98-19874. Raisins Produced From Grapes Grown In California; Increase in Desirable Carryout Used to Compute Trade Demand  

  • [Federal Register Volume 63, Number 142 (Friday, July 24, 1998)]
    [Rules and Regulations]
    [Pages 39699-39702]
    From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
    [FR Doc No: 98-19874]
    
    
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    DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
    
    Agricultural Marketing Service
    
    7 CFR Part 989
    
    [FV98-989-2 IFR]
    
    
    Raisins Produced From Grapes Grown In California; Increase in 
    Desirable Carryout Used to Compute Trade Demand
    
    AGENCY: Agricultural Marketing Service, USDA.
    
    ACTION: Interim final rule with request for comments.
    
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    SUMMARY: This rule increases the desirable carryout used to compute the 
    yearly trade demand for raisins covered under the Federal marketing 
    order for California raisins. The order regulates the handling of 
    raisins produced from grapes grown in California and is administered 
    locally by the Raisin Administrative Committee (Committee). Trade 
    demand is computed based on a formula specified in the order, and is 
    used to determine volume regulation percentages for each crop year, if 
    necessary. Desirable carryout, one factor in this formula, is the 
    amount of tonnage from the prior crop year needed during the first part 
    of the next crop year to meet market needs, before new crop raisins are 
    available for shipment. This rule increases the desirable carryout from 
    2 to 2\1/2\ months of prior year's shipments. This increase allows for 
    a higher free tonnage percentage which makes more raisins available to 
    handlers for immediate use early in the season.
    
    DATES: Effective August 1, 1998. Comments must be received by August 3, 
    1998.
    
    ADDRESSES: Interested persons are invited to submit written comments 
    concerning this rule. Comments must be sent to the Docket Clerk, Fruit 
    and Vegetable Programs, AMS, USDA, room 2525-S, P.O. Box 96456, 
    Washington, DC 20090-6456; Fax: (202) 205-6632. All comments should 
    reference the docket number and the date and page number of this issue 
    of the Federal Register and will be made available for public 
    inspection in the Office of the Docket Clerk during regular business 
    hours.
    
    FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Maureen T. Pello, Marketing 
    Specialist, California Marketing Field Office, Fruit and Vegetable 
    Programs, AMS, USDA, 2202 Monterey Street, suite 102B, Fresno, 
    California 93721; telephone: (209) 487-5901, Fax: (209) 487-5906; or 
    George Kelhart, Technical Advisor, Marketing Order Administration 
    Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs, AMS, USDA, room 2525-S, P.O. Box 
    96456, Washington, DC 20090-6456; telephone: (202) 720-2491, or Fax: 
    (202) 205-6632. Small businesses may request information on compliance 
    with this regulation by contacting Jay Guerber, Marketing Order 
    Administration Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs, AMS, USDA, P.O. 
    Box 96456, room 2525-S, Washington, DC 20090-6456; telephone (202) 720-
    2491; Fax: (202) 205-6632.
    
    SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This rule is issued under Marketing 
    Agreement and Order No. 989 (7 CFR part 989), both as amended, 
    regulating the handling of raisins produced from grapes grown in 
    California, hereinafter referred to as the ``order.'' The order is 
    effective under the Agricultural Marketing Agreement Act of 1937, as
    
    [[Page 39700]]
    
    amended (7 U.S.C. 601-674), hereinafter referred to as the ``Act.''
        The Department of Agriculture (Department) is issuing this rule in 
    conformance with Executive Order 12866.
        This rule has been reviewed under Executive Order 12988, Civil 
    Justice Reform. This rule is not intended to have retroactive effect. 
    This rule will not preempt any State or local laws, regulations, or 
    policies, unless they present an irreconcilable conflict with this 
    rule.
        The Act provides that administrative proceedings must be exhausted 
    before parties may file suit in court. Under section 608c(15)(A) of the 
    Act, any handler subject to an order may file with the Secretary a 
    petition stating that the order, any provision of the order, or any 
    obligation imposed in connection with the order is not in accordance 
    with law and request a modification of the order or to be exempted 
    therefrom. A handler is afforded the opportunity for a hearing on the 
    petition. After the hearing, the Secretary would rule on the petition. 
    The Act provides that the district court of the United States in any 
    district in which the handler is an inhabitant, or has his or her 
    principal place of business, has jurisdiction in equity to review the 
    Secretary's ruling on the petition, provided an action is filed not 
    later than 20 days after the date of the entry of the ruling.
        This rule increases the desirable carryout used to compute the 
    yearly trade demand for raisins regulated under the order. Trade demand 
    is computed based on a formula specified in the order, and is used to 
    determine volume regulation percentages for each crop year, if 
    necessary. This rule increases the desirable carryout, one factor in 
    this formula, from 2 to 2\1/2\ months of prior year's shipments. This 
    increase allows for a higher free tonnage percentage which makes more 
    raisins available to handlers for immediate use early in the season. 
    This rule was unanimously recommended by the Committee at a meeting on 
    June 11, 1998.
        The order provides authority for volume regulation designed to 
    promote orderly marketing conditions, stabilize prices and supplies, 
    and improve producer returns. When volume regulation is in effect, a 
    certain percentage of the California raisin crop may be sold by 
    handlers to any market (free tonnage) while the remaining percentage 
    must be held by handlers in a reserve pool (or reserve) for the account 
    of the Committee. Reserve raisins are disposed of through certain 
    programs authorized under the order. For instance, reserve raisins may 
    be sold by the Committee to handlers for free use or to replace part of 
    the free tonnage raisins they exported; used in diversion programs; 
    carried over as a hedge against a short crop the following year; or 
    disposed of in other outlets not competitive with those for free 
    tonnage raisins, such as government purchase, distilleries, or animal 
    feed. Net proceeds from sales of reserve raisins are distributed to the 
    reserve pool's equity holders, primarily producers.
        Section 989.54 of the order prescribes procedures to be followed in 
    establishing volume regulation and includes methodology used to 
    calculate percentages. Trade demand is based on a computed formula 
    specified in this section, and is used to determine volume regulation 
    percentages. Trade demand is equal to 90 percent of the prior year's 
    shipments, adjusted by the carryin and desirable carryout inventories.
        At one time, Sec. 989.54(a) also specified actual tonnages for 
    desirable carryout for each varietal type regulated. However, in 1989, 
    these tonnages were suspended from the order, and flexibility was added 
    so that the Committee could adopt a formula for desirable carryout in 
    the order's rules and regulations. The formula has allowed the 
    Committee to periodically adjust the desirable carryout to better 
    reflect changes in each season's marketing conditions.
        The formula for desirable carryout has been specified since 1989 in 
    Sec. 989.154. Initially, the formula was established so that desirable 
    carryout was based on shipments for the first 3 months of the prior 
    crop year--August, September, and October (the crop year runs from 
    August 1 through July 31). This amount was gradually reduced to 2\1/2\ 
    months in 1991-92, 2\1/4\ months in 1995-96, and to its current level 
    of 2 months in 1996-97. The Committee reduced the desirable carryout 
    because it believed that an excessive supply of raisins was available 
    early in a new crop year creating unstable market conditions.
        At its June 11, 1998, meeting, the Committee evaluated the 2-month 
    desirable carryout level and recommended adjusting the formula back up 
    to 2\1/2\ months of prior year's shipments (August, September, and one-
    half of October). In its deliberations, the Committee considered the 
    impact of the reduction in desirable carryout over the past few years 
    along with a change to one of its export programs operated under the 
    order. Prior to 1995, the Committee administered an industry export 
    program whereby handlers who exported California raisins could 
    purchase, at a reduced rate, reserve raisins for free use. This 
    effectively blended down the cost of the raisins which were exported, 
    allowing handlers to be price competitive in export markets (prices in 
    export markets are generally lower than the domestic market). One 
    problem that the industry found with this ``raisin-back'' program was 
    that the reserve raisins which handlers received went back into free 
    tonnage outlets creating an excessive supply of raisins. To correct 
    this problem, the industry gradually switched to a program which 
    offered cash, rather than reserve raisins, to exporting handlers. The 
    desirable carryout was reduced down to 2 months to help decrease the 
    supply of raisins available early in a season and, thus, stabilize 
    market conditions.
        The Committee now believes that not enough raisins are being made 
    available for growth. Increasing the desirable carryout allows for a 
    higher trade demand figure and, thus, a higher free tonnage percentage 
    which makes more raisins available to handlers for immediate use early 
    in the season. A higher free tonnage percentage may also improve early 
    season returns to producers (producers are paid an established field 
    price for their free tonnage).
        At the meeting, the Committee also compared the average desirable 
    carryout for the past 7 years with the average, actual tonnage that all 
    handlers have in inventory at the end a crop year. Desirable carryout 
    has averaged 66,033 tons at 2\1/2\ months, 63,424 tons at 2\1/4\ 
    months, and 63,364 tons at 2 months. For the past 7 years, an average 
    of 101,459 tons has been held in inventory by all handlers at the end 
    of a crop year. Increasing the desirable carryout to 2\1/2\ months 
    would allow this factor to move towards what handlers are actually 
    holding in inventory at the end of a crop year.
        Much of the discussion at the Committee's meeting concerned the 
    desirable carryout of Natural (sun-dried) Seedless raisins (Naturals). 
    Naturals are the major commercial varietal type of raisin produced in 
    California. Volume regulation has been implemented for Naturals for the 
    past several seasons. However, the Committee also believes that the 
    increase in desirable carryout to 2\1/2\ months should apply to the 
    other varietal types of raisins covered under the order.
        Pursuant to requirements set forth in the Regulatory Flexibility 
    Act (RFA), the Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS) has considered the 
    economic impact of this action on small entities.
    
    [[Page 39701]]
    
    Accordingly, AMS has prepared this initial regulatory flexibility 
    analysis.
        The purpose of the RFA is to fit regulatory actions to the scale of 
    business subject to such actions in order that small businesses will 
    not be unduly or disproportionately burdened. Marketing orders issued 
    pursuant to the Act, and rules issued thereunder, are unique in that 
    they are brought about through group action of essentially small 
    entities acting on their own behalf. Thus, both statutes have small 
    entity orientation and compatibility.
        There are approximately 20 handlers of California raisins who are 
    subject to regulation under the order and approximately 4,500 raisin 
    producers in the regulated area. Small agricultural service firms have 
    been defined by the Small Business Administration (13 CFR 121.601) as 
    those having annual receipts of less than $5,000,000, and small 
    agricultural producers are defined as those having annual receipts of 
    less than $500,000. No more than 7 handlers, and a majority of 
    producers, of California raisins may be classified as small entities. 
    Thirteen of the 20 handlers subject to regulation have annual sales 
    estimated to be at least $5,000,000, and the remaining 7 handlers have 
    sales less than $5,000,000, excluding receipts from any other sources.
        This rule increases the desirable carryout used to compute the 
    yearly trade demand for raisins regulated under the order. Trade demand 
    is computed based on a formula specified under Sec. 989.54(a) of the 
    order, and is used to determine volume regulation percentages for each 
    crop year, if necessary. Desirable carryout, one factor in this 
    formula, is the amount of tonnage from the prior crop year needed 
    during the first part of the succeeding crop year to meet market needs, 
    before new crop raisins are available for shipment. This rule increases 
    the desirable carryout specified in Sec. 989.154 from 2 to 2\1/2\ 
    months of prior year's shipments.
        The 2\1/2\ month desirable carryout level applies uniformly to all 
    handlers in the industry, whether small or large, and there are no 
    known additional costs incurred by small handlers. As previously 
    mentioned, increasing the desirable carryout increases trade demand and 
    the free tonnage percentage which makes more raisins available to 
    handlers early in the season. A higher free tonnage percentage may also 
    improve early season returns to producers (producers are paid an 
    established field price for their free tonnage).
        The Committee considered a number of alternatives to the one-half 
    month increase in the desirable carryout level. The Committee has an 
    appointed subcommittee which periodically holds public meetings to 
    discuss changes to the order and other issues. The subcommittee met on 
    April 21 and June 9, 1998, and discussed desirable carryout. The 
    subcommittee considered establishing a set tonnage for desirable 
    carryout (i.e., 75,000 tons for Naturals). However, this alternative 
    would not allow the desirable carryout to fluctuate with changing 
    market conditions from year to year. The subcommittee considered 
    lowering the desirable carryout for Naturals by 15,000 tons to tighten 
    the supply of raisins early in the season even more. However, the 
    majority of subcommittee members believed that the early season supply 
    of raisins needed to be increased rather than decreased.
        Another alternative raised at the Committee meeting was to make 
    more raisins available to handlers at the end of a crop year through 
    the industry's ``10 plus 10'' offers. The ``10 plus 10'' offers are two 
    offers of reserve pool raisins which are made available to handlers 
    during each season. Handlers may sell their ``10 plus 10'' raisins as 
    free tonnage to any market. For each such offer, a quantity of reserve 
    raisins equal to 10 percent of the prior year's shipments is made 
    available for free use. The Committee considered offering for sale to 
    handlers as free use an additional quantity of reserve raisins equal to 
    5 percent of the prior year's shipments. Such an additional offer could 
    generate revenue that could be used to sustain the Committee's ``cash-
    back'' export program. As previously explained, under this program, 
    handlers who export raisins to certain markets may receive cash from 
    the reserve pool. This effectively blends down the cost of the raisins 
    which were exported, allowing handlers to be price competitive in 
    export markets (prices in export markets are generally lower than the 
    domestic market). However, there is currently no provision in the order 
    for this additional 5 percent offer.
        Another alternative that was raised at the Committee's meeting was 
    to include a policy statement concerning reserve pool equity along with 
    the recommendation to increase the desirable carryout. Some industry 
    members are concerned that increasing desirable carryout, thereby 
    increasing the free tonnage percentage, may reduce handler purchases of 
    ``10 plus 10'' raisins and, thus, impact pool revenue. As previously 
    mentioned, net proceeds from sales of reserve raisins are distributed 
    to reserve pool equity holders, primarily small producers. After much 
    discussion, the majority of Committee members agreed that reserve pool 
    equity was a separate issue from desirable carryout and would be 
    addressed by the Committee's Audit Subcommittee.
        This rule will not impose any additional reporting or recordkeeping 
    requirements on either small or large raisin handlers. As with all 
    Federal marketing order programs, reports and forms are periodically 
    reviewed to reduce information requirements and duplication by industry 
    and public sector agencies. Finally, the Department has not identified 
    any relevant Federal rules that duplicate, overlap or conflict with 
    this rule.
        In addition, the Committee's subcommittee meetings on April 21 and 
    June 9, 1998, and the Committee meeting on June 11, 1998, where this 
    action was deliberated were public meetings widely publicized 
    throughout the raisin industry. All interested persons were invited to 
    attend the meetings and participate in the industry's deliberations. 
    Finally, all interested persons are invited to submit information on 
    the regulatory and informational impacts of this action on small 
    businesses.
        After consideration of all relevant material presented, including 
    the Committee's recommendation, and other information, it is found that 
    this interim final rule, as hereinafter set forth, will tend to 
    effectuate the declared policy of the Act.
        This rule invites comments on increasing the desirable carryout 
    level currently specified under the California raisin order. A 10-day 
    comment period is deemed appropriate because the order provides that 
    the Committee meet to compute and announce the trade demand for any 
    varietal type for which volume regulation may be recommended for the 
    1998-99 crop year on or before August 15, and desirable carryout is a 
    necessary factor in that calculation. Any comments received will be 
    considered prior to finalization of this rule.
        Pursuant to 5 U.S.C. 553, it is also found and determined upon good 
    cause that it is impracticable, unnecessary, and contrary to the public 
    interest to give preliminary notice prior to putting this rule into 
    effect and that good cause exists for not postponing the effective date 
    of this rule until 30 days after publication in the Federal Register 
    because: (1) The 1998-99 crop year begins on August 1, 1998, and this 
    rule should be effective promptly because the order provides that the 
    Committee meet on or before August 15 to compute and announce the trade 
    demand, and
    
    [[Page 39702]]
    
    the desirable carryout level is a necessary item in that calculation; 
    (2) this action is a relaxation in that increasing the desirable 
    carryout increases the trade demand and free tonnage percentage making 
    more raisins available to handlers for immediate use early in the 
    season; (3) producers and handlers are aware of this action which was 
    unanimously recommended by the Committee at a public meeting; and (4) 
    this rule provides a 10-day comment period and any comments received 
    will be considered prior to finalization of this rule.
    
    List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 989
    
        Grapes, Marketing agreements, Raisins, Reporting and recordkeeping 
    requirements.
    
        For the reasons set forth in the preamble, 7 CFR part 989 is 
    amended as follows:
    
    PART 989--RAISINS PRODUCED FROM GRAPES GROWN IN CALIFORNIA
    
        1. The authority citation for 7 CFR part 989 continues to read as 
    follows:
    
        Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601-674.
    
        2. Section 989.154 is revised to read as follows:
    
    
    Sec. 989.154  Desirable carryout levels.
    
        The desirable carryout levels to be used in computing and 
    announcing a crop year's marketing policy shall be equal to the total 
    shipments of free tonnage of the prior crop year during August, 
    September, and one-half of October, for each varietal type, converted 
    to a natural condition basis: Provided, That should the prior year's 
    shipments be limited because of crop conditions, the Committee may 
    select the total shipments during the months of August, September, and 
    one-half of October during one of the three crop years preceding the 
    prior crop year.
    
        Dated: July 21, 1998.
    Robert C. Keeney,
    Deputy Administrator, Fruit and Vegetable Programs.
    [FR Doc. 98-19874 Filed 7-22-98; 10:03 am]
    BILLING CODE 3410-02-P
    
    
    

Document Information

Effective Date:
8/1/1998
Published:
07/24/1998
Department:
Agricultural Marketing Service
Entry Type:
Rule
Action:
Interim final rule with request for comments.
Document Number:
98-19874
Dates:
Effective August 1, 1998. Comments must be received by August 3, 1998.
Pages:
39699-39702 (4 pages)
Docket Numbers:
FV98-989-2 IFR
PDF File:
98-19874.pdf
CFR: (1)
7 CFR 989.154