98-23669. Color Television Receivers From the Republic of Korea; Final Results of Changed Circumstances Antidumping Duty Review  

  • [Federal Register Volume 63, Number 170 (Wednesday, September 2, 1998)]
    [Notices]
    [Pages 46759-46776]
    From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
    [FR Doc No: 98-23669]
    
    
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    DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
    
    International Trade Administration
    [A-580-008]
    
    
    Color Television Receivers From the Republic of Korea; Final 
    Results of Changed Circumstances Antidumping Duty Review
    
    AGENCY: Import Administration, International Trade Administration, 
    Department of Commerce.
    
    ACTION: Notice of affirmative final determination of changed 
    circumstances antidumping duty review and revocation of order in part.
    
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    SUMMARY: This changed circumstances review covers one manufacturer, 
    Samsung Electronics Corporation. The International Brotherhood of 
    Electrical Workers; the International Union of Electronic, Electrical, 
    Salaried, Machine and Furniture Workers (AFL-CIO); and the Industrial 
    Union Department (AFL-CIO) are collectively the ``petitioners.''
        On December 31, 1997, the Department of Commerce published the 
    preliminary results of the changed circumstances review of the 
    antidumping duty order on color television receivers from the Republic 
    of Korea. At that time, the Department preliminarily determined to 
    partially revoke this antidumping duty order with respect to Samsung 
    Electronics Corporation. Based on our analysis of the record evidence, 
    including interested party comments, we have determined that changed 
    circumstances warrant revocation of the antidumping duty order on color 
    television receivers from the Republic of Korea, as it applies to 
    Samsung Electronics Corporation.
    
    EFFECTIVE DATE: September 2, 1998.
    
    
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    FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Irene Darzenta Tzafolias or Mark 
    Manning, Office of AD/CVD Enforcement, Office 4, Import Administration, 
    International Trade Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14th 
    Street and Constitution Avenue, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20230; 
    telephone: (202) 482-0922 and 482-3936, respectively.
    SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
    
    Applicable Statute and Regulations
    
        Unless otherwise indicated, all citations to the statute are 
    references to the provisions effective January 1, 1995, the effective 
    date of the amendments made to the Tariff Act of 1930 (the Act) by the 
    Uruguay Round Agreements Act (URAA). In addition, unless otherwise 
    indicated, all citations to the Department's regulations are to the 
    regulations as codified at 19 CFR Part 353 (April 1, 1997). Although 
    the new regulations do not apply in these final results, they are 
    cited, where appropriate, as a statement of the Department's current 
    practice. See 62 FR 27296, 27378 (May 19, 1997).
    
    Background
    
        On April 30, 1984, the Department of Commerce (the Department) 
    published in the Federal Register (49 FR 18336) the antidumping duty 
    order on color television receivers (CTVs) from the Republic of Korea 
    (Korea).
        On July 20, 1995, the Department received a request by Samsung 
    Electronics Corporation (Samsung) for a changed circumstances review to 
    consider revocation of the antidumping duty order, as it applies to 
    Samsung. The petitioners opposed this request. In its revocation 
    request, Samsung cited three reasons why the Department should revoke 
    the antidumping duty order. First, the timing of certain court 
    decisions on previous administrative reviews of this order prevented 
    Samsung from filing in a timely manner for revocation under Section 
    751(a) of the Act. Second, Samsung was found not to be dumping CTVs in 
    the United States during the six consecutive years in which Samsung had 
    shipments from Korea. Third, Samsung has not shipped CTVs to the United 
    States since early 1991. Zenith Electronics Corporation, a domestic 
    interested party, and petitioners, filed objections to Samsung's 
    request on August 4 and August 11, 1995, respectively.
        Pursuant to Samsung's request, the Department initiated this 
    changed circumstances review on June 24, 1996. See Color Television 
    Receivers From the Republic of Korea: Initiation of Changed 
    Circumstances Antidumping Duty Administrative Review and Consideration 
    of Revocation of Order (in Part) (61 FR 32426, June 24, 
    1996).1 On July 16, 1996, the Department issued to the 
    parties a draft changed circumstances questionnaire for comment. We 
    received comments from petitioners and Samsung on July 30, 1996, and 
    August 6, 1996, respectively. On December 6, 1996, the Department 
    issued a changed circumstances questionnaire to Samsung, who filed its 
    response on February 24, 1997. Petitioners submitted their comments on 
    Samsung's questionnaire response on June 17, 1997. Subsequently, both 
    petitioners and Samsung submitted several additional comments.
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        \1\ In a separate but related proceeding, the Department 
    investigated whether Samsung and other Korean television producers 
    were circumventing the antidumping duty order on CTVs from Korea 
    through their production facilities in Mexico. Pursuant to an 
    application filed by petitioners on August 11, 1995, the Department 
    initiated the anti-circumvention inquiry on January 19, 1996 (61 FR 
    1339, January 19, 1996). On December 31, 1997, pursuant to 
    petitioners' request, the Department terminated the anti-
    circumvention inquiry with respect to all companies.
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        On December 31, 1997, the Department issued its affirmative 
    preliminary results in this changed circumstances review of the 
    antidumping order on CTVs from Korea, partially revoking this order 
    with respect to Samsung. See Color Television Receivers From Korea; 
    Preliminary Results of Changed Circumstances Antidumping Duty 
    Administrative Review (62 FR 68256, December 31, 1997). Petitioners, 
    Samsung, and LG Electronics (LGE) submitted comments to the Department 
    concerning the preliminary determination on February 13, 1998 and March 
    6, 1998. A public hearing was held on March 18, 1998, to allow 
    interested parties the opportunity to express their views directly to 
    the Department. Additional information was submitted on March 30, 1998, 
    and comments were filed by petitioners and Samsung on April 7, 1998, 
    and May 8, 1998, respectively. This review was conducted in accordance 
    with Section 751(b) of the Act.
    
    Scope of Order
    
        Imports covered by this order include CTVs, complete and 
    incomplete, from the Republic of Korea. This merchandise is 
    classifiable under the 1997 Harmonized Tariff Schedule (HTS) as item 
    8528.12.04, 8528.12.08, 8528.12.12, 8528.12.16, 8528.12.20, 8528.12.24, 
    8528.12.28, 8528.12.32, 8528.12.36, 8528.12.40, 8528.12.44, 8528.12.48, 
    8528.12.52, 8528.12.56, 8528.12.62, 8528.12.64, 8528.12.68, 8528.12.72, 
    8528.12.76, 8528.12.80, 8528.12.84, and 8528.12.88. The order covers 
    all CTVs regardless of HTS classification. The HTS subheadings are 
    provided for convenience and for customs purposes. The Department's 
    written description of the scope of the order remains dispositive.
    
    Scope of the Review
    
        Imports covered by this review pertain to merchandise as defined by 
    the ``Scope of the Order'' section above that was produced by Samsung.
    
    Intent to Revoke In Part
    
        Section 751(d) of the Act provides that the Department may revoke 
    an antidumping order, in whole or in part, after conducting a review 
    under Section 751(a) or 751(b). 19 U.S.C. 1675(d)(1) (1995). This 
    changed circumstances review is being conducted pursuant to Section 
    751(b) of the Act. The Department's regulations at 19 CFR 353.25(d) 
    permit the Department to conduct a changed circumstances review under 
    19 CFR 353.22(f) when there is sufficient information to warrant a 
    review. We stated in the initiation notice that the unique 
    circumstances presented by Samsung in this proceeding constitute 
    changed circumstances sufficient to warrant a review under Section 
    751(b) of the Act and 19 CFR 353.22(f).
        Although this review is being conducted pursuant to Sections 
    353.25(d) and 353.22(f) of the Department's regulations, for guidance 
    we have relied upon the criteria contained in Section 353.25(a) as a 
    starting point from which to analyze the case, in addition to any other 
    factors raised by the parties. Section 353.25(a) states that the 
    Secretary may revoke an order in part if the Secretary concludes that 
    (1) a manufacturer or reseller covered at the time of revocation by the 
    order has sold the subject merchandise at not less than foreign market 
    value (LTFMV) for a period of at least three consecutive years, (2) it 
    is not likely that those persons will in the future sell the 
    merchandise at LTFMV, and (3) the manufacturer or reseller agrees in 
    writing to the immediate reinstatement of the order if the Secretary 
    concludes that the manufacturer or reseller, subsequent to the 
    revocation, sold the merchandise at LTFMV. In the preliminary 
    determination, the Department found that Samsung met all three of the 
    above requirements. At that time, we encouraged interested parties to 
    submit comments concerning whether Samsung was not likely to sell the 
    subject merchandise at LTFMV in the future.
    
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        With respect to the issue of likelihood, in past cases, we have 
    considered ``such other factors as conditions and trends in the 
    domestic and home market industries, currency movements, and the 
    ability of the foreign entity to compete in the U.S. marketplace 
    without LTFV sales.'' See Brass Sheet and Strip from Germany; Final 
    Results of Antidumping Duty Administrative Review and Determination Not 
    to Revoke in Part (61 FR 49727, 49730; September 23, 1996) (Brass Sheet 
    and Strip) and Notice of Final Results of Antidumping Duty 
    Administrative Review and Determination Not To Revoke Order In Part: 
    Dynamic Random Access Memory Semiconductors of One Megabyte or Above 
    From the Republic of Korea (62 FR 39809, 39810; July 24, 1997) (DRAMS). 
    Other criteria the Department has considered in past cases include the 
    existence of trade restrictions on the sale of the foreign like product 
    in third world countries and the industry's development of new 
    technologies in its analysis of the likelihood of future dumping. See, 
    e.g., Television Receivers, Monochrome and Color, from Japan; Final 
    Results of Antidumping Duty Administrative Review and Determination Not 
    To Revoke in Part (54 FR 35517, 35519; August 28, 1989) (TVs from 
    Japan). As stated in TVs from Japan, the market forces described above 
    are important in cases, such as this one, where there have been no 
    shipments of subject merchandise for several years, and there is 
    therefore little information regarding a respondent's current pricing 
    practices with regard to the subject merchandise. See TVs from Japan at 
    35519.
        Based upon our analysis of the information on the record of this 
    case, Samsung has not sold the subject merchandise at LTFMV for a 
    period of six consecutive years (i.e., April 1, 1985 through March 31, 
    1991). We consider this to be an important indicator of Samsung's 
    expected pricing practices in the future. In addition, Samsung has 
    agreed in writing to its immediate reinstatement in the order if the 
    Secretary concludes that Samsung, subsequent to the revocation, sells 
    the merchandise at LTFMV.
        With respect to whether Samsung is not likely to resume dumping, we 
    have examined the information submitted after issuing the preliminary 
    results. We continue to find that the record supports the conclusion 
    that Samsung is not likely to sell the subject merchandise at LTFMV in 
    the future. As more fully explained below, our analysis of whether 
    Samsung is not likely to resume selling CTVs in the U.S. market at 
    LTFMV focuses on conditions and trends in the U.S. and Korean CTV 
    markets, the effects of the Asian economic downturn on Samsung, the 
    movements of the Korean won and other Southeast Asian currencies, 
    Samsung's ability to compete in the United States without LTFMV sales, 
    trade restrictions concerning CTVs in third countries, and the 
    potential impact of new technologies, specifically high definition 
    television.
    
    Analysis of Comments Received
    
    Part I--General Comments
    
    Comment 1: Legal Entitlement to a Changed Circumstances Review
        Petitioners claim that Samsung missed the opportunity to request 
    revocation under 19 CFR 353.25(b) and is therefore ineligible for 
    revocation pursuant to a changed circumstances review under Section 
    751(b) of the Act and Section 353.25(d) of the Department's 
    regulations. Petitioners argue that the statute and the regulations 
    provide two methods to request revocation. Pursuant to Section 751(a) 
    and 19 CFR 353.25(a)-(c), the Department may consider a respondent's 
    request for revocation if the respondent has made sales at LTFMV for 
    three consecutive years in the immediately preceding review periods. 
    The Department also will consider a request for revocation pursuant to 
    Section 751(b) and 19 CFR 353.22(f) and 353.25(d) based on other 
    ``changed circumstances.''
        Petitioners claim that, in this case, Samsung had the opportunity 
    to request revocation pursuant to Section 751(a) and 19 CFR 353.25(a)-
    (c), but failed to make such a request in a timely manner. 
    Specifically, petitioners argue that Samsung should have requested 
    revocation in April 1991 for the eighth review, by which time the 
    Department had already published its final results in the fourth and 
    fifth reviews and had determined that Samsung's dumping margins were de 
    minimis. Furthermore, despite the outcome of litigation in the fourth 
    review, the Department announced in the final results of the fifth 
    review, published in March 1991, that it did not agree with the Court 
    of International Trade's decision in Daewoo Electronics Co. v. United 
    States, 13 CIT 253, 712 F. Supp. 931 (1989) (Daewoo), and was 
    consequently calculating its margins for Samsung pursuant to its 
    standard practice. Based upon the Department's standard commodity tax 
    methodology, Samsung was able to obtain de minimis margins in the 
    fourth and fifth reviews. Since the final results of these reviews were 
    known to Samsung in March 1991, coupled with the Department's 
    announcement that it did not intend to follow the lower court's 
    decision in Daewoo, petitioners argue that Samsung clearly had the 
    basis to certify that it would have no sales at LTFMV in the eighth 
    review. According to petitioners, Samsung should have requested 
    revocation in April 1991, but it failed to do so.
        Petitioners also argue that although the final results of the sixth 
    and seventh reviews were not published by the Department until 1996, 
    this should not have prevented Samsung from requesting revocation in 
    April 1991 for the eighth review. If Samsung had done so, petitioners 
    argue, the Department would have known in April 1991 that the results 
    of the sixth and seventh reviews could have an impact on whether 
    Samsung would be allowed to obtain revocation in the eighth review. 
    Presumably, the petitioners reason, the Department could have changed 
    its administrative process and conducted the sixth, seventh, and eighth 
    reviews simultaneously to determine whether Samsung had three 
    consecutive years of no dumping.
        Petitioners claim that because Samsung missed its opportunity to 
    request revocation pursuant to Section 751(a) and 19 CFR 353.25(a)-(c), 
    it is not eligible for revocation through a changed circumstances 
    review pursuant to Section 751(b) and 19 CFR 353.22(f) and 353.25(d). 
    Petitioners claim that, in the past, the Department has conducted 
    changed circumstances reviews only in cases where domestic parties had 
    no interest in maintaining the order, or where the request for 
    revocation was otherwise warranted but could not be obtained through 
    the normal revocation procedure. In this case, petitioners contend that 
    Samsung is prohibited from requesting revocation through a changed 
    circumstances review because it failed to request such a review through 
    the normal regulatory procedures (i.e., 19 CFR 353.25(a)-(c)). 
    Moreover, petitioners assert that Samsung is requesting a changed 
    circumstances review on the basis of the discontinuance of dumping and 
    cessation of shipments, something that the Department has never done 
    before. Petitioners contend that Samsung is specifically trying to 
    avoid the mandate of the law by improperly relying on this alternative 
    method for revocation. Petitioners assert that the Department's 
    regulations were revised to prohibit revocation based on no shipments 
    in recent time periods because the Department recognized that the 
    absence of shipments by a respondent, even after
    
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    an initial period of no dumping, was not a reliable indication that the 
    respondent was not likely to dump in the future.
        Lastly, petitioners argue that a negative determination in this 
    changed circumstances review is consistent with the World Trade 
    Organization's (WTO's) Antidumping Agreement. Petitioners claim that 
    Article 11 of the Antidumping Agreement provides only basic guidelines 
    concerning the duration and review of antidumping duties. Beyond 
    outlining broad principles, Article 11 is silent as to any factors or 
    considerations that should be taken into account by member countries' 
    authorities during a review of the need to maintain antidumping duties. 
    Therefore, petitioners contend that the Antidumping Agreement gives to 
    each member country's authorities the responsibility and discretion to 
    establish specific rules for the authorities to evaluate the issue of 
    revocation. In this capacity, the Department has promulgated 
    regulations at 19 CFR 353.25(a)-(c) that set forth the criteria 
    respondents must meet to obtain revocation. Petitioners conclude that 
    the Department's decision to withhold revocation under its applicable 
    regulations is in compliance with Article 11.
        Samsung claims that the Department's revocation regulations failed 
    to operate as intended with respect to Samsung because of the timing of 
    certain court decisions and the systematic failure of the Department to 
    comply with its regulatory obligation to complete administrative 
    reviews within 365 days. Specifically, Samsung cites the following six 
    reasons: (1) the Department improperly determined in 1988 that Samsung 
    had an above de minimis margin in the third review; (2) the margin in 
    the third review was not reduced to de minimis until 1995; (3) the 
    Department amended its revocation regulations in April 1989 to require 
    that producers file revocation requests only in the anniversary month 
    immediately following three consecutive years of no sales at LTFMV; (4) 
    the Department did not issue its final determinations in the fourth and 
    fifth reviews until June 1990 and March 1991, respectively--in each 
    case, two years after the 365-day deadline for completion; (5) the 
    Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issued a decision that 
    resulted in de minimis margins in the third through eighth reviews; and 
    (6) the Department did not issue final results for the sixth and 
    seventh reviews until February 1996, six and five years late, 
    respectively. As a result, Samsung learned for the first time that it 
    had become eligible to request revocation under the new regulations 
    long after April 1989, the ``opportunity month'' for requesting such a 
    review, had passed. However, Samsung states that it does not seek 
    revocation on the basis that its revocation requests under the new 
    regulations were timely. Rather, certain facts relied on in those 
    requests are relevant changed circumstances.
        Samsung also argues that under Article 11 of the WTO Antidumping 
    Agreement, the Department ``shall review the need for the continued 
    imposition of the duty, where warranted, . . . upon request by any 
    interested party which submits positive information substantiating the 
    need for a review.'' Samsung asserts that this provision contains no 
    time limit in which parties must request a review and establishes no 
    procedural bars to prevent parties from obtaining a review. 
    Furthermore, Article 11 states that ``an antidumping duty shall remain 
    in force only as long as and to the extent necessary to counteract 
    dumping which is causing injury.'' According to Samsung, under Article 
    11, the Department is obligated to revoke an order when ``dumping which 
    is causing injury'' no longer occurs. Given that Samsung has received 
    de minimis margins for a period of six years and has discontinued 
    shipments since 1991, Samsung maintains that the Department must, 
    pursuant to Article 11, revoke the order with respect to Samsung.
        Samsung further argues that the House Report on the URAA explains 
    that ``the changes are made to conform United States law more 
    specifically to the provisions of the Agreement.'' Samsung contends 
    that the House Report indicates that Congress recognized that the 
    Department must comply with the WTO Antidumping Agreement's provisions 
    governing revocation. Therefore, Samsung asserts that the Department's 
    changed circumstances review provision authorizes it to conduct 
    revocation reviews where warranted and to revoke orders that are no 
    longer necessary, and does not limit the Department to examining only 
    those situations in which the domestic industry is no longer interested 
    in an order.
        Department's Position: We disagree with petitioners' claim that, 
    because Samsung missed the opportunity to request revocation under 19 
    CFR 353.25(b), it is therefore ineligible for revocation pursuant to a 
    changed circumstances review under Section 751(b) of the Act and 
    Sec. 353.25(d) of the Department's regulations. A review based upon 
    changed circumstances, as provided under Sec. 353.25(d) of the 
    regulations, is a separate and distinct procedure from that of a 
    revocation review provided for under Secs. 353.25(a)-(c). In the 
    Department's view, the failure to meet a procedural requirement for a 
    review under Secs. 353.25(a)-(c) cannot act as a bar to a changed 
    circumstances review where a company satisfies the requirements for 
    such a review. Thus, if the facts demonstrate that changed 
    circumstances exist sufficient to warrant a review, the Department has 
    authority, under the statute and regulations, to conduct such a review 
    (see Section 751(b) of the Act and 19 CFR 353.22(f)(1)). In this case, 
    the facts clearly demonstrate that there were changed circumstances 
    sufficient to warrant a changed circumstances review. As noted in the 
    Notice of Initiation, these changed circumstances are (1) the decision 
    of the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Daewoo Electronics 
    Col, Ltd., et al. v. United States, 6 F.3d 1511 (Fed. Cir. 1993), cert. 
    denied, 114 S. Ct. 2672 (1994), which Samsung claims made it possible 
    for the first time for it to contemplate the possibility of de minimis 
    margins for three or more consecutive review periods; (2) as a direct 
    result of that decision, Samsung was able to establish that it had not 
    been dumping CTVs in the United States for six consecutive years; and 
    (3) Samsung has not shipped CTVs to the U.S. since 1991.
        Furthermore, petitioners have misunderstood the intended purpose of 
    the procedural requirement that a respondent seeking revocation submit 
    a timely request for revocation under Sec. 353.25(b). The requirement 
    of a timely filed request is not meant to bar consideration of a 
    company-specific revocation for respondent. Rather, the purpose of the 
    regulatory requirement is to ensure that the Department has adequate 
    time to address the issues of revocation, to prepare for and conduct a 
    proper verification as required under Sec. 353.25(c)(2)(ii), and to 
    ensure that all parties to the proceeding are provided with an 
    opportunity to comment on the issues of revocation. Thus, the 
    Department's decision to grant a changed circumstances review does not 
    frustrate the purpose of the antidumping law or prejudice the parties 
    to the proceeding. To the contrary, it is a reasonable exercise of the 
    Department's authority, consistent with Section 751(b) of the Act and 
    the Department's regulations.
        We also disagree with petitioners' contention that revocation is 
    not warranted because the Department's regulations prohibit revocation 
    based upon no shipments. First, we have based revocation upon Samsung's 
    six
    
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    consecutive years of zero or de minimis margins and a determination 
    that resumption of dumping by Samsung is not likely, not the absence of 
    shipments.2 Furthermore, in amending its regulations on 
    revocation, the Department stated that, in determining whether an order 
    should be revoked under a changed circumstances review, the Department 
    ``may consider among other things periods of no shipments.'' 
    Antidumping Duties, Final Rule, 54 FR 12742, 12758 (Mar. 28, 1989). 
    Thus, Samsung's lack of CTV shipments from Korea to the United States 
    does not prohibit the Department from revoking the order as to Samsung. 
    To the contrary, that fact may be taken into consideration.
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        \2\ In 1991, Samsung ceased, and has not resumed, shipping CTVs 
    from Korea to the United States. See Color Television Receivers From 
    the Republic of Korea; Final Results of Antidumping Duty 
    Administrative Review, 59 FR 13700 (Mar. 23, 1994); Color Television 
    Receivers From the Republic of Korea; Final Results of Antidumping 
    Duty Administrative Review, 60 FR 38987 (July 31, 1995); and Color 
    Television Receivers From the Republic of Korea; Final Results of 
    Antidumping Duty Administrative Review, 61 FR 59402 (Nov. 22, 1996).
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    Comment 2: Revocation Of The Order In Full
        LGE, a Korean producer of the subject merchandise and an interested 
    third party, argues that four significant changed circumstances exist 
    since the imposition of the Korean CTV order nearly 14 years ago that 
    warrant the revocation in full of the antidumping duty order on CTVs 
    from Korea. First, LGE claims that there have been no commercially 
    significant imports of CTVs from Korea since approximately 1989, 
    despite zero or very low cash deposit rates for all major Korean 
    exporters during this period. Therefore, LGE contends that the 
    antidumping duty order offers no legitimate commercial benefit to the 
    United States industry. Second, LGE states that the Department's 
    administrative reviews established a pattern of sustained reduction, 
    and ultimately virtual elimination, of the dumping margins found by the 
    Department in its margin calculations for all Korean producers. Third, 
    LGE asserts that Mexico has supplanted Korea and other Asian nations as 
    the dominant supplier of CTVs to the U.S. market because many Korean, 
    Japanese, and American CTV companies have shifted their production 
    facilities that serve the U.S. market to Mexico. Fourth, due to the 
    emergence of Mexico as the leading supplier of CTVs sold in the U.S. 
    market, LGE doubts whether there continues to exist an industry engaged 
    in the manufacture of CTVs--as distinct from color picture tubes (CPTs) 
    and other components--in the United States.
        Petitioners contend that, apart from the fact that LGE is unable to 
    satisfy the basic requirements of the regulations and that LGE has been 
    found to be dumping above de minimis levels during one of the last 
    periods for which a review was conducted, LGE's comments fail on 
    several grounds. First, LGE has not participated in this review except 
    tangentially. Second, LGE has not addressed the significant changes 
    caused by the recent economic downturn facing Korea which would cause 
    it, like Samsung, to export its excess production capacity at LTFMV to 
    obtain foreign exchange to service its debt. Third, petitioners contend 
    that LGE, like Samsung, has not demonstrated that it is not likely to 
    resume dumping, and therefore revocation must be denied.
        Department's Position: In this case the Department initiated a 
    changed circumstances review solely with respect to Samsung based upon 
    specific facts demonstrating changed circumstances sufficient to 
    warrant a review as to Samsung. Accordingly, this changed circumstances 
    administrative review was not conducted with respect to any other 
    company. Thus, the Department's determination in this review pertains 
    exclusively to Samsung.
    
    Part II--Likelihood Comments
    
    Comment 3: Conditions And Trends In The United States Market
        Petitioners argue that Samsung is likely to resume dumping CTVs in 
    the U.S. market because U.S. CTV prices are steadily declining and will 
    fall below foreign market value in the near future. Petitioners state 
    that Samsung's weighted-average price data indicates that, for almost 
    all screen sizes, particularly the large sizes, Samsung's U.S. prices 
    have steadily decreased. More broadly, petitioners note that, although 
    Samsung's prices fell in both the U.S. and Korean markets from 1991 
    through 1997, its U.S. prices fell approximately twice as fast as those 
    in Korea. In addition, petitioners claim that the data Samsung obtained 
    from the Electronics Industries Association (EIA), which lists the 
    overall U.S. market sales volumes and average unit prices from 1954 
    through 1998 (projected), demonstrate significant, and continuing, 
    price declines. Petitioners also claim that the price decline in the 
    U.S. market will accelerate as Southeast Asian CTV producers respond to 
    their need for increased revenue, precipitated by the Asian economic 
    situation, by flooding the U.S. market with significantly discounted 
    CTVs. Petitioners conclude that, as a result of declining U.S. prices, 
    amplified by competition among cheap Southeast Asian imports, Samsung 
    will be forced to lower its U.S. prices below foreign market value and 
    resume dumping.
        Petitioners also claim that the changing pattern of demand in the 
    U.S. market makes Samsung likely to resume dumping CTVs, especially in 
    the large (25- and 27-inch) and very large (31-inch and greater) 
    product segments. In support of their argument, petitioners provide 
    their estimates, by screen size, of demand in the U.S. CTV market from 
    1996 through the year 2000. Based on these estimates, petitioners 
    contend that the U.S. market will exhibit growth in the large and very 
    large product segments, while decreasing in the small (13-inch and 
    less) and medium (19- and 20-inch) product segments.
        In light of these data, petitioners argue that Samsung is currently 
    adjusting its domestic production to reflect the shift in United States 
    demand toward large and very large CTVs. As evidence of Samsung's 
    shifting production pattern, petitioners provide their estimate of 
    Samsung's Korean CPT production capacity, on a screen size basis, 
    through the year 2000. According to petitioners, examination of these 
    estimates indicates that Samsung is increasing its Korean production of 
    large and very large-sized CPTs, while cutting back its Korean 
    production of small and medium-sized CPTs. This point is especially 
    relevant, state petitioners, because Samsung's CPT plant in Mexico can 
    only produce medium-sized CPTs. Thus, Samsung could reserve its Mexican 
    operations for production of medium-sized CTVs, which is the segment of 
    the U.S. market petitioners claim is showing considerable decline, 
    while exporting small and large CTV sizes directly to the United States 
    from Korea.
        Samsung characterizes the U.S. CTV market as stable and non-
    cyclical. As evidence, Samsung relies on the data it obtained from the 
    EIA, which indicates that sales volumes in the U.S. CTV market, 
    measured in units, have been steady throughout the 1990's, and that 
    average unit prices have shown only slight erosion since 1993. Samsung 
    also claims that this stability is mirrored in its own U.S. market 
    prices for its Mexican-made CTVs.
        Samsung responds to petitioners' allegation that it is adjusting 
    its Korean production to reflect the growth in U.S. market demand for 
    large and very large CTVs by making three points. First, Samsung states 
    that during the eight administrative reviews in which it
    
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    shipped CTVs to the United States from Korea, it never exported CTVs 
    with screen sizes of 25 inches or more. Thus, Samsung states there is 
    no basis on which to conclude that it would resume dumping large screen 
    size CTVs since it never dumped them in the first place. Second, 
    Samsung claims it has no need to ship large screen size CTVs from Korea 
    to the United States because it can fully serve the large screen size 
    market segment through its Mexican operations. Samsung notes that the 
    Department verified in the now terminated anti-circumvention proceeding 
    that all four of its production lines in Mexico can produce CTVs with 
    screen sizes ranging from 25 to 31 inches. Third, Samsung asserts that 
    its Korean CPT facilities cannot produce conventional CPTs (4:3 width-
    to-height ratio) for certain large screen sizes. For these reasons, 
    Samsung concludes that it is not adjusting its Korean production 
    operations to service better the U.S. market.
        Department's Position: We disagree with petitioners' claim that 
    Samsung is likely to resume dumping in the U.S. CTV market because, 
    according to petitioners, U.S. prices are steadily declining and will 
    fall below foreign market value in the near future. The U.S. CTV 
    industry is a non-cyclical, mature industry historically characterized 
    by modestly declining prices. Although declining U.S. prices and a 
    competitive U.S. market were factors in rejecting requests for 
    revocation in certain past cases, the evidence on the record of this 
    case concerning U.S. market conditions is significantly different from 
    that in past cases and does not support a similar conclusion.
        For example, in DRAMS, the Department noted that the global DRAM 
    industry is highly cyclical in nature with periods of sharp upturn and 
    downturn in market prices. In the year prior to the July 1997 final 
    results of administrative review, the world market experienced a year-
    long downturn, resulting in depressed prices and increased DRAM supply, 
    from which it had not fully recovered by the time of the final results. 
    We concluded that, due to price fluctuations, there was a large degree 
    of uncertainty about the market's future direction. See DRAMS at 39816 
    and 39817. As discussed more fully below, the CTV industry is not 
    characterized by the large cyclical swings found in the DRAMS industry 
    and, therefore, does not experience periods of significantly depressed 
    prices. See Samsung's February 13, 1998, submission at Exhibit H.
        In another case, TVs from Japan, we found that prices in the U.S. 
    television market had declined steadily during the six-year period 
    immediately preceding the 1989 final determination not to revoke the 
    order, imported televisions from countries other than Japan (many sold 
    at LTFMV) had increased as a percentage of U.S. consumption, and that 
    the competitive pricing pressures in the United States had become 
    stronger with the emergence of Taiwan and Korea as significant 
    television producers and exporters. We also noted in TVs from Japan 
    that these market factors are important where there have been no 
    shipments for many years, therefore limiting (Japanese) respondents' 
    U.S. pricing information. See TVs from Japan at 35519.
        However, TVs from Japan is substantially different from the current 
    review because, in this case, we have evidence of how Samsung would 
    price (compete) in a U.S. market characterized by significant dumped 
    imports (i.e., Samsung's pricing behavior in the U.S. market during the 
    1980s when it competed against dumped television receivers from Taiwan, 
    Japan, and other Korean producers). When making our determination in 
    TVs from Japan we did not have evidence indicating how the Japanese 
    respondents requesting revocation (Sanyo and Hitachi) would compete in 
    a U.S. market characterized by significant dumping, because they had 
    stopped shipping before the orders on television receivers from Taiwan 
    and Korea were issued. See Analysis Memorandum dated August 25, 1998. 
    Therefore, even if Samsung were to resume shipments and compete against 
    potentially dumped imports from Japan, Taiwan, and other Korean 
    producers, the fact that Samsung received de minimis margins while 
    competing against dumped imports during the period 1985 through 1991, 
    supports a conclusion that Samsung is not likely to resume sales at 
    LTFMV.
        In a third case, Brass Sheet and Strip, we characterized the U.S. 
    market for the subject merchandise as being mature, known for its price 
    competitiveness, and a ``desirable market for foreign exporters, by 
    virtue of its large size relative to other markets.'' See Brass Sheet 
    and Strip at 49731. However, the Department's decision to reject the 
    respondent's request for revocation was based on other significant 
    factors, such as the respondent's under-utilized home market capacity, 
    the severe decrease in shipments of subject merchandise to the United 
    States since the imposition of the order, the appreciating home market 
    currency, and the existence of a U.S. processing plant that required 
    subject merchandise as feedstock. Unlike in Brass Sheet and Strip, the 
    current review is not characterized by the combination of factors which 
    support a conclusion that the respondent is likely to resume sales at 
    LTFMV.
        Samsung provided data it obtained from the EIA listing the total 
    quantity, value, and the percentage of household penetration of sales 
    in the U.S. CTV market from 1954 to 1998 (projected). See Samsung's 
    February 13, 1998, submission at Exhibit H. Close examination of these 
    data indicates that from 1980 through 1998, the annual average unit 
    price for the U.S. CTV market has decreased, except for a period of 
    five consecutive years, from 1989 to 1993, when prices increased. 
    Specifically, these data indicate that CTV prices, as measured by the 
    average annual rate of change, declined at a rate of 2.79 percent from 
    1980 to 1988, increased at a rate of 1.71 percent from 1989 to 1993, 
    and decreased at a rate of 2.61 percent from 1994 through 1998. In 
    addition, the EIA data shows that CTVs have held a household 
    penetration of approximately 98 percent since 1993. The low rates of 
    annual change in average unit prices, the fact that 12 of the last 18 
    years have been marked by modestly declining prices, and that the CTV 
    market has had full household penetration since 1993, are consistent 
    with the view that the U.S. CTV industry is a non-cyclical, mature 
    industry.
        Furthermore, we note that Samsung's own data supports our 
    characterization of the U.S. CTV market. As noted above, Samsung placed 
    on the record data concerning its prices of Mexican-produced CTVs sold 
    in the U.S. market for the period 1991 through 1997. These data 
    indicate that, as petitioners note, Samsung's prices in the U.S. market 
    declined during this period.
        Samsung received de minimis margins during the period April 1985 
    through March 1991. During the first four years, from 1985 to 1988, we 
    note that the U.S. CTV industry experienced declining prices. Since the 
    Department normally considers declining U.S. prices to be a factor that 
    increases the likelihood of continued sales at LTFMV, we note that 
    Samsung has demonstrated its ability to sell CTVs in the United States 
    at fair value even in the face of these declining prices.
        Furthermore, we disagree with petitioners' claim that Samsung is 
    changing its Korean production to match what petitioners characterize 
    as a shift in U.S. demand toward large and very large CTVs. 
    Petitioners' basis for this argument is that, according to their 
    estimates, Samsung is increasing its
    
    [[Page 46765]]
    
    production of large and very large CPTs, which will eventually have to 
    be exported in the form of a completed CTV. As more fully discussed in 
    Comment 4 below, we conclude that a change in CPT production does not 
    necessarily produce a corresponding change in CTV production. In 
    addition, we note that Samsung's Korean CPT facilities cannot produce 
    conventional CPTs for certain large screen sizes. More importantly, we 
    agree with Samsung that its Mexican facilities fully serve the U.S. 
    market with respect to CTVs ranging in screen size from 13 to 31 
    inches. We note that Samsung has an incentive to continue serving the 
    U.S. market from Mexico, for all screen size CTVs because, among other 
    things, such CTVs can receive duty-free treatment under the North 
    American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), provided the merchandise meets 
    the appropriate rules of origin, while CTVs from Korea are subject to 
    import duties.
        Lastly, petitioners have argued that the shift in U.S. demand 
    toward large and very large CTVs, in combination with their estimate 
    that Samsung is increasing Korean production of large and very large 
    CPTs, is an incentive for Samsung to resume sales at LTFMV in the 
    United States. As mentioned above, we disagree that an increase in 
    large-size CPT production necessarily corresponds to an increase in 
    large-size CTV production in Korea. Moreover, although we agree with 
    petitioners that the large and very large CTV market segments are 
    likely to continue to grow over time, while the smaller CTV segments 
    are likely to shrink, it is not clear that this trend provides Samsung 
    with any additional incentive to resume sales at LTFMV. It is not 
    unreasonable to assume that, over the history of the CTV industry, 
    demand has shifted toward larger screen sizes as each new, and larger, 
    screen size was introduced as a result of technology advances. During 
    its six-year period of de minimis margins in the 1980's, it is 
    reasonable to assume that Samsung faced a similar shifting of demand 
    toward screen sizes that were at that time the upper end of the CTV 
    market, but was able to compete without LTFMV sales.
    Comment 4: Home Market Conditions And Samsung's Korean Production 
    Capacity
        Petitioners argue that the Korean CTV market is in a depression and 
    that prices are declining, although not as fast as in the U.S. market. 
    Petitioners contend that this price decline and Korean demand decrease, 
    coupled with Samsung's excess CTV capacity in Korea, will force Samsung 
    to export its excess production to the United States at LTFMV.
        Citing a newspaper article entitled ``1998 Home Electronics Product 
    Forecast,'' which provides an overview of the state of the Korean 
    consumer electronics industry and its prospects for 1998, petitioners 
    state that in 1997, Korean demand for CTVs fell by 50,000 units, and, 
    due to the economic slowdown triggered by the Asian economic situation, 
    is expected to fall by another 5-10 percent in 1998. See petitioners' 
    submission dated February 13, 1998, at Enclosure 10. Continuing their 
    citation of the article, petitioners state that Korean CTV producers 
    are expected to increase exports in order to sell production no longer 
    being absorbed by the domestic market.
        Petitioners also contend that Samsung has excess CTV capacity in 
    Korea and that Samsung will dispose of this excess production by 
    exporting it, most likely to the United States, at LTFMV. Petitioners 
    state that Samsung and the other Korean producers expanded their 
    capacity during the years preceding the Asian economic downswing. In 
    order to calculate the aggregate Korean excess CTV capacity, 
    petitioners subtract Korean CTV demand from Korean CPT capacity, for 
    the years 1985 through 1996. Petitioners maintain that because the 
    Korean market cannot absorb the excess CPT production, this excess must 
    be exported as completed CTVs. Furthermore, petitioners state that the 
    condition of excess CPT production over CTV demand in Korea will only 
    increase as demand falls due to the Korean economy slowing as a result 
    of the Asian economic situation. Korea's excess capacity, petitioners 
    state, has contributed to a world-wide oversupply that has resulted in 
    depressed CTV market conditions across the globe.
        Petitioners contend that Samsung, in its position as one of the 
    major Korean CTV producers and as a direct result of its history of 
    expansion, helped create the current situation of excess capacity 
    existing in the Korean CTV industry. Although Samsung's excess capacity 
    contributed to the world-wide oversupply of CPTs, petitioners maintain 
    that Samsung will not reduce its Korean CPT production in view of its 
    dire need to raise hard currencies. On the contrary, petitioners claim, 
    Samsung will postpone any domestic cuts in CPT production and, as 
    newspaper articles have reported, increase its exports of CTVs to 
    enhance revenue flow.
        Petitioners also argue that Samsung's sales data concerning its CTV 
    exports from Korea to third countries do not support its claim that it 
    has no incentive to export Korean-produced CTVs to the United States. 
    Although Samsung's data do indicate that exports to Russia, Iran and 
    the United Arab Emirates increased substantially between 1995 and 1996, 
    the data for the first half of 1997 indicate that, when annualized, 
    Samsung's exports to these countries significantly declined. This trend 
    in declining third country exports, petitioners claim, proves 
    inaccurate Samsung's characterization of these markets as ``fast 
    growing'' and further supports petitioners'' argument that Samsung has 
    an incentive to export its excess CTV capacity to the United States.
        Samsung disagrees with petitioners' argument that a decline in the 
    Korean market's demand will lead to increased pressure to export CTVs 
    to the United States. Samsung observes that the 50,000 unit decrease 
    experienced in 1997, as referenced by petitioners, is an insignificant 
    decrease considering that the Korean market exceeded 2.3 million units 
    in that year. In regard to the 5-10 percent projected decline in 1998, 
    Samsung notes that even if such a decline occurs, it will be offset by 
    a concomitant decline in the market share of foreign CTV suppliers 
    (currently about 7 percent) which will find it much more difficult to 
    sell in Korea due to the devaluation of the won. Therefore, Samsung 
    reasons, even if overall demand declines, Samsung can gain market share 
    at the expense of more costly foreign CTVs, and not be faced with 
    unsold inventory which would generate pressure to export. Moreover, 
    Samsung states that even if it did face increased pressure to export 
    CTVs due to a decline in domestic demand, there is no reason to assume 
    such exports would go to the United States since Samsung's Korean 
    facilities already serve other third countries with growing demand.
        Samsung also asserts that petitioners use the phrase ``excess CPT 
    capacity'' in a misleading manner, attempting to imply that Samsung, 
    and the other Korean producers, have unutilized capacity which will 
    force them to export CTVs. While Samsung does not contest that its 
    Korean CPT production capacity exceeds its Korean CTV sales, it asserts 
    that this larger CPT production exists because its Korean CPT 
    production is export-oriented--i.e., the CPTs not incorporated into 
    CTVs sold in Korea are exported and sold to unrelated CTV producers in 
    various third countries. Samsung claims that its Korean CPT production 
    capacity is fully utilized and, as evidence, provides a chart listing 
    its Korean CPT capacity, production, and utilization rates since 1993. 
    Samsung explains that this chart
    
    [[Page 46766]]
    
    indicates that, by 1997, Samsung reduced its CPT capacity by a 
    significant amount and experienced high utilization rates throughout 
    the five-year period. Samsung explains that these utilization rates are 
    the functional equivalent of full capacity, after accounting for yield 
    loss and maintenance downtime. Based on the above reasons, Samsung 
    concludes that petitioners' implication that it has substantial unused 
    CPT capacity which would force it to export CTVs to the United States 
    is incorrect.
        Samsung also acknowledges that its Korean CTV production is larger 
    than its domestic CTV sales. Samsung states that this is because its 
    CTV production, as with its CPT production, is export-oriented. 
    Specifically, Samsung states that its Korean CTV facilities produce 
    CTVs for sale in Russia, the Middle East, and Africa. Samsung further 
    states that its CTV facility is fully utilized due to its Korean sales 
    and export sales to these third country markets. To support its claim, 
    Samsung provides a chart listing its CTV capacity, production, and 
    utilization rates from 1993 through 1997. Samsung explains that this 
    chart indicates that its CTV facility operated at or in excess of full 
    capacity during this period. Therefore, Samsung concludes that, 
    assuming petitioners' theory was correct and it did have unused CPT 
    capacity, Samsung does not have any excess CTV production capacity in 
    Korea which could be used to absorb the alleged excess CPT capacity.
        Samsung also provides 1996 data showing the total quantity of 
    Korean-produced CTVs sold domestically and in third countries. Samsung 
    asserts that these data show that its overall export strategy for Korea 
    is well diversified and, specifically, that the markets in Russia, 
    Iran, and the United Arab Emigrates are ``fast growing.'' Samsung 
    concludes that even if there is a modest decline in Korean CTV demand, 
    Samsung can offset that decline with exports to alternative third 
    country markets. Samsung argues further that in Steel Wire Rope From 
    the Republic of Korea; Final Results of Antidumping Duty Administrative 
    Review and Revocation in Part of Antidumping Duty Order, 62 FR 17171, 
    at 17174 (April 9, 1997) (Steel Wire Rope 1997) and Frozen Concentrated 
    Orange Juice From Brazil; Final Results and Termination in Part of 
    Antidumping Duty Administrative Review; Revocation in Part of the 
    Antidumping Duty Order, 56 FR 52510 (October 2, 1991), the Department 
    considered a respondent's showing that it was not ``solely dependent on 
    the United States for financial viability'' as an important factor in 
    granting revocation.
        Furthermore, Samsung states that if petitioners are correct in 
    their theory that, when Samsung's Korean CPT production capacity 
    exceeds its domestic CTV sales, it will be forced to increase its CTV 
    exports to the United States, then this theory must equally apply to 
    Samsung's Mexican operations. Citing the Department's 1997 verification 
    report of Samsung's Mexican facilities, generated in the context of the 
    now terminated anti-circumvention inquiry of CTVs from Korea, Samsung 
    states that these documents clearly indicate that its CPT capacity in 
    Mexico far exceeds its Mexican CTV capacity. Samsung asserts that, 
    according to petitioners' theory, the larger Mexican CPT capacity 
    should place substantial pressure on Samsung to export CTVs to the 
    United States from Mexico, rather than from Korea. Petitioners, Samsung 
    concludes, have ignored this implication of their theory.
        Department's Position: Although we agree with petitioners that 
    prices in the Korean CTV market have been falling and that the current 
    economic slowdown may increase this trend, we cannot conclude that it 
    is likely that Samsung will export its production normally absorbed by 
    the Korean market, but now left unsold, to the United States at LTFMV.
        According to Samsung's data, petitioners are correct that Samsung's 
    annual, weighted-average market prices in Korea declined at a small 
    rate over the 1991 through 1997 period (averaged across all screen 
    sizes). See Analysis Memorandum dated August 25, 1998. However, this 
    rate of price decline is much smaller than that exhibited in other 
    cases where revocation was ultimately denied. See, e.g., DRAMS at 39816 
    and 39817 and Brass Sheet and Strip at 49730. Furthermore, Samsung's 
    Korean and U.S. market price data, in addition to overall U.S. market 
    price data, indicate that the CTV industry, in both Korea and the 
    United States, exhibits a trend of consistent, yet gradual, price 
    declines. Unlike DRAMS, the CTV industry is a mature, non-cyclical 
    industry. Thus, the steep price declines that occurred in other 
    industries that contributed to the Department's decision not to grant 
    revocation are not present in the CTV industry.
        Petitioners' claim that the current economic situation will cause a 
    decrease in demand and accelerate the decline in prices in the Korean 
    CTV market. Assuming that a decrease in demand occurs, we note that 
    Samsung has several options from which to choose in meeting a potential 
    slow-down in home market CTV demand. For example, Samsung could reduce 
    its CTV production, discount its Korean CTV prices to stimulate 
    consumer spending, or export unsold CTVs to third country markets. In 
    regard to petitioners' claim that unsold Korean CTV production is 
    likely to be exported to the U.S. market and sold at LTFMV, we note 
    that Samsung has provided evidence that its Korean CTV facilities serve 
    viable third country markets other than the United States. Therefore, 
    we do not find that a potential decline in Korean CTV demand supports a 
    conclusion that Samsung is likely to resume sales at LTFMV in the U.S. 
    market.
        Petitioners also claim that Samsung has excess CTV capacity in 
    Korea and that Samsung will dispose of this excess production by 
    exporting it, most likely to the United States, at LTFMV. In past 
    cases, we have examined a respondent's production capacity when 
    considering revocation. For example, in Brass Sheet and Strip, the 
    Department found that excess capacity existed in the home market 
    ``because [the respondent's] level of new orders had been 
    unsatisfactory.'' With ``capacity utilization in the home market under 
    threat'' from decreased new orders and increased pressure from imports 
    into the home market, combined with a plant in the United States that 
    processed the subject merchandise, among other factors described above, 
    we determined that the respondent had an incentive to resume sales in 
    the United States at LTFMV. See Brass Sheet and Strip at 49731.
        In the instant case, petitioners claim that Samsung has excess CTV 
    capacity in Korea by subtracting Korean CTV demand from aggregate 
    Korean CPT production capacity. We note that subtracting CTV demand 
    from CPT production is not an appropriate method to calculate excess 
    CTV capacity. Rather, examining the capacity utilization rate of CTV 
    production facilities is a more meaningful measure. Furthermore, 
    petitioners' methodology is not consistent with, or as accurate as the 
    one used in Brass Sheet and Strip, where we examined directly the 
    degree to which the respondent was utilizing its production capacity 
    for subject merchandise. Even if it were, we note that petitioners 
    applied this methodology on a Korea-wide basis, rather than 
    specifically to Samsung. Furthermore, we learned in the terminated 
    anti-circumvention inquiry that Samsung produces its CPTs through its 
    subsidiary company, Samsung Display Devices-Mexicana, S.A., which sells 
    its CPTs not only to Samsung's own CTV production facilities, but also
    
    [[Page 46767]]
    
    to unaffiliated CTV manufacturers. See memorandum to the file, dated 
    August 12, 1998, that transmits the verification report of the November 
    20-21, 1997, verification of Samsung-Mexico to the record of this 
    review. For this reason, Samsung's CPT production is not captive for 
    Samsung's CTV production only. Thus, the one-to-one relationship 
    between CPT production and CTV production capacity relied upon by 
    petitioners distorts the analysis of whether Samsung has excess CTV 
    production capacity. For this reason, we do not find petitioners' 
    methodology to be an accurate or meaningful way of measuring unutilized 
    capacity for Samsung. To the contrary, following petitioners' 
    rationale, we find Samsung's claims with respect to the export 
    orientation of its CPT production to be more reasonable.
        We agree with Samsung that the proper method of determining whether 
    it has excess CTV production capacity is to examine whether its current 
    CTV production facilities are fully utilized. To this end, Samsung 
    provided its production, capacity, and resulting utilization rates for 
    its CPT and CTV facilities from 1993 through 1997 in Exhibits 20 and 21 
    of its March 6, 1998 submission. The utilization rates presented by 
    Samsung are the functional equivalent of full capacity, after 
    accounting for yield loss and maintenance downtime. In our view, excess 
    capacity would exist if Samsung's current facilities were underutilized 
    or if Samsung were building additional CTV production facilities during 
    a time when there was no unmet demand, either domestically or abroad, 
    that would absorb the additional output. In this case, Samsung has not 
    announced, nor have petitioners alleged, that Samsung is currently 
    building, or will build in the future, additional CTV production 
    facilities in Korea. In fact, Samsung's utilization charts indicate 
    that it significantly reduced both CPT and CTV capacity in 1997. 
    Therefore, we find that Samsung's high utilization rates indicate that 
    its does not have excess CTV production capacity at this time that, 
    according to petitioners, would have to be exported and likely sold in 
    the U.S. market at LTFMV.
    Comment 5: The Effects of the Asian Economic Downturn on Samsung
        Petitioners claim that the recent Asian economic slowdown has 
    affected Samsung in three ways: (1) foreign creditors are requesting 
    repayment of loans in hard currencies, rather than in the depreciated 
    Korean won; (2) foreign lenders are reluctant to offer new loans to 
    Samsung so that it can roll-over its current debt; and (3) the drastic 
    depreciation of the won makes repayment of foreign debt in hard 
    currencies very expensive. These effects, state petitioners, are 
    especially relevant because Samsung is currently operating under a very 
    heavy debt load as a result of financing both its Korean and global 
    expansion throughout the 1980's and 1990's with foreign debt. This 
    large amount of debt is illustrated by the Samsung Group's 1997 debt-
    to-equity ratio of 267 percent. Petitioners contend that the 
    combination of this large amount of debt, coupled with the negative 
    effects of the Asian economic situation, has forced Samsung to enter a 
    ``debt-service mode'' and consequently maximize revenues, rather than 
    profits, in order to make loan repayments and survive. To obtain the 
    hard currency revenue it needs to survive, petitioners argue that 
    Samsung will dramatically increase its exports of all its products from 
    Korea to the United States, with CTVs leading the export drive.
        Pursuant to its need to maximize hard currency revenue, petitioners 
    state that Samsung will face enormous pressure to lower its prices, 
    thereby increasing the quantity sold and enhancing revenues. 
    Petitioners cite the economic theory concerning the behavior of firms 
    in ``debt-service'' mode, which states that a firm seeking to maximize 
    revenue, as opposed to profits, is required to lower prices below the 
    total unit cost of production. As long as the producer's price exceeds 
    the marginal cost of production, the firm will enhance cash flow even 
    if the price is below the total unit cost. Petitioners state that this 
    type of pricing behavior is especially relevant because the CTV 
    industry is capital-intensive and characterized by high startup costs 
    and high fixed costs. Thus, the marginal cost of an additional unit 
    being produced is well below that unit's total cost. Because of 
    Samsung's need to raise hard currency to pay off foreign debt, and its 
    excess production capacity that the Korean CTV market cannot absorb, 
    petitioners conclude that Samsung is likely to export Korean CTVs to 
    the United States and to price them below foreign market value.
        Samsung disagrees with petitioners' portrayal of its foreign debt 
    situation, claiming that it has not defaulted on any loans and has no 
    difficulty obtaining additional debt and equity financing in the 
    international marketplace. As support for its assertions, Samsung 
    provided documentation showing recent security offerings, renewals and 
    an extension of credit, and a lease agreement.
        In response to petitioners' argument that Samsung is likely to dump 
    CTVs because it is heavily in debt and has a large debt-to-equity 
    ratio, Samsung provided its fiscal year end debt-to-equity ratio from 
    1984 through 1997. Samsung points out that during the period 1985 
    through 1991, when it received de minimis margins on the CTVs it 
    shipped directly from Korea to the United States, its debt-to-equity 
    ratio exceeded the 1997 rate. Additionally, although Samsung ceased 
    shipments to the United States in 1991, its debt-to-equity ratio in 
    1991 through 1993 was higher than its current ratio. Samsung claims 
    that under petitioners' theory, it would have desperately needed to 
    export CTVs from Korea to the United States from 1991 to at least 1993 
    because it was in a ``debt-service mode'' at that time. The fact that 
    it did not, Samsung asserts, disproves petitioners' claims. 
    Furthermore, Samsung makes the point that the 1997 debt-to-equity ratio 
    cited by petitioners is lower than the 1996 ratios for Philips 
    Electronics N.V. and Thompson-CSF, the parent companies of two U.S. CTV 
    producers. Samsung doubts that petitioners would claim that these two 
    companies were in a ``debt-service mode'' in 1996 which compelled them 
    to adopt a strategy of exporting CTVs below the cost of production in 
    order to maximize revenue and survive.
        Lastly, Samsung states that even assuming it had to export goods 
    from Korea to the United States in order to survive, petitioners never 
    provide evidence as to why Samsung must export CTVs, rather than other 
    products it manufacturers, to service its debt. Samsung claims that 
    relying on revenue from U.S. CTV sales would be a poor strategy and 
    could not play a significant role in servicing its debt because its CTV 
    sales in the U.S. market account for a small portion of its overall 
    corporate sales. As support for this claim, Samsung provides 
    documentation showing that its total 1996 CTV sales in the United 
    States by its Mexican subsidiary accounted for a very minor portion of 
    its total 1996 corporate sales.
        Department's Position: We disagree with petitioners' allegation 
    that as a result of the Asian economic downturn and its debt burden, 
    Samsung is currently in a ``debt-service mode'' and, in order to 
    service its debt, is compelled to adopt a strategy of exporting CTVs 
    below the cost of production, thereby maximizing hard currency revenue. 
    Although Samsung may be facing a high debt burden in light of the 
    current economic downturn, the lack of CTV shipments from Korea to the 
    United States during the 1991 to 1993 period,
    
    [[Page 46768]]
    
    when Samsung's debt-equity-ratio was higher than the current level, 
    does not support petitioners' contention that Samsung is likely to 
    export Korean CTVs to the United States because of its current debt 
    situation.
        As an initial matter, we note that, of the numerous newspaper 
    articles petitioners submitted to the record of this proceeding 
    concerning the effects of the Asian economic downturn on Korean 
    companies and the Korean economy in general, the majority of articles 
    reported the statements and actions of the Samsung Group, while only a 
    few discussed how the decline specifically affected Samsung, the 
    company subject to this review, and described what actions the company 
    is taking in light of the situation. Petitioners, through their 
    reliance on articles reporting the response of the Samsung Group, have 
    implied that the actions of the group are synonymous with the actions 
    of individual companies within the group, such as Samsung. Given that 
    the Samsung Group consists of approximately 80 individual companies 
    (see petitioners' February 13, 1998 submission at Enclosure 20) 
    producing a wide array of products and services, we find that in this 
    case the actions of the group are of limited value in our analysis of 
    whether Samsung is likely to resume dumping CTVs in the U.S. market.
        Of the few newspaper articles submitted by petitioners that 
    specifically discuss Samsung, all of them indicate that Samsung intends 
    to increase its Korean exports of a variety of products. Although the 
    most commonly mentioned products designated by Samsung to lead its 
    export drive are kitchen and household appliances, semiconductors, and 
    telecommunications equipment, two articles include large screen and 
    digital CTVs on this list. These articles, however, do not state the 
    destination of the increased CTV exports and fail to mention that 
    Samsung's Korean CTV operations are historically export-oriented, 
    serving markets in Africa, the Middle East, and the republics of the 
    former Soviet Union. However, in our preliminary determination, we 
    stated that the issue of central importance in the final results of 
    this review is whether Samsung is likely to resume dumping in the 
    absence of an antidumping duty order, assuming that shipments occur. 
    Therefore, arguments that Samsung will resume shipments directly from 
    Korea are not enough.
        The foundation of petitioners' argument that Samsung is likely to 
    resume dumping as a result of the Asian economic downswing is their 
    assumption that Samsung is currently operating under an extraordinary 
    amount of debt. According to petitioners, this debt load, in 
    conjunction with the drastic depreciation of the won, has made it very 
    difficult for Samsung to obtain new loans and service its current debt. 
    As a result, petitioners contend that Samsung must maximize revenues in 
    order to survive, and will do so by exporting CTVs at LTFMV to the 
    United States.
        In response, Samsung stated that it has not defaulted on any loans 
    and provided evidence that demonstrates it is able to obtain additional 
    debt and equity financing in the international marketplace. Moreover, 
    Samsung has shown that its debt load, as measured by its debt-to-equity 
    ratio, was actually much higher in previous periods than it is now. 
    From 1985 through 1991, when it received de minimis margins, Samsung 
    had debt-to-equity ratios significantly higher than the 1997 ratio 
    cited by petitioners. See Samsung's March 6, 1998 submission at 20. See 
    also the August 25, 1998, Analysis Memorandum. Furthermore, from 1991 
    to 1993, which were the first three years in which Samsung had ceased 
    CTV shipments to the United States, Samsung's ratio was even higher 
    than the 1985 to 1991 period.
        Thus, the facts of this case do not support petitioners' theory 
    that Samsung's current level of debt would compel Samsung to resume 
    shipments of CTVs from Korea to the United States at LTFMV. As Samsung 
    correctly states, petitioners' theory implies that because Samsung was 
    servicing substantial debt during the 1985 to 1993 period, it must have 
    sold CTVs in the U.S. market at LTFMV, which it did not do. Since 
    Samsung had significantly higher debt-to-equity ratios during periods 
    in which it had de minimis margins or no shipments, we are not 
    persuaded by petitioners' arguments.
    Comment 6: Currency Movements
        Petitioners argue that CTV producers in Malaysia, Singapore, 
    Thailand, and Indonesia are competitively advantaged over Samsung 
    because the currencies of these countries devalued to a greater extent 
    than the won during the Asian economic decline. Moreover, petitioners 
    claim that because CTV producers in these countries are also in a 
    ``debt-service mode'' and have greater excess capacity than Samsung, 
    they can be expected to flood the U.S. market with deeply discounted 
    CTVs. In order to stay competitive and maximize revenue, petitioners 
    maintain that Samsung will have to match the U.S. prices of its 
    Southeast Asian competitors, which will quickly be reduced to dumping 
    levels.
        According to petitioners, the currencies of Malaysia, Singapore, 
    Thailand, and Indonesia significantly depreciated against the U.S. 
    dollar from the last half of 1997 through January 1998, as the Asian 
    economic situation unfolded. Citing the exchange rates from this 
    period, petitioners assert that the magnitude of the Southeast Asian 
    devaluations often surpassed that of the Korean won. Moreover, 
    petitioners observe, that since reaching its nadir on December 23, 
    1997, the won appreciated by 28 percent while the Malaysian ringgit, 
    Thai baht, and Singapore dollar depreciated by 9 percent, 13 percent, 
    and 3 percent, respectively. Petitioners claim that the won's recent 
    appreciation vis-a-vis the other Southeast Asian currencies permits 
    producers in these countries to discount their U.S. prices to a greater 
    extent than Samsung. Petitioners state that the reduction in export 
    value resulting from the depreciation of the won will not be enough to 
    prevent Samsung from selling at LTFMV because it will have to 
    drastically lower its U.S. prices to match the deeply discounted prices 
    of its Asian competitors. Petitioners further state that, since 
    Samsung's costs and prices are denominated in the relatively stronger 
    won, and because some of Samsung's parts and components are not sourced 
    locally in Korea, the same devaluation that provides a margin of safety 
    in price comparisons correspondingly results in a rise in costs of 
    production, which will increase the likelihood of sales at LTFMV in the 
    United States.
        Second, petitioners argue that the excess capacity of producers in 
    Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and Indonesia, as measured by aggregate 
    Southeast Asian CPT capacity minus aggregate Southeast Asian CTV 
    demand, is greater than the combined excess capacity of the Korean 
    producers. For this reason, petitioners assert that the Southeast Asian 
    producers will dispose of their excess inventory by exporting it to the 
    United States. Petitioners state that the ensuing rounds of competitive 
    pricing among the imports will drive down the U.S. market price of CTV 
    imports in all screen size categories, and that Samsung, in order to 
    stay competitive, will be forced to match these prices, which will most 
    likely be below normal value.
        Third, petitioners state that the Southeast Asian suppliers, unlike 
    Samsung and the other Korean CTV producers, are not currently subject 
    to a U.S. antidumping duty order. Therefore, petitioners state, they 
    are not
    
    [[Page 46769]]
    
    constrained to sell at normal value in the United States and are free 
    to reduce their export prices to whatever level is necessary to dispose 
    of their excess capacity. Petitioners also claim that Southeast Asian 
    CTV producers, like Korean producers, are struggling under large debt 
    burdens and are motivated to maximize revenue by increasing exports to 
    the United States. Petitioners conclude that the fierce competition 
    among increasing cheap Asian imports will force suppliers in the U.S. 
    market to engage in rounds of head-to-head price reductions. According 
    to petitioners, Samsung's need to maximize revenue will force it to 
    participate in the price reductions, leading Samsung to sell CTVs at 
    LTFMV.
        In regard to currency movements, Samsung states that it received de 
    minimis margins in the fourth through eighth administrative review 
    periods (April 1986 through March 1991), which were periods when the 
    Korean won appreciated against the dollar compared to the exchange 
    rates prevailing in calendar year 1985.
        Samsung responds to petitioners' allegation by stating that the CTV 
    producers in Southeast Asia are primarily subsidiaries of foreign 
    multinational companies that would not undermine their significant 
    North American operations by shipping CTVs from their Southeast Asian 
    facilities to the United States. Samsung provides a chart indicating 
    that the producers in Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Singapore, and the 
    Philippines are subsidiaries of Japanese, Korean, and American CTV 
    manufacturers. Samsung argues that the facilities within Southeast Asia 
    primarily serve the Asian markets rather than the U.S. market, because 
    the Asian plants are at a competitive disadvantage to plants in the 
    United States and Mexico due to higher shipping and inventory costs, as 
    well as the five percent U.S. import duty on CTVs. Samsung asserts that 
    it makes no economic sense for these multinational producers to ship 
    CTVs to the United States from Southeast Asia and thereby undercut 
    their significant North American operations.
        Furthermore, Samsung observes that U.S. import statistics for 
    January through November 1997 indicate that approximately 90 percent of 
    CTV exports from Southeast Asia to the U.S. market were of the small 
    and medium screen sizes. See petitioners' February 13, 1998 submission 
    at 39 for the above-referenced statistics. Petitioners, Samsung notes, 
    have made the argument that, since the U.S. demand is growing for large 
    and very large CTVs, Samsung has adjusted its Korean production to 
    reflect this shift and can be expected to export these sizes should the 
    Department grant revocation. Samsung states that petitioners have also 
    made the argument that stiff competition from Southeast Asian producers 
    will drive down U.S. prices to dumping levels because these producers 
    have excess capacity that will be exported to the United States and 
    enjoy a competitive advantage over Samsung due to the currencies of 
    Southeast Asia depreciating to a greater extent than the Korean won. 
    However, Samsung asserts, the import statistics indicate that exports 
    from Southeast Asia currently compete in segments of the U.S. market 
    (i.e., small and medium screen sizes) which petitioners argue will not 
    be the primary target of Samsung's Korean exports.
        Samsung claims that Singapore was the one country that exported 
    significant volumes of larger size CTVs to the United States during the 
    January to November 1997 period. Samsung states that Philips, Sanyo, 
    Toshiba, and Mitsubishi, the primary producers in Singapore, will do 
    nothing to undercut their North American production facilities. 
    Moreover, Samsung asserts that producers in Singapore are at a 
    comparative disadvantage vis-a-vis Samsung and the other Korean 
    producers because the Korean won depreciated further than the 
    Singaporean dollar did in 1997. Samsung also states that, although the 
    won depreciated more than the Singapore dollar, it depreciated 
    approximately the same as the Thai baht and Malaysian ringgit since 
    December 1996. This roughly equivalent depreciation, Samsung argues, 
    provides no competitive advantage to producers in Thailand or Malaysia. 
    Samsung, however, does acknowledge that the Indonesian rupiah 
    depreciated more than any other Southeast Asian currency. Although this 
    drastic depreciation would imply a competitive advantage for Indonesian 
    producers, Samsung dismisses this implication by stating that Indonesia 
    is not a meaningful supplier of CTVs to the United States.
        Lastly, Samsung argues that many producers in Southeast Asia often 
    purchase many CTV parts from related and unrelated producers outside 
    the region. Samsung surmises that Southeast Asian producers may not be 
    able to lower significantly their cost of production in dollar terms, 
    or reduce their final dollar price, because these parts account for the 
    bulk of the cost of production of CTVs and the dollar cost of these 
    parts is not affected by the depreciation of the local currencies.
        Department's Position: We disagree with petitioners' argument that 
    Samsung is likely to sell CTVs in the U.S. market at LTFMV because the 
    currencies of other Southeast Asian countries have depreciated further 
    than the Korean won, thereby granting a competitive advantage to CTV 
    producers in these countries, who can be expected to flood the U.S. 
    market with deeply discounted imports and drive down U.S. prices to 
    extremely low levels.
        Petitioners' argument that Samsung is likely to resume sales at 
    LTFMV because of the recent currency movements precipitated by the 
    Asian economic downswing is based upon the assumption that Korean and 
    other CTV producers essentially compete against one another only on the 
    basis of price. Due to this assumption, petitioners argue that a 
    greater depreciation in Southeast Asian currencies vis-a-vis the won 
    necessarily means that Samsung will have to lower its U.S. price to 
    stay competitive with CTV producers from these countries who export 
    subject merchandise to the United States and are benefitting from the 
    deeper currency depreciations. We disagree with petitioners' assumption 
    that CTV producers compete only on the basis of price. We note that 
    CTVs are not commodity products; they are produced in several different 
    sizes, vary in quality, are visually distinct due to differently styled 
    cabinets, and contain different types and quantities of features. 
    Certain producers can also command a price premium on their CTVs due to 
    brand name recognition. For these reasons, it is plausible to conclude 
    that consumers include differences in size, features, brand name, and 
    other factors into their decision when purchasing a CTV. Therefore, we 
    find that CTV producers compete against one another with respect to 
    more than price alone.
        The ramification of petitioners' argument that CTV producers 
    compete only on the basis of price is that if a foreign producer lowers 
    its U.S. price, as may happen from a home market currency devaluation, 
    then all other producers must fully match this price decrease or they 
    will be uncompetitive, eventually lose market share and possibly exit 
    the market. Due to the product differentiation discussed above, it is 
    reasonable to assume that a price reduction by one CTV producer does 
    not necessarily mean that competitors must follow suit to the same 
    degree. The strength of a brand name or feature mix may be sufficient 
    to allow a producer to
    
    [[Page 46770]]
    
    remain competitive, even in the face of decreasing prices by 
    competitors.
        Moreover, there are many factors that, in combination, constitute 
    the competitive position of a producer in relation to its competitors. 
    The relative strength of a producers' home market currency is only one 
    such factor. While a devaluation of the other Southeast Asian 
    currencies may make producers in these countries more competitive in 
    the U.S. market, it also increases these producers' cost of capital and 
    imported inputs, and may cause home market prices and costs to rise. 
    For example, if a producer in Indonesia imports a large percentage of 
    the parts and components used to produce a CTV in Indonesia, the deep 
    depreciation of the rupiah may increase the production costs to a 
    degree that might actually diminish this producers' overall competitive 
    position rather than enhance it. Therefore, while it is correct that a 
    depreciating currency may tend to decrease the pressure for a 
    respondent to make LTFMV sales in the U.S. market, these linkages are 
    not absolute and must not be considered in isolation. With respect to 
    this case, there is very little information on the record concerning 
    Samsung's home market costs or to what degree Samsung and the other 
    Southeast Asian producers import parts and components used in the 
    production of CTVs. Therefore, there is not sufficient evidence on the 
    record to say conclusively how the exchange rate movements of the won 
    and other Southeast Asian currencies have affected the competitive 
    position of Samsung and CTV producers in these countries.
        Petitioners assert that the Southeast Asian currencies depreciated 
    further than the Korean won, which grants a competitive advantage to 
    producers in these countries. Although this may have been the situation 
    in December 1997, more recent exchange rate data indicates that this is 
    no longer the case. We examined the exchange rates for the Singapore 
    dollar, Indonesian rupiah, Malaysian ringgit, Thai baht, and Korean won 
    from December 31, 1996, through June 30, 1998. See petitioners' 
    submission dated February 13, 1998, at 37. See also the Analysis 
    Memorandum, dated August 25,1998. Using the petitioners' methodology of 
    indexing each currency's exchange rate data to the spot rate that 
    prevailed on December 31, 1996, we were able to analyze the relative 
    depreciations of the five Southeast Asian currencies. We found that by 
    June 1998, the Singapore dollar and baht depreciated the least, 
    retaining over 80 percent of their indexed value, while the rupiah 
    depreciated the most, retaining only 20 percent of its indexed value. 
    Although the won and ringgit depreciated at different rates over the 
    length of the period we analyzed, by June 1998, the indexed exchange 
    rates for these two currencies had converged to roughly the same point, 
    with each currency retaining over 60 percent of its indexed value. 
    These data indicate that only one currency, the rupiah, has 
    consistently depreciated further than the won and, as Samsung points 
    out, U.S. import statistics provided by petitioners indicate that 
    Indonesia is not a significant supplier of CTVs to the U.S. market. 
    Given Samsung's history of receiving zero or de minimis dumping margins 
    in the face of an appreciating currency (see Samsung's February 13, 
    1998, submission at 8) and a larger debt burden than the debt 
    experienced in 1997 (see Comment 5 above), we find that the weight of 
    the evidence on the record indicates that Samsung is not likely to 
    resume dumping in the U.S. market.
        Petitioners support their main argument that Samsung is likely to 
    resume sales at LTFMV because the won has depreciated less than the 
    other Southeast Asian currencies by making several allegations 
    concerning the CTV producers in other Southeast Asian countries. In 
    order to address each of petitioners' concerns, we provide the 
    following discussion.
        With respect to petitioners' allegation that Southeast Asian CTV 
    producers have large excess capacity that will motivate them to dispose 
    of their surplus inventory by exporting it to the United States, as we 
    noted in Comment 4 above, subtracting CTV demand from CPT production is 
    not an appropriate method to calculate excess CTV capacity. Rather, 
    examining the capacity utilization rate of a company's CTV production 
    facilities is a more meaningful measure. Since petitioners have not 
    placed any evidence on the record concerning the utilization rates of 
    the CTV factories in Southeast Asia, we are not able to agree with 
    petitioners' conclusion that producers in these countries have excess 
    capacity.
        Petitioners also claim that, because Southeast Asian CTV producers 
    are not constrained by U.S. antidumping duty orders and are suffering 
    from the negative effects of the Asian economic situation, they will 
    increase exports to the United States and engage in aggressive price 
    reductions that will eventually force Samsung to dump. Petitioners are 
    correct in that the Department does not currently have any antidumping 
    duty orders on CTVs from Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, or Thailand, 
    and that Southeast Asian producers therefore do not have an externally 
    enforced discipline on their pricing behavior. Since there is nothing 
    on the record of this proceeding to indicate significant increases in 
    exports and aggressive pricing by Southeast Asian producers, we 
    disagree with petitioners that the absence of an antidumping duty order 
    on CTVs from the Southeast Asian countries provides any additional 
    incentive to producers from these countries to sell their merchandise 
    at low prices, leading Samsung to eventually sell CTVs at LTFMV.
        Finally, since petitioners have placed no data on the record of 
    this review concerning the financial condition of CTV producers in 
    Southeast Asia, we cannot agree with petitioners that these producers 
    carry unmanageable debt loads, are unable to service their current 
    debt, and are therefore forced to increase their exports to the United 
    States at very low prices. Therefore, we disagree with petitioners that 
    these factors, in conjunction with their main argument concerning 
    currency movements, are likely to force Samsung to compete in the U.S. 
    market at LTFMV.
    Comment 7: Ability To Compete In The United States Market Without LTFMV 
    Sales
        Petitioners argue that Samsung's own cost and pricing data show 
    that Samsung is likely to sell its CTVs in the U.S. market at below 
    FMV. In its questionnaire response dated February 24, 1997, Samsung 
    submitted price and cost information covering the period 1991 through 
    the first half of 1996 for its sales and expenses of Korean-produced 
    CTVs in Korea and its sales of Mexican-produced CTVs in the United 
    States. With respect to its price data, Samsung reported its 
    distributor sales prices, calculated as a single weighted-average price 
    for all models within each screen size category. Korean prices and 
    costs were converted to U.S. dollars with the weighted-average exchange 
    rate for the first half of 1996.
        Using the weighted-average price data reported by Samsung, 
    petitioners compared U.S. market prices to Korean market prices and 
    found that the U.S. prices for 25-, 27-, and 31-inch CTVs were 
    consistently lower than those in Korea throughout the 1991-1996 period. 
    With respect to 13-, 19-, and 20-inch CTVs, petitioners claim that, 
    although Samsung's data were more varied throughout the 1991-1996 
    period, by the first half of 1996, U.S. prices were lower than Korean 
    prices for these screen sizes. Thus, petitioners contend that these 
    weighted-average price-to-price comparisons indicate that
    
    [[Page 46771]]
    
    significant dumping margins would exist if Samsung resumed CTV 
    shipments directly from Korea. Petitioners defend their use of U.S. 
    prices of Mexican-produced CTVs in their comparisons to Korean CTV 
    prices because Samsung's cessation of CTV shipments directly from Korea 
    has made current pricing data of CTVs produced in Korea and sold in the 
    United States impossible to obtain. Given the competitive market for 
    CTVs in the United States, petitioners assert it is reasonable to 
    presume that Samsung's prices in the United States would not vary 
    depending on the production location.
        Furthermore, petitioners claim that the data for the first half of 
    1996 indicates that Samsung was selling at below its cost of production 
    in the home market for 31-inch CTVs. In this situation, petitioners 
    contend that the Department would not rely on Samsung's home market 
    price to calculate the dumping margin, but would instead resort to 
    constructed value (CV). Using a CV methodology, based on adding a 
    profit amount to Samsung's cost of production to determine the 
    appropriate normal value, petitioners perform a CV-to-price comparison 
    for 31-inch CTVs and calculate an even higher dumping margin. Moreover, 
    petitioners argue that the dumping margin based on CV is not eliminated 
    even if Samsung's cost of production is converted into U.S. dollars at 
    the significantly depreciated January 1998 exchange rate.
        In their case brief, petitioners also compare specific 28- and 32-
    inch CTV models sold in Korea and the United States using 1997 retail 
    prices obtained from a U.S. and Korean consumer electronics catalog. 
    Petitioners use the January 1998 exchange rate to convert the retail 
    prices of the Korean models to U.S. dollars, compare the converted 
    Korean price to the retail price of comparable 32-inch models sold in 
    the United States, and then calculate dumping margins. Petitioners 
    state that any true comparison of home market and U.S. prices should be 
    based on actual selling prices to distributors, with circumstance-of-
    sale adjustments, difference-in-merchandise adjustments, and 
    adjustments for movement charges, data which is only available to 
    Samsung and has not been provided on the record of this proceeding. 
    Petitioners contend that these basic comparisons support their claim 
    that Samsung is likely to resume dumping, especially in the large and 
    very large screen models, should shipments directly from Korea 
    recommence.
        Petitioners conclude that Samsung's own price data and the retail 
    price data from Korea and the United States indicate that Samsung 
    cannot compete in the U.S. market without sales at LTFMV. According to 
    petitioners, it is entirely predictable that Samsung has resolved to 
    reenter the U.S. market and, in the face of competing and aggressively 
    priced imports, will be forced to price its Korean CTVs unfairly. 
    Petitioners note that Samsung has not sold a Korean-produced CTV in the 
    United States for nearly seven years. By emphasizing that it has chosen 
    to supply the U.S. market from Mexico, petitioners maintain that 
    Samsung has acknowledged that it cannot competitively produce, ship, 
    and sell CTVs to the United States from Korea. Petitioners conclude 
    that Samsung's six years of de minimis margins provide no evidence of 
    any current ability to compete without unfair pricing if the order were 
    revoked.
        Samsung responds to petitioners' allegation that its price and cost 
    data reveal that dumping is likely to occur by stating that petitioners 
    have relied upon stale 1996 data for their weighted-average price-to-
    price comparisons rather than using the more recent 1997 data Samsung 
    submitted on the record of this proceeding. For example, Samsung states 
    that using the price data for the first half of 1997 and the January 
    1998 exchange rate, the weighted-average price of its 31-inch CTVs sold 
    in Korea, after being converted in dollar terms, is well below the 
    weighted-average price for its 31-inch (Mexican-produced) CTVs sold in 
    the U.S. market.
        Samsung further states that any type of weighted-average price-to-
    price comparison of Korean CTV models to U.S. CTV models is invalid. 
    Samsung argues that, although it is true that the price information it 
    submitted shows that the weighted-average price of all models of a 
    particular screen size sold in the United States were often lower than 
    the weighted-average price of all models of that same screen size sold 
    in Korea, petitioners incorrectly conclude that this is evidence that 
    dumping would resume. According to Samsung, this conclusion is 
    erroneous because weighted-average prices mask the fact that individual 
    model prices within a particular screen size can vary widely. Samsung 
    elaborates that the model mix and features contained in the models sold 
    in the United States and Korea are significantly different. Samsung 
    states that CTVs sold in Korea have a larger number of expensive 
    features than the models its sells in the United States. In order to 
    show that the lower U.S. weighted-average prices are accounted for by 
    the differences in features between U.S. and Korean models, Samsung 
    conducts a model-to-model comparison of its largest selling U.S. models 
    (Mexican-produced) to the most physically similar models produced and 
    sold in the Korean market and makes adjustments for selling expenses, 
    duty drawback, and physical differences. According to Samsung, these 
    comparisons indicate that Korean prices did not exceed U.S. prices for 
    these models.
        Using similar logic, Samsung argues that the problems inherent in 
    comparing weighted-average prices also apply to comparing weighted-
    average costs of production. For this reason, Samsung claims that 
    petitioners' allegation of below-cost sales in the home market is not 
    valid because that allegation is based on a comparison of weighted-
    average costs of production to weighted-average prices, per screen 
    size.
        In regard to petitioners' comparison of specific 28- and 32-inch 
    models, Samsung claims that these comparisons are invalid for several 
    reasons. First, petitioners use Korean and U.S. retail prices, rather 
    than wholesale prices, to demonstrate that Samsung would be likely to 
    sell CTVs in the United States at dumped prices. Samsung states in its 
    questionnaire response that it has two levels of trade in the United 
    States, sales through its U.S. distribution subsidiary and sales 
    Samsung describes as being to original equipment manufacturer (OEM) 
    customers. Since it does not sell at the retail level in the United 
    States, Samsung contends that retail prices should not be used in a 
    ``likely'' dumping calculation. Second, Samsung claims that the Korean 
    retail prices used by petitioners include special excise tax, value 
    added tax, and other taxes which together total a significant percent 
    of the wholesale price. Additionally, Samsung states that the Korean 
    retail prices do not include the substantial rebates it usually grants 
    to its customers. Third, Samsung claims that the Korean 28- and 32-inch 
    models used by petitioners are not comparable to the United States 
    models because the Korean models have a 16:9 CPT width/height ratio 
    while the U.S. 32-inch models have a 4:3 ratio. Samsung asserts that 
    the materials cost of a wide-screen CPT is greater than the cost of 
    producing a normal screen CPT, and, therefore, any comparisons of these 
    models at issue for dumping purposes would be distorted.
        Samsung argues that its six years of de minimis margins, from the 
    third through eighth reviews, constitute substantial evidence that it 
    can compete in the United States market without pricing CTVs at LTFMV. 
    Samsung notes that
    
    [[Page 46772]]
    
    during this six-year period of no dumping, its level of shipments to 
    the United States remained substantial, its product mix remained 
    varied, and it received de minimis margins even during periods of 
    significant appreciation of the won (the fourth through eighth review 
    periods). Most importantly, Samsung notes that it has invested millions 
    of dollars in its Mexican production facilities that can, and do, fully 
    serve the United States market. Samsung concludes that it has no need 
    to ship CTVs from Korea to the United States, and even if it did, there 
    is no evidence indicating that it would dump them on the U.S. market.
        Department's Position: We disagree with petitioners' claim that 
    Samsung is not able to compete in the U.S. market without LTFMV sales. 
    In arguing their point, petitioners conduct rough dumping margin 
    calculations on Samsung's U.S. and home market prices, both on a 
    weighted-average by screen size basis and on a model-specific basis. We 
    acknowledge that any type of dumping margin analysis conducted in this 
    review is problematic due to Samsung's cessation of CTV shipments to 
    the United States from Korea in early 1991. Unlike the pricing analyses 
    conducted in past cases such as DRAMS and Brass Sheet and Strip, in 
    this case a pricing analysis cannot be based on a comparison of home 
    market and U.S. prices of Korean-produced CTVs, as the latter price is 
    not available due to the cessation of shipments. Rather, in this case, 
    the comparison involves home market prices of Korean-produced CTVs to 
    U.S. prices of Mexican-produced CTVs. It is reasonable to presume that 
    prices of Mexican- and Korean-produced CTVs reflect the cost structure 
    of producing CTVs in Mexico and Korea, respectively. While the cost 
    structures of Mexican and Korean CTVs vary, we conclude that in this 
    case, use of the U.S. price for Mexican-produced CTVs is a reasonable 
    surrogate for the U.S. price of Korean-produced CTVs because Samsung's 
    pricing of its Mexican-produced CTVs sold in a competitive market, such 
    as the U.S. market, provides some indication of the price for which 
    Samsung's Korean-produced CTVs would be sold. Moreover, we note that 
    there are no other pricing data available pertaining to Samsung.
        In DRAMS, unlike the instant case, we determined the DRAM industry 
    to be ``highly cyclical in nature with periods of sharp upturn and 
    downturn in market prices.'' See DRAMS at 39810. Due to the position of 
    the United States as the ``world's largest regional market for DRAMs, 
    with considerable potential growth,'' we determined that companies had 
    the economic incentive to ``ride out industry downturns'' in order to 
    maintain market share. See DRAMS at 39819. The fact that DRAM producers 
    had historically been found to have dumped during downturns supported 
    our conclusion. However, in this case, we have determined that the U.S. 
    CTV industry, as described in our discussion of Comment 3 above, is not 
    highly cyclical and does not have ``periods of sharp downturn and 
    upturn in market price.'' Rather, the U.S. CTV industry is a 
    competitive and mature industry, that has reached approximately 98 
    percent household penetration. Samsung's reported U.S. prices and the 
    price data it provided for the overall U.S. CTV industry indicate that 
    this industry is generally stable, exhibiting a historic trend of 
    modest, annual price decreases. See Comment 3 above. Since Samsung 
    received de minimis margins during four consecutive years of price 
    decreases, from April 1985 through March 1988, we determine that it has 
    demonstrated the ability to compete in the U.S. market without LTFMV 
    sales.
        In their analysis, petitioners compared the weighted-average prices 
    Samsung reported, by screen size, for its Korean and U.S. sales. Based 
    on this comparison, petitioners argue that Samsung's Korean prices are 
    higher than its U.S. prices in the large and very large product 
    segments, which indicates that dumping would occur given the resumption 
    of shipments. We disagree with this conclusion. First, we note that 
    comparing weighted-average prices between the Korean and U.S. markets 
    is problematic, as Samsung states, because in the CTV industry the 
    prices of individual models within the same screen size category can 
    vary widely, the model mix within each screen size is different across 
    markets, and the types and quantity of features contained in specific 
    models are significantly different between markets. Since Korean models 
    may contain a larger number of expensive features, this may account, at 
    least in part, for the differences in   prices observed by petitioners 
    for the 25-, 27-, and 31-inch CTVs sold in the two markets. Absent 
    evidence to the contrary on the record of this proceeding, it is not 
    unreasonable that the Korean weighted-average price for a given screen 
    size is higher than the U.S. weighted-average price in that same size. 
    Moreover, the model-to-model comparisons that Samsung conducted, in 
    order to show that the lower U.S. weighted-average prices are accounted 
    for by the differences in features between U.S. and Korean models, 
    showed that after adjusting the initial prices of the Korean and U.S. 
    models for selling expenses, duty drawback, and physical differences, 
    the alleged dumping margins suggested by the models' unadjusted prices 
    were eliminated. See Samsung's letter to the Secretary, dated August 
    22, 1997, at Exhibit A. These comparisons were done for 13 of Samsung's 
    largest selling U.S. models, accounting for approximately 50 percent of 
    its total U.S. sales, and support the conclusion that the petitioners' 
    analysis cannot be relied upon as a basis to determine that Samsung is 
    likely to resume sales at LTFMV.
        In regard to petitioners' allegation of below-cost sales in Korea, 
    we agree with Samsung that in the CTV industry, comparing the weighted-
    average cost of production to the weighted-average home market price on 
    a screen size-specific basis is problematic because prices and costs of 
    production of individual models within the same screen size category 
    can vary widely due to the differences in the types and quantities of 
    features contained in specific models. This reasoning is especially 
    relevant in large and very large screen sizes, which tend to contain 
    more features than smaller CTVs.
        With respect to petitioners' comparison of prices for specific 28- 
    and 32-inch models sold in the U.S. and Korean markets, we agree with 
    Samsung that these comparisons are of limited value because these 
    prices have not been adjusted for taxes, rebates, and other expenses 
    and that some of the models compared to one another contain CPTs of 
    different width/height ratios.
        In addition, during its six years of de minimis margins, Samsung 
    exported substantial quantities of subject merchandise in a varied 
    product mix. See Samsung's submission dated February 13, 1998, at page 
    8. This fact pattern is different from Brass Sheet and Strip, where we 
    denied partial revocation of the order because, among other factors, 
    the respondent had ``severe decreases in shipments of brass sheet and 
    strip to the U.S. since the imposition of the order,'' culminating in 
    the respondent selling at not LTFMV a single model in a single 
    transaction during the eighth administrative review of that order. 
    Additional evidence that Samsung can compete in the U.S. market without 
    LTFMV sales is that Samsung's shipments from Korea occurred while the 
    won was appreciating.
    
    [[Page 46773]]
    
    Comment 8: Third Country Trade Restrictions
        Petitioners state that Samsung's Korean CTV operations are 
    extremely export-oriented and that the United States, due to its open 
    economy, is the likely recipient of these exports. As evidence, 
    petitioners note that the United States duty rate on the majority of 
    imported CTVs is 5 percent, in contrast to the 14 percent external 
    tariff found within the European Union (EU). More importantly, 
    petitioners observe that the EU has placed antidumping duties against 
    Korean and other Southeast Asian CTVs. Specifically, the EU imposed on 
    Samsung antidumping duties of up to 10.5 percent on small CTVs and 13.7 
    percent on all other sizes that are shipped directly from Korea. Thus, 
    petitioners conclude, Samsung faces cumulative ordinary and antidumping 
    duties on exports to Europe of up to 27.7 percent, as compared to an 
    antidumping duty deposit of zero and an ordinary duty rate of 5 percent 
    on exports to the United States.
        Petitioners argue that, contrary to Samsung's assertions, its 
    strategy of localizing production within its major CTV markets around 
    the world may have more to do with gaining access to markets with 
    barriers to CTV imports than with relative advantages in terms of 
    production or shipping costs. Although Samsung claimed in its 
    questionnaire response that it has not faced any barriers to exporting 
    CTVs, petitioners maintain that the recurring pattern of having sales 
    within a third country jump significantly once the local facility began 
    production supports the thesis that market barriers provided the 
    incentive to establish local production. Therefore, petitioners 
    conclude that because Samsung faces significant trade restrictions in 
    third countries, as its localization strategy implicitly acknowledges, 
    it has a strong incentive to ship its excess CTV production to the 
    United States and, in combination with the other factors discussed by 
    petitioners, sell this merchandise at LTFMV in the U.S. market.
        Samsung does not dispute the regular and antidumping duty rates 
    provided by petitioners for the EU and United States. However, Samsung 
    notes that these European duties have been in effect since 1990 and 
    have not compelled Samsung to export CTVs to the United States from 
    Korea during the last eight years. In regard to barriers to trade in 
    third countries, Samsung stated in its questionnaire response that it 
    has not encountered any barriers to trade in third countries that have 
    made it difficult to sell CTVs in those counties. Samsung claims that 
    its localization strategy was adopted in order to reduce costs and meet 
    demand in markets within each localized facility's geographic region.
        Department's Position: Although the topic of third country trade 
    restrictions goes more toward the issue of whether Samsung is likely to 
    resume shipping, rather than dumping, we provide the following 
    discussion in order to address fully all of petitioners' concerns.
        We disagree with petitioners' argument that tariff barriers in 
    major CTV markets will motivate Samsung to export CTVs to the United 
    States from its Korean production facilities and sell such exports at 
    LTFMV. Petitioners observe that Samsung's Korean exports face 
    cumulative ordinary and antidumping duties in Europe of up to 27.7 
    percent, while, if the U.S. antidumping duty order is revoked, such 
    exports are subject to the smaller 5 percent regular tariff in the 
    United States. Therefore, petitioners state that it is reasonable to 
    conclude that a large volume of Samsung's CTV exports from Korea will 
    be shipped to the United States.
        In past cases, we have examined trade restrictions in third country 
    markets in making its determination on the likelihood of the respondent 
    resuming sales at LTFMV. In TVs from Japan, we agreed with the 
    petitioner's argument that since other countries (specifically, the EU) 
    had instituted more restrictive import controls over consumer products, 
    the Japanese producers would increasingly depend on sales in the U.S. 
    market. See TVs from Japan at 35519. However, the issue of whether the 
    Japanese producers had other, substantial CTV markets besides the U.S. 
    and EU was not addressed in the final determination of that case. More 
    recently, we have stated that it is important to examine whether the 
    respondent is ``solely dependent on the U.S. for financial viability'' 
    and if it made significant sales in other third countries when 
    considering revocation. See Steel Wire Rope 1997 at 17174. In the case 
    of Samsung, the facts demonstrate that the company has access to third 
    country markets and, thus, does not rely solely on the U.S. market.
        For example, petitioners' argument that Samsung has an incentive to 
    resume shipments to the United States because it faces high import 
    barriers in the EU, a major CTV market, fails to take into account 
    Samsung's CTV operations in Eastern and Western Europe, which Samsung 
    states serve the CTV markets of these two regions. See Samsung's 
    February 24, 1997, submission at Appendix 1. The existence of these 
    operations limits the importance of EU trade restrictions on Samsung's 
    Korean-produced CTVs in our analysis of whether Samsung is not likely 
    to resume dumping in the U.S. market in the absence of an antidumping 
    duty order.
        In addition, petitioners' argument does not take into account that 
    Samsung's Mexican operations have served the U.S. market since 1991. In 
    the context of the terminated anti-circumvention inquiry, the 
    Department verified Samsung's Mexican CTV production facilities. As the 
    verification report states, the Department found that these facilities 
    include a CTV assembly plant, parts and components plant, CPT plant, a 
    proposed glass plant, and several feeder plants established and 
    operated by unrelated Korean suppliers to Samsung. See the memorandum 
    to the file, dated August 12, 1998, that transmits the November 26, 
    1997, verification report to the record of this review. From these 
    facilities, Samsung produces CTVs ranging from 13 to 31 inches that are 
    sold throughout North, Central, and South America. During the first 
    half of 1997, most of the Mexican-produced CTVs exported to the United 
    States enter the country duty-free under NAFTA tariff preference 
    provisions. Using the same logic employed by petitioners, that Samsung 
    will export CTVs to the market with the lowest tariff barriers, we can 
    only conclude that Samsung will continue to service the U.S. market 
    from Mexico because CTVs produced in Mexico can enter the U.S. duty-
    free under NAFTA, provided they meet NAFTA rules of origin. In addition 
    to its Korean and Mexican facilities, Samsung also has CTV production 
    operations in West Europe, East Europe, East Asia, and South East Asia. 
    See Samsung's February 24, 1997, questionnaire response at Appendix 1. 
    Because Samsung has access to these markets based upon its localization 
    process, the third country restrictions to trade are not significant in 
    this case.
    Comment 9: New Technologies--High-Definition Television
        Petitioners contend that although this changed circumstances review 
    should not be used as a surrogate scope inquiry, high-definition 
    television (HDTV) and other new technologies, are within the scope of 
    this order and the development of such technology should be factored 
    into the Department's revocation analysis. Specifically, petitioners 
    state that HDTV will be capable of producing a video image and 
    receiving a television
    
    [[Page 46774]]
    
    signal, and that these features in and of themselves are sufficient to 
    satisfy the scope requirements. In regard to Samsung's claim that HDTVs 
    will include other features or be used for purposes other than 
    receiving a broadcast signal, petitioners state that these claims were 
    not dispositive in the Final Affirmative Scope Ruling--Antidumping Duty 
    Order on Color Television Receivers from Taiwan (A-583-009); Coach 
    Master International Corporation, 63 FR 805 (January 7, 1998), and 
    should not be so here. Furthermore, petitioners assert that the 
    Department has consistently found that new technologies, such as liquid 
    crystal diode TVs, are included within the scope of the CTV order. See, 
    e.g., Television Receiving Sets, Monochrome and Color, from Japan, 56 
    FR 66841 (December 26, 1991). Petitioners maintain that in these cases, 
    uncertainties about the future marketing, prices, or demands have never 
    been dispositive factors in deciding whether these new technologies are 
    within the scope of the order.
        Petitioners claim that Samsung has consistently denied throughout 
    the course of this segment of the proceeding that it would be producing 
    HDTVs, or any other new television technology, in Korea. As evidence 
    for their assertion, petitioners cite excerpts from Samsung's 
    questionnaire response and subsequent submissions where Samsung 
    characterized its current state of HDTV development as still in the 
    research and development stage, where mass production was not in the 
    foreseeable future. In actuality, petitioners argue, Samsung has 
    invested millions of dollars into developing this technology and has 
    reached the point where mass production of HDTVs is scheduled to begin 
    during the second half of 1998. In support of its argument, petitioners 
    note that Samsung displayed a fully functional HDTV unit at the January 
    1998 consumer electronics show in Las Vegas, Nevada. Petitioners 
    explain that the promotional literature Samsung distributed during the 
    trade show described the new, proprietary digital television chipset 
    architecture Samsung developed and discussed the long list of features 
    the HDTV model will contain.
        Petitioners also claim that Samsung's argument that HDTV production 
    will not occur for many years away due to, in part, the long schedule 
    for transition to digital broadcasting is suspect because Samsung, in 
    its own promotional literature, includes the Federal Communications 
    Commission's transition schedule, which states that by May 1999, 20 
    percent of the U.S. population will be able to receive digital signals 
    and, by November 2000, digital signal broadcasts will cover 50 percent 
    of the U.S. population. Petitioners maintain that these numbers 
    indicate that in just over two years, half of the U.S. television 
    market will be receiving digital signals and potentially be ready to 
    purchase a digital receiver.
        According to petitioners, the first type of HDTVs sold in the 
    United States will be projection-style CTVs. Petitioners assert that 
    because Samsung does not produce projection-style CTVs in Mexico, it 
    does not currently have the capacity to assemble projection-style HDTVs 
    in Mexico. However, since Samsung sells and presumably produces the 
    projection-style CTVs in Korea, combined with the fact that Korea has 
    recently adopted the advanced television systems committee (ATSC) 
    standard for digital broadcast, petitioners conclude that Samsung has 
    the ability and motivation to produce projection-style HDTVs in Korea 
    for sale in the Korean market and export to the United States.
        Petitioners also argue that HDTVs are likely to be sold in the 
    United States at less than normal value. Petitioners base this 
    allegation on an estimate by Thomson Consumer Electronics (Thomson) 
    that the cost of manufacture for a projection-style HDTV will be a 
    large multiple of the cost of manufacture for a 31-inch CTV. Starting 
    with Samsung's 1996 cost of production for a 31-inch conventional CTV, 
    petitioners convert this cost to U.S. dollars using the January 1998 
    exchange rate, and then inflate this amount by a large multiple to 
    arrive at an estimate of Samsung's cost of production for a HDTV. Using 
    Samsung's 1996 financial statement, petitioners calculate amounts for 
    SG&A expenses, interest expenses, and profit. These amounts are added 
    to their estimated cost of production to produce a final CV for HDTV. 
    Petitioners then take Samsung's estimated retail U.S. price range for 
    HDTVs and reduce it by a certain percentage to adjust for retail 
    markup. Petitioners claim that without making further adjustments to 
    the U.S. price to account for freight and other movement expenses 
    involved in transporting the HDTVs from Korea to the United States, a 
    CV-to-price comparison indicates that Samsung would be dumping its 
    HDTVs in the United States.
        Samsung argues that HDTV will be outside the scope of the order on 
    Korean CTVs because this new technology does not meet the four criteria 
    for determining whether ``later-developed-merchandise'' is within the 
    scope of an outstanding order. First, with respect to physical 
    characteristics, Samsung notes that HDTVs use a digital signal 
    technology, while conventional CTVs use non-compatible analog 
    technology. HDTV will have a 16:9 width/height ratio compared to a 4:3 
    ratio for a conventional CTV. HDTV will have advanced hardware and 
    software that allows it to display roughly twice the resolution of a 
    conventional CTV. Additionally, HDTV will have the ability for 
    interactive use and receipt of data services. Second, Samsung claims 
    that due to the better picture and sound quality, along with the data 
    service capability, the expectations of an ultimate purchaser of a HDTV 
    will be vastly different from those of a purchaser of a conventional 
    CTV. Third, with respect to the ultimate use of HDTV, Samsung contends 
    that it will differ significantly from a conventional CTV precisely 
    because of the interactive function and the ability to receive data 
    transmission, such as stock pricing, home shopping information, and 
    electronic newspapers. Fourth, Samsung states that it is highly 
    unlikely that it will sell HDTVs through the same channels of 
    distribution as it sells conventional CTVs. Since HDTVs will have a 
    price of over $5,000, Samsung will have to sell HDTVs through dealers 
    which specialize in high-tech and luxury products, rather than its 
    current distribution channel of companies selling more affordable 
    products, such as Circuit City, Best Buy, Sears, and Wal-Mart. For 
    these reasons, Samsung concludes, HDTVs will not be within the scope of 
    the order on Korean CTVs and, therefore, the development of such 
    technology should not be considered a factor in the Department's 
    revocation analysis.
        Samsung states that HDTV is a very new and complicated technology, 
    and it will take many years for CTV producers to develop the ability to 
    mass produce HDTV sets. As support, Samsung cites several press 
    articles that indicate the HDTV market will be characterized by 
    prohibitively high prices, low sales volume, and slow market 
    penetration. For these reasons, Samsung states that it does not intend 
    to produce HDTV in commercial quantities in the reasonably foreseeable 
    future.
        More specifically, Samsung states that commercial production cannot 
    begin until it completes all three stages of research and development. 
    Samsung states that it has completed only the first stage, development 
    of a prototype, as evidenced by the functional unit displayed at the 
    January 1998 consumer electronics trade show. Samsung claims that the 
    second and third stages, respectively the development
    
    [[Page 46775]]
    
    verification test and the manufacturing verification test, have yet to 
    begin. However, Samsung contends that these stages cannot begin until 
    the ATSC approves the software standards for HDTV. Samsung claims that 
    this approval is not expected until September 1998.
        Samsung contends that in addition to the technical reasons 
    preventing immediate commercial production, such production is not 
    feasible until broadcasters have converted to digital signals. 
    According to the regulations governing this transition, conversion to 
    digital broadcasting in the United States is not scheduled for 
    completion until the year 2002, at the earliest. Until the transition 
    is completed, Samsung argues, the market in the United States will not 
    be large enough to justify commercial production of HDTVs. Therefore, 
    due to the technical restrictions and the long transition schedule, 
    Samsung concludes that commercial production of HDTV in the United 
    States is at least four years away.
        Samsung next argues that when commercial production begins, it will 
    occur in Mexico, rather than in Korea, because it makes economic sense 
    to do so. Samsung claims that it will be more expensive to produce 
    HDTVs in Korea, rather than Mexico, for the following reasons: (1) 
    Samsung would have to pay freight costs on many of the components used 
    in its HDTV design because most of the major components are 
    manufactured in the United States and Japan, (2) shipping, 
    transportation, and inventory charges would be higher due to the large 
    size of rear-projection sets, and (3) Samsung would have to pay the 
    regular 5 percent duty on finished CTVs if HDTV is ultimately 
    determined to be within the scope of the CTV order. Samsung concludes 
    that most of these expenses would be avoided if Samsung produced the 
    HDTV units in Mexico. Lastly, Samsung contends that there is no 
    material difference in the nature of the assembly facilities in Mexico 
    and Korea, as the Department verified in the context of the terminated 
    anti-circumvention inquiry. Samsung claims that in both facilities new 
    HDTV production lines will need to be constructed and petitioners have 
    not provided evidence to the contrary. Although petitioners argue that 
    Samsung's existing production capacity in Korea for rear-projection 
    convention CTVs offers an economic advantage to locating production of 
    rear-projection HDTVs in Korea, Samsung states that petitioners have 
    provided no evidence to substantiate their claim. Samsung states that 
    petitioners have excellent information sources within the CTV industry 
    and could have provided factual information concerning the 
    characteristics or cost of an HDTV production line or the ability of a 
    producer to utilize and/or convert an existing conventional rear-
    projection CTVs production line to produce HDTVs. According to Samsung, 
    the fact that petitioners did not provide such evidence indicates that 
    there is no credible reason why Samsung cannot produce HDTVs in Mexico.
        Samsung argues that petitioners' estimate of the likelihood of 
    Samsung dumping HDTVs in the United States is based on wholly 
    unsubstantiated allegations concerning Samsung's price and cost 
    structure, which has yet to be established because Samsung has not 
    started to sell or commercially produce HDTVs. Specifically, Samsung 
    states that petitioners have no concrete basis for their HDTV cost 
    allegation, but instead must rely on a cost estimate certified by 
    Thomson. Furthermore, Samsung states that petitioners' claim that 
    Thomson's cost of manufacture of a projection-style HDTV is a large 
    multiple of the cost of a 31-inch CTV, is inherently unreliable given 
    the enormous technical differences between analog CTV and HDTV. Lastly, 
    Samsung argues that petitioners' effort to adjust the expected U.S. 
    retail price for HDTVs to the wholesale level by adjusting for a 
    ``typical retail mark-up'' is problematic given that no retail or 
    wholesale sales have been made by any producer.
        Department's Position: This discussion should not be viewed as a 
    surrogate scope inquiry. In an official scope inquiry, parties 
    typically place on the record very technical data, including product 
    specifications, of a product that has actually been produced and sold 
    in the United States. There is no such data on the record in this 
    segment of the proceeding. However, based on the presumption that the 
    scope covers all CTVs unless expressly excluded, the Department will 
    consider, as we did in TVs from Japan, the development of new 
    technology in our analysis of whether it is not likely that Samsung 
    would renew dumping. See TVs from Japan at 35519.
        Although we agree with petitioners that HDTV is presumed to be 
    subject merchandise within the scope of the order for purposes of this 
    changed circumstances review, we cannot reasonably conclude, based on 
    the record evidence, that Samsung is likely to sell HDTV at LTFMV, even 
    if Samsung were to produce such merchandise in Korea. The fact that an 
    industry is developing new technologies is not, by itself, a sufficient 
    argument on which to base a claim that these new technologies are 
    likely to be dumped. There must be credible evidence to indicate not 
    only that these new technologies are soon to be introduced into the 
    U.S. market, but also that such merchandise is likely to be sold at 
    LTFMV. In TVs from Japan, we found that new technological trends in the 
    television industry, such as LCD TVs, were likely to be developed and 
    produced in Japan and that ``the incentive to sell such products at 
    LTFMV will depend on competitive market pressures.'' See TVs from Japan 
    at 35519. Furthermore, we stated that ``given the number of companies 
    currently pursuing new technologies and the high production costs in 
    Japan combined with the high value of the yen,'' we could not conclude 
    that there was no likelihood of selling new products at LTFMV in the 
    future. Id. at 35519. The Department found that the evidence on the 
    record of that case indicated that new technologies were to be produced 
    in the home market (Japan), the home market currency (the yen) was 
    appreciating, home market production costs were high, and that 
    competition would be strong given the number of companies pursuing such 
    technology. Based on the totality of the circumstances in that case, 
    the Department could not conclude that the respondents (Sanyo and 
    Hitachi) were not likely to sell the new products at LTFMV in the 
    future.
        In this case, the petitioners' arguments with respect to sales of 
    HDTV being sold at LTFMV are not persuasive. First, HDTV technology has 
    been under development for more than 10 years and has yet to become 
    commercially viable. Second, the fact that petitioners' estimate of 
    Samsung's cost of production for HDTV is based on the cost of 
    production for an 31-inch analog CTV, which is technically very 
    different from HDTV, is problematic because it is highly speculative of 
    the real costs of HDTVs. Samsung has not produced or sold commercial 
    quantities of HDTV. Moreover, the estimates provided by petitioners 
    cannot reasonably be relied upon because petitioners have not 
    demonstrated any cost relation between 31-inch analog CTVs and HDTV, 
    nor have they explained the derivation or calculation of the large 
    multiple used in their analysis. Absent some reasonable explanation, 
    the Department cannot rely on those highly speculative estimates as a 
    valid indicator of the cost of production for HDTV.
        Although in past cases we have found that new technology is 
    developed in the home market (i.e., TVs from Japan), we
    
    [[Page 46776]]
    
    cannot reach the same conclusion in this case. Specifically, we note 
    that the bill of materials Samsung provided for its HDTV prototype 
    revealed that none of the four major components (i.e., the chipset, 
    CPT, lens, and screen panel) were produced in Korea. In light of the 
    won's depreciation, the cost of importing these components has risen 
    and may be a disincentive to Samsung in keeping HDTV production in 
    Korea. Therefore, based on the evidence on the record, we cannot 
    conclude that HDTVs, once fully developed by Samsung, will be produced 
    in Korea or dumped in the United States.
    
    Affirmative Final Determination of Changed Circumstances
    
        Based on the foregoing analysis, we determine, pursuant to Section 
    353.25(d) of the Department's regulations, that changed circumstances 
    warrant partially revoking the antidumping duty order on CTVs from 
    Korea with respect to merchandise exported by Samsung that is also 
    manufactured by Samsung. Pursuant to our final results, we will 
    instruct the U.S. Customs Service (Customs) to end the suspension of 
    liquidation of merchandise subject to the order on CTVs from Korea, as 
    it applies to Samsung, on or after the publication date of this notice 
    of final determination, and to refund any estimated antidumping duties 
    collected, for all unliquidated entries of such merchandise made on or 
    after the publication date of this notice of final determination. We 
    will also instruct Customs to pay interest on such refunds in 
    accordance with Section 778 of the Act.
        This final affirmative changed circumstances determination is in 
    accordance with Section 751(b) of the Act and 19 C.F.R. 353.22(f).
    
        Dated: August 26, 1998.
    Joseph A. Spetrini,
    Acting Assistant Secretary for Import Administration.
    [FR Doc. 98-23669 Filed 9-1-98; 8:45 am]
    BILLING CODE 3510-DS-P
    
    
    

Document Information

Effective Date:
9/2/1998
Published:
09/02/1998
Department:
International Trade Administration
Entry Type:
Notice
Action:
Notice of affirmative final determination of changed circumstances antidumping duty review and revocation of order in part.
Document Number:
98-23669
Dates:
September 2, 1998.
Pages:
46759-46776 (18 pages)
Docket Numbers:
A-580-008
PDF File:
98-23669.pdf