After the year 2000, however, when
implementation of these CAA programs is largely completed and the
pressure of growth continues, these downward trends are expected to
reverse, resulting in rising national VOC and NOX emissions.
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\27\ A discussion of the data used for projecting emissions from
various sources is found in the Regulatory Impact Analysis.
\28\ The data in these and the succeeding figures in this
proposal are discussed in the RIA, and take into account the
expected effects of various CAA control programs that have been
promulgated at the time of the modeling. These include Tier I
tailpipe standards, new evaporative emission test procedures,
enhanced inspection and maintenance requirements, reformulated
gasoline, oxygenated fuels, and California LEV (Low Emission
Vehicle) requirements. Nonroad NOX emission projections also
reflect the future effects of existing nonroad emission regulations.
The potential effects of contemplated National LEV requirements or
other programs are not reflected in the data. In these figures,
nonroad emission data includes emissions from a broad range of
nonroad sources including locomotives, aircraft, and marine vessels.
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[[Page 33432]]
In its comments on the ANPRM, API observed that monitoring data
from some areas show progress in reducing ozone. EPA agrees that this
progress appears to be occurring and the Agency believes that this
progress may continue for the next few years in many areas as current
NOX and VOC programs are implemented. As shown in Figures 1 and 2
above, however, EPA believes that, in the absence of significant new
control efforts, the current downward trends in ozone precursor
emissions will be reversed in the middle of the next decade. The Agency
also believes that the projected increase in emissions will again
increase ozone levels in urban areas. EPA continues to examine this
issue and welcomes new modeling analyses that relate NOX and VOC
emission trends to ozone levels.
2. PM Air Quality Issues and Emission Trends
The overwhelming proportion of PM-10 emissions is created by wind
erosion, accidental fires, fugitive dust emissions (from road surfaces,
agricultural tilling, construction sites, etc.), and other
miscellaneous sources. As much as 85 percent of PM-10 in nonattainment
areas can be composed of these ``crustal'' and miscellaneous materials.
Since these sources are not readily amenable to regulatory standards
and controls, it is appropriate to focus on the ``controllable''
portion of the particulate pollution problem when considering the need
for PM controls. The result is shown in Figure 3, which displays
national trends in PM-10 levels from stationary and mobile sources,
including secondary nitrate PM, projected for the twenty-year period
1990 to 2010. Similar to the pattern discussed above for VOC and
NOX emissions, the figure shows that total PM from these sources
will decline slightly as the beneficial effects of the 1990 CAA
Amendments continue to be felt. However, in the absence of additional
controls, including NOX controls, mobile source and industrial
source PM emissions are expected to rise after 2000.
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[[Page 33434]]
Currently, there are 82 PM-10 nonattainment areas across the U.S.
As discussed in section II.B.3. above, in some areas of the West,
nitrate particulate represents between 15 and 40 percent of total
particulate matter. The level of nitrate PM is a function of the
availability of NOX. It is appropriate to expect that the relative
proportions of nitrate particulate caused by stationary and mobile
sources are similar to the relative contributions of NOX by these
source categories. Thus, based on the NOX projections of Figure 1,
which EPA believes are generally typical of NOX projections in the
West, EPA estimates that about half of total nitrate PM is caused by
mobile sources, or about one tenth of total PM-10 in the western part
of the country. In the eastern part of the country, peak fine
particulate matter levels occur in the summer, primarily because
photochemical processes involving SO2 and NOX driven by
strong sunshine accelerate the formation of sulfate and nitrate
particulate matter. Thus, reducing NOX over a broad area is one
strategy for reducing the net fine particle formation in the East. EPA
requests comment, including applicable data whenever possible, on its
assessment of the relationship of NOX to ambient nitrate PM.
D. Contribution of Heavy-Duty Vehicles to Mobile Source Emissions
Heavy-duty vehicles represent about 12 percent of nationwide
NOX emissions and are also an important source of VOC (as a result
of HC emissions) and PM throughout the country. This section reviews
EPA's current estimates of the contribution of heavy-duty vehicles to
the nation's ozone, PM, and NOX air pollution problems now and
into the future. The projections presented here incorporate the
emission reductions from all national mobile source emission control
programs for which final regulations were in place at the time of the
modeling and are discussed further in the RIA.
1. National Mobile Source NOX Emissions Trends
Figure 4 shows the total mobile source NOX inventory by
emission source (light-duty vehicles, heavy-duty vehicles, and nonroad
engines) projected over the next 25 years. For light- and heavy-duty
vehicles, the figure shows a decline in emissions over the next decade
as current programs phase in. The figure also shows, however, that this
current downward trend is projected to end, resulting in a return to
current NOX levels in the absence of further controls. Nonroad
emissions are projected to rise throughout the period.
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[[Page 33436]]
2. National Mobile Source VOC Emissions Trends
Figure 5 shows the total national mobile source VOC inventory by
emission source. As with the NOX emission projections in Figure 4,
this figure shows that light-duty vehicle emissions can be expected to
decline for some years, but then begin rising in the 2005 time frame.
VOC emissions from heavy-duty vehicles and nonroad engines are
projected to rise gradually throughout this period.
[[Page 33437]]
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[[Page 33438]]
3. National Mobile Source PM Emissions Trends
EPA's latest projected trends for directly emitted mobile source
emissions of PM-10 are shown in Figure 6. The figure shows that over
the next 15 years the contribution of heavy-duty vehicles and other
highway sources to PM-10 pollution are expected to decrease
significantly and then remain relatively constant well into the next
decade.
[[Page 33439]]
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[[Page 33440]]
The emission data on which Figure 6 is based do not include
secondary nitrate PM-10 produced by the transformation of NOX in
the atmosphere. EPA believes that for those areas where secondary PM
formed from NOX is a problem, the proportions of total secondary
PM that may be attributed to different emission source categories
mirror the proportions of total NOX emissions from those sources
in those areas. Thus, based on the trends for NOX emissions shown
in Figures 1 and 4 above and assuming that the availability of ammonia
in the atmosphere remains roughly constant, the contribution of heavy-
duty vehicles to secondary PM problems can be expected to decline
slightly in the next few years and then to begin to increase again,
likely reaching and exceeding current levels after about 2020. Also
based on Figures 1 and 4, EPA believes that on average the proportion
of total nitrate PM that may be attributed to heavy-duty vehicles is in
the same range as the proportion of total NOX contributed by these
vehicles, or roughly 10 percent.
As discussed earlier in this proposal, EPA has not completed its
assessment of the relative importance of fine PM to health and welfare
concerns as compared with PM-10. As a result, EPA has not yet developed
specific projections showing the contribution of heavy-duty vehicles to
total fine particulate emissions. However, since nearly all mobile
source related PM, both directly emitted PM and secondary nitrate PM
formed from NOX emissions, falls in the fine particulate category,
it follows that the relative contribution of heavy-duty vehicles to
total fine particulate is greater than their contribution to total PM-
10.
E. Conclusions
1. The Rationale for Controlling Heavy-Duty Vehicle Emissions
EPA believes that immediate proposal of new emission standards for
highway heavy-duty engines is appropriate. The decision to issue this
NPRM is based on thorough consideration of a range of relevant factors,
as described above. Section II.A. presented the serious effects to
human health and the environment of elevated levels of ozone and other
chemical products of NOX emissions, including secondary PM . That
section describes a range of serious respiratory health effects that
have been closely connected to exposure to ozone levels exceeding the
NAAQS, which exist in many areas of the country. In light of the many
years of research by many parties into the health effects of ozone, the
Agency believes that a clear picture has emerged that, not only those
with existing respiratory conditions, but also healthy adults and
children are in danger of experiencing medical problems and a reduced
quality of life when exposed to elevated levels of ozone. Also
discussed were the variety of health concerns that have been associated
with exposure to PM at levels above the current NAAQS. Beyond these and
other serious health concerns, Section II.A. also discussed major
impacts on vegetation, crops, coastal estuaries, visibility, and other
effects that result from the transformation of NOX into ozone,
acid deposition, and nitrate PM formed from NOX. The current NAAQS
levels reflect the need to address exposure to ozone and PM wherever
the NAAQS standards are exceeded.
Section II.B. discussed EPA's belief that the widespread exposure
of people to elevated ozone levels will continue and worsen in the
absence of major regional-scale reductions in NOX. This section
discussed the regional characteristic of the ozone problem and how
various large areas of the country are projected to require regional-
scale NOX controls to reach and maintain attainment of the ozone
standard. EPA believes this remains true even where local NOX
control waivers must be granted under the CAA. This section also noted
that regional-scale control of NOX would be beneficial in reducing
the formation of secondary PM in some areas of the western U.S. and
would thereby assist these areas in reaching and attaining the PM
NAAQS.
Section II.B. also presented projections of emissions over the next
20 to 30 years to help assess the likelihood of continued air quality
problems in the future. In general, EPA's most recently developed
emission inventories show that national levels of ozone precursors will
tend to drop slightly, but only temporarily, after which they will
return to current levels. The link of these projected future emissions
to the formation of ozone was reinforced by recent air quality modeling
projecting continued ozone problems in major areas of the country in
the absence of new controls. The information assembled in this section
leads EPA to believe that a strong need exists for new regional-scale
NOX control programs over large areas of the country if the
negative trends are to be arrested and reversed. Similarly, the data on
PM suggests that secondary PM reductions will be helpful in reversing a
national trend of increasing PM emissions, especially in the western
states.
Section II.C. presented national mobile source emission inventories
over the next 20 to 30 years, divided into the key mobile source
categories. These presentations showed that heavy-duty vehicles
contribute significantly to mobile source NOX , VOC, and PM
emissions and to the overall trends in mobile source emissions into the
future. In its comments on the ANPRM, API gave several reasons why
projections of future emission inventories may be in error and
questioned the future contribution of heavy-duty vehicle emissions.
Although EPA believes that the projections presented in this proposal
can be improved and will continue to take actions to improve them, the
Agency believes that they represent the highest quality estimates
available today. As such, they clearly indicate that heavy-duty
vehicles will remain significant contributors to these emissions well
into the future.
After consideration of all the available information, including
comments received on the ANPRM, EPA believes that heavy-duty vehicles
contribute significantly to air pollution, which has a serious impact
on health and the environment. The Agency believes that this body of
information on balance supports taking action to revise heavy-duty
engine emission standards, which will reduce NOX, HC, and
secondary PM from this segment of mobile sources.
2. Appropriateness of a National Heavy-Duty Vehicle Program
EPA further believes that the mobile source emission control
program proposed in this action is most appropriately national in
scope, for several reasons. First, as summarized above, the regional
character of both ozone and secondary PM formation leads EPA to believe
that major new NOX controls over large regions of the country are
needed to achieve the regional-scale ozone and PM reduction many areas
require. Control of NOX from heavy-duty vehicles and other mobile
sources are effective approaches to such regional control since the
resulting control covers a wide area. Second, heavy-duty vehicles, like
other mobile sources, represent an emissions source that itself crosses
boundaries of nonattainment areas, states, and regions. A mobile source
control program that covers only certain parts of the country has the
disadvantage of allowing high-emitting vehicles to travel regularly
into areas with more stringent requirements, compromising the
effectiveness of the program. Finally, the structure and marketing
patterns of the engine and vehicle manufacturing industries would make
it impractical and inefficient for a
[[Page 33441]]
patchwork of different emission standards to be enacted in various
parts of the country. Rather, for engine manufacturers to achieve
economies of scale and to concentrate research and development
resources most effectively, EPA believes it is most practical to
establish a single set of emission requirements applying to engines in
trucks and buses used anywhere in the country. A key reason why EPA,
CARB, and engine manufacturers agreed to a Statement of Principles was
the potential for nationally harmonized requirements for heavy-duty
vehicles.
3. Issues of Timing
EPA also believes that for the anticipated benefits of new highway
heavy-duty engine emission standards to be available when they are
needed, it is best to finalize such a program in the near future. There
are several reasons for and positive consequences of expeditious
promulgation of new emission requirements for heavy-duty engines. The
primary reason to begin the process now is that the current emission
and air quality projections discussed above project a need in many
areas of the country for significant additional emission reductions in
the post-2000 period to reach and maintain attainment.
In addition, the highway heavy-duty engine manufacturers have
communicated to EPA that to meet the stringent standards proposed in
this action for model year 2004 and later, they need to have the
precise emission requirements affecting them in place and begin work
toward those goals very soon. The industry's perspective is based on
its expectation that the standards proposed here would represent a very
significant technological challenge requiring large investments by the
members of the industry. EPA's technology assessment is consistent with
the industry view. If new standards are established by approximately
the end of 1996, about two years will be available before the proposed
1999 technology review for manufacturers to marshall appropriate
resources to achieve significant technological progress. Then, if such
progress is confirmed at that time, about four years will remain for
additional resources to be assembled and the new technologies to be
developed and incorporated into 2004 model year engines. Based on the
Agency's technology assessment as of the time of this proposal, EPA
agrees that it is best to set the process in motion now to achieve the
full benefits of cleaner heavy-duty vehicles beginning in 2004.
Another compelling reason to initiate the process of enacting new
heavy-duty engine emission requirements soon is that the Agency is
proposing to encourage voluntary marketing of cleaner engines,
especially engines that incorporate new technologies, earlier than 2004
(see Section III.B. below for proposed changes to the Averaging,
Banking, and Trading program). An expeditious completion of the
rulemaking process would encourage manufacturers to consider such
options in the earliest possible model year.
State air quality planners will also benefit if the program
proposed in this action can be formally established soon. States must
soon finalize ozone SIPs demonstrating attainment in the years ahead,
and expeditious EPA action on additional heavy-duty vehicle emission
reductions will allow states to know whether to incorporate expected
reductions from heavy-duty vehicle controls into their SIPs. At the
same time, any significant delay in promulgation might also require a
delay in the year of implementation past 2004, postponing the full
benefit of the program as an air quality strategy. For this and the
other reasons given in this section, EPA plans to finalize the proposed
requirements as soon as possible should the Agency reach a final
determination that such a program is warranted.
III. Proposed Program for Reducing Highway HDE Emissions
A. Background on Highway HDE Standards
Under EPA's classification system, vehicles with a gross vehicle
weight rating (GVWR) over 8,500 pounds are considered heavy-duty
vehicles. (The State of California classifies the lighter end of EPA's
heavy-duty class as ``medium-duty vehicles.'') Heavy-duty engines
(HDEs) are used in a wide range of heavy-duty vehicle categories, from
small utility vans to large trucks. Because one type of HDE may be used
in many different applications, EPA emission standards for heavy-duty
vehicles are based on the emissions performance of the engine (and any
associated aftertreatment devices) separate from the vehicle chassis.
Testing of an HDE consists of exercising it over a prescribed duty
cycle of engine speeds and loads using an engine dynamometer.
Highway HDEs are categorized into diesel and otto-cycle
(predominantly gasoline-fueled) engines with each, in some cases,
having different standards and program requirements. EPA has further
subdivided heavy-duty diesel engines (HDDEs) into three
subclassifications or ``primary intended service classes''; light,
medium, and heavy HDDEs. HDDEs are categorized into one of the three
subclasses depending on the GVWR of the vehicles for which they are
intended, the usage of the vehicles, the engine horsepower rating, and
other factors 29. The subclassifications allow EPA to more
effectively set requirements that are appropriate for the wide range of
sizes and uses of HDDEs. With one exception, emission standards are the
same for HDDE in all of the subclasses but other programmatic
requirements differ as appropriate. Engines used in ``urban buses''
(large transit buses)30, which fall mostly in the heavy HDDE
subclass, have somewhat different standards and program requirements.
The standards and program requirements for the various categories and
types of engines are discussed below and in following sections, as
appropriate.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\29\ 40 CFR Part 86.090-2.
\30\ 40 CFR Part 86.093-2.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Emissions from HDEs are measured in grams of pollutant per brake
horsepower-hour (g/bhp-hr) or, in more recent regulations, in grams per
kilowatt hour (g/kw-hr). These units for emission rates recognize that
the primary purpose of HDEs is to perform work and that there is a
large variation in work output among the engines used in heavy-duty
applications. This system allows EPA to apply the same standards to a
very wide range of engines.
Emission standards have been in place for highway diesel and
gasoline-fueled HDEs since the early 1970s. The first regulations
focused on control of emissions of smoke. Subsequent regulations
broadened emission control requirements to include gaseous and
particulate emissions. The 1990 amendments to the Clean Air Act
required EPA to set more stringent standards for NOX emissions
from all heavy-duty highway HDEs and for PM from urban buses. 42 U.S.C.
7521(a)(3), 7521(f), and 7554(b).
The current exhaust emission standards for highway heavy-duty
diesel and gasoline engines are presented in Table 1. Standards for
urban buses, which specify more stringent PM levels than those applying
to other HDEs, are displayed separately in the table.
[[Page 33442]]
Table 1.--Highway Heavy-Duty Emission Standards
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Diesel
Year HC (g/bhp- CO (g/bhp- NOX (g/bhp- particulate
hr) hr) hr) (g/bhp-hr)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Diesel:
1991-93................................................. 1.3 15.5 5.0 0.25
1994-97................................................. 1.3 15.5 5.0 0.10
1998.................................................... 1.3 15.5 4.0 0.10
Urban Buses:
1991-92................................................. 1.3 15.5 5.0 0.25
1993.................................................... 1.3 15.5 5.0 0.10
1994-95................................................. 1.3 15.5 5.0 0.07
1996-97................................................. 1.3 15.5 5.0 *0.05
1998.................................................... 1.3 15.5 4.0 *0.05
Otto-cycle HC
(g/bhp-hr) CO
(g/bhp-hr) NOX
(g/bhp-hr) Evaporative
HC
(g/test)
1991-97:
(A)..................................................... 1.1 14.4 5.0 3.0
(B)..................................................... 1.9 37.1 5.0 4.0
1998 (A)................................................ 1.1 14.4 4.0 3.0
(B)..................................................... 1.9 37.1 4.0 4.0
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note:
``(A)'' denotes the standard for engines in trucks 14,000 lbs. Gross Vehicle Weight Rating (GVWR).
``(B)'' denotes the standard for engines in trucks 14,000 lbs. GVWR.
*.07 g/bhp-hr in-use.
This table does not contain all applicable standards. A complete set of standards may be found in 40 CFR Part
86.
Under section 202(a)(3), emission standards for highway HDEs are
set at the ``greatest degree of emission reduction achievable through
the application of technology which the Administrator determines will
be available for the model year to which such standards apply, giving
appropriate consideration to cost, energy, and safety factors
associated with the application of such technology'' (42 U.S.C.
7521(a)(3)(A)). In addition, section 202(a)(3) provides that highway
HDE manufacturers will have four model years of lead time before any
new emission standards may be implemented (42 U.S.C. 7521(a)(3)(C)).
The Act also provides that standards for HDEs apply for at least three
model years to provide stability to any heavy-duty standards. Id.
Finally, the Act precludes new NOX emission standards for highway
HDEs before the model year 2004. 42 U.S.C. 7521(b)(1)(C).
B. Description of Today's Proposal
In this action, EPA proposes a comprehensive program to address the
significant contribution of highway HDEs to ambient pollutant
concentrations and the resultant air quality problems around the
country. The proposed program consists of stringent new emission
standards, changes to maintain the durability of HDE emissions in use,
and changes to the current Averaging, Banking, and Trading regulations
to encourage the early introduction of cleaner engines and new
technology.
1. Emission Standards
a. Standards Proposed in Today's Action. EPA proposes new emission
standards for model years 2004 and later. These standards are in the
form of combined non-methane hydrocarbons plus nitrogen oxides (NMHC +
NOX) and are presented in units of g/bhp-hr. They would apply to
otto and diesel cycle engines fueled by gasoline, diesel, methanol, and
gaseous fuels and their blends. Manufacturers would have the choice of
certifying their engines to either of two optional sets of standards:
2.4 g/bhp-hr NMHC + NOX
or
2.5 g/bhp-hr NMHC + NOX with a limit of 0.5 g/bhp-hr on NMHC
EPA proposes that all other emission standards and other requirements
applying to model year 1998 and later model years remain unchanged.
For the most part, EPA expects that either of these standards will
result in the essentially the same NOX and NMHC emission rates in-
use. As is discussed elsewhere in the proposal and in the supporting
RIA, EPA expects that the proposed standards will generally result in
NMHC levels of about 0.4 g/bhp-hr and NOX levels of about 2.0 g/
bhp-hr. Most, but not all, HDEs now have HC certification levels of 0.5
g/bhp-hr or less. The standards will result in modest NMHC reductions
for the HDE class taken as a whole and will serve as a cap against
increases in NMHC emissions as manufacturers implement NOX control
strategies. The expected NOX levels would result in reductions of
50 percent as compared to the 1998 standard. For administrative
simplicity, EPA would prefer only one standard and based on current HC
certification levels the 2.4 g/bhp-hr standard seems most appropriate.
However, the manufacturers would prefer the flexibility of the
alternate standard and EPA sees no environmental harm from offering
this option. EPA asks comment on whether two standards are appropriate
and why.
The form of the proposed standards differs in some aspects from the
current and 1998 model year standards for HDEs presented in Table 1.
First, EPA is proposing a combined standard (NMHC+NOX) instead of
separate standards. EPA is using this approach because for in-cylinder
control strategies there is a tradeoff between HC and NOX control.
Thus, expressing the requirements as a combined standard provides the
manufacturers some small amount of additional flexibility. Further, EPA
sees no environmental harm from providing this flexibility. While there
is not a direct one to one trade-off in every area of the country, both
pollutants are generally considered key ingredients in the formation of
ozone. Thus a little more control of one pollutant at the expense of
the other should provide essentially the same air quality benefits as
if the engines were meeting separate standards for NOX and NMHC at
comparable levels (nominally 2.0 g/bhp-hr NOX and 0.4 g/bhp-hr
NMHC). Second, EPA is proposing an NMHC standard instead of a total HC
[[Page 33443]]
standard. This approach is being proposed primarily because methane is
largely unreactive in the formation of ozone and thus its control would
not help to achieve the ozone air quality objectives of this proposal.
This is not intended to suggest that the control of methane is not
valuable in the context of other environmental objectives EPA may
consider in the future, but methane emissions from these engines are
only a small fraction of their total HC and thus foregoing control at
this time is reasonable. Both the use of an NMHC standard and the use
of a combined standard is also consistent with the current California
LEV program requirements for medium-duty vehicles and the requirements
for HDEs prescribed in section 245 of the 1990 amendments to the Clean
Air Act.
The proposed standards (rooted in the California Federal
Implementation Plan and identified in the SOP) represent a reduction of
more than 50 percent in NOX and NMHC/HC over current requirements.
Reductions of this magnitude are a significant challenge, especially
for diesel HDEs, and will require a major research and development
effort to achieve. At this time there is not one firm set of
technologies to be applied to all diesel HDEs to achieve the proposed
standards. Diesel HDEs will need to consider approaches from a number
of different technological strategies and control hardware which have
been identified and assessed in a few laboratory programs and then
apply their choices to their 2004 models. In many cases these
strategies and hardware have not been used on production diesel engines
and there are substantial development challenges ahead to apply this
technology cost effectively with due consideration to impacts on
operating and maintenance costs as well as engine durability.
Regulatory enhancements such as the proposed revisions to the
Averaging, Banking, and Trading program (as discussed below) will also
help to enhance overall feasibility of the standards for all engine
models. As is discussed elsewhere in proposal and in the supporting
RIA, EPA believes the proposed standards while very challenging are
technically feasible and otherwise appropriate in the context of
section 202(a)(3). With about eight years remaining before the 2004
model year, manufacturers have an unprecedented amount of leadtime to
fully assess, develop, and optimize the various control approaches and
to integrate them into their 2004 model year products in a manner which
minimizes engine costs and fuel impacts and does not raise safety
concerns. Indeed the widespread support of the HDE industry for the SOP
tends to support EPA's conclusion.
While there are promising technologies and aftertreatment control
strategies which otto cycle (gasoline) HDEs may employ to achieve the
proposed standards, these still require development if they are to be
applied to all different otto-cycle engine models and the standards are
to be met in use. EPA believes it will be easier technologically for
otto-cycle (gasoline) HDEs to achieve the proposed standards but
proposes the same standards for otto and diesel cycle HDEs for two
reasons. First, work is required to apply these technologies/
aftertreatment control strategies to all otto cycle engines. EPA
expects that much of this progress will be made in response to the 1998
HDE NOX standard and others in response to market competitive
pressures. Nonetheless, EPA still expects that some models will need to
develop and employ technology/aftertreatment control upgrades to meet a
2.4 g/bhp-hr NMHC + NOX standard. This may especially be the case
for the few otto-cycle HDE families which may not employ closed loop
control, fuel injection systems with catalysts before 2004. Second,
because otto and diesel cycle HDEs compete in the market place, there
is a degree to which for market equity reasons it is appropriate to
apply standards of equivalent stringency to both classes of engines.
This approach reduces the possibility that emission standards could
have disruptive effect on the HDE market. Both EPA and the California
Air Resources Board have set HC and NOX standards of equivalent
stringency for otto-cycle and diesel HDEs in the past.
b. 1999 Rulemaking Review
EPA proposes to conduct a special review in 1999 to reassess the
appropriateness of the standards under the CAA including the need for
and the technological and economic feasibility of the standards at that
time. Before making a final decision in this review regarding the
appropriateness of these standards under the CAA, EPA intends to issue
a proposal regarding this issue and offer an opportunity for public
comment on whether the standards continue to be technologically
feasible for implementation in 2004 and consistent with the CAA.
Following the close of the comment period, EPA would issue a final
agency decision under section 307 of the CAA.
If in 1999 EPA finds the standards to not be feasible for model
year 2004 or otherwise not in accordance with the Act, EPA will propose
adjusted standards which do not exceed the following:
2.9 g/bhp-hr NMHC + NOX
or
3.0 g/bhp-hr NMHC + NOX with a limit of 0.6 g/bhp-hr on NMHC.
However, if EPA determines that the feasibility of the standards
requires diesel fuel changes and EPA does not engage in rulemaking to
require such changes, EPA will propose adjusted standards which do not
exceed the following:
3.4 g/bhp-hr NMHC + NOX
or
3.5 g/bhp-hr NMHC + NO