§ 215.971-2 - Performance risk.  


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  • (a) Description. This profit factor addresses the contractor's degree of risk in fulfilling the contract requirements. The factor consists of three parts—

    (1) Technical—the technical uncertainties of performance.

    (2) Management—the degree of management effort necessary to ensure that contract requirements are met.

    (3) Cost control—the contractor's efforts to reduce and control costs.

    (b) Determination. The following extract from the DD Form 1547 is annotated to describe the process.

    ItemContractor Risk FactorsAssigned WeightingAssigned ValueBase (Item 18)Profit Objective21 Technical (1) (2) N/A N/A22 Management (1) (2) N/A N/A23 Cost Control (1) (2) N/A N/A24 Performance Risk (Composite) N/A (3) (4) (5)

    (1) Assign a weight (percentage) to each element according to its input to the total performance risk. The total of the three weights equals 100%.

    (2) Select a value for each element from the list in paragraph (c) of this subsection using the evaluation criteria in paragraphs (d), (e), and (f) of this subsection.

    (3) Compute the composite as shown in the following example—

    Assigned—Assigned weighting (percent)Assigned value (percent)Weighted value (percent)Technical 30 5.0 1.5Management 30 4.0 1.2Cost Control 40 4.5 1.8Composite Value 100 4.5

    (4) Insert the amount from Block 18 of the DD Form 1547. Block 18 is total contract costs, excluding general and administrative expenses, contractor independent research and development/bid and proposal expenses, and facilities capital cost of money.

    (5) Multiply (3) by (4).

    (c) Values: Normal and designated ranges.

    Standard AlternateNormal value (percent)Designated range (percent)Standard 4 2 to 6.Alternate 6 4 to 8

    (1) Standard. The standard designated range should apply to most contracts.

    (2) Alternate. Contracting officers may use the alternate designated range for research and development and service contractors when these contractors require relatively low capital investment in buildings and equipment when compared to the defense industry overall. If the alternate designated range is used, do not give any profit for facilities capital employed (see 215.971-4(c)(3)).

    (d) Evaluation criteria for technical. (1) Review the contract requirements and focus on the critical performance elements in the statement of work or specifications. Factors to consider include—

    (i) Technology being applied or developed by the contractor;

    (ii) Technical complexity;

    (iii) Program maturity;

    (iv) Performance specifications and tolerances;

    (v) Delivery schedule; and

    (vi) Extent of a warranty or guarantee.

    (2) Above normal conditions. (i) The contracting officer may assign a higher than normal value in those cases where there is a substantial technical risk. Indicators are—

    (A) The contractor is either developing or applying advanced technologies;

    (B) Items are being manufactured using specifications with stringent tolerance limits;

    (C) The efforts require highly skilled personnel or require the use of state of the art machinery;

    (D) The services and analytical efforts are extremely important to the Government and must be performed to exacting standards;

    (E) The contractor's independent development and investment has reduced the Government's risk or cost;

    (F) The contractor has accepted an accelerated delivery schedule to meet DoD requirements; or

    (G) The contractor has assumed additional risk through warranty provisions.

    (ii) Extremely complex, vital efforts to overcome difficult technical obstacles which require personnel with exceptional abilities, experience, and professional credentials may justify a value significantly above normal.

    (iii) The following may justify a maximum value—

    (A) Development or initial production of a new item, particularly if performance or quality specifications are tight; or

    (B) A high degree of development or production concurrency.

    (3) Below normal conditions.

    (i) The contracting officer may assign a lower than normal value in those cases where the technical risk is low. Indicators are—

    (A) Acquisition is for off-the-shelf items;

    (B) Requirements are relatively simple;

    (C) Technology is not complex;

    (D) Efforts do not require highly skilled personnel;

    (E) Efforts are routine;

    (F) Programs are mature; or

    (G) Acquisition is a follow-on effort or a repetitive type acquisition.

    (ii) The contracting officer may assign a value significantly below normal for—

    (A) Routine services;

    (B) Production of simple items;

    (C) Rote entry or routine integration of Government furnished information; or

    (D) Simple operations with Government-furnished property.

    (e) Evaluation criteria for management. (1) The contracting officer should—

    (i) Assess the contractor's management and internal control systems using contracting office information and reviews made by field contract administration offices or other DoD field offices;

    (ii) Assess the management involvement expected on the prospective contract action;

    (iii) Consider the degree of cost mix as an indication of the types of resources applied and value-added by the contractor; and

    (iv) Consider the contractor's support of Federal socioeconomic programs.

    (2) Above normal conditions. (i) The contracting officer may assign a higher than normal value when the management effort is intense. Indicators of this are—

    (A) The contractor's value-added is both considerable and reasonably difficult;

    (B) The effort involves a high degree of integration or coordination; or

    (C) The contractor has a substantial record of active participation in Federal socioeconomic programs.

    (ii) The contracting officer may justify a maximum value when the effort—

    (A) Requires large scale integration of the most complex nature;

    (B) Involves major international activities with significant management coordination (e.g., offsets with foreign vendors); or

    (C) Has critically important milestones.

    (3) Below normal conditions. (i) The contracting officer may assign a lower than normal value when the management effort is minimal. Indicators of this are—

    (A) The program is mature and many end item deliveries have been made;

    (B) The contractor adds minimum value to an item;

    (C) The efforts are routine and require minimal supervision;

    (D) The contractor provides poor quality, untimely proposals;

    (E) The contractor fails to provide an adequate analysis of subcontractor costs; or

    (F) The contractor does not cooperate in the evaluation and negotiation of the proposal.

    (ii) The following may justify a value significantly below normal—

    (A) Reviews performed by the field contract administration offices disclose unsatisfactory management and internal control systems (e.g., quality assurance, property control, safety, security); or

    (B) The effort requires an unusually low degree of management involvement.

    (f) Evaluation criteria for cost control. (1) The contracting officer should evaluate—

    (i) The expected reliability of the contractor's cost estimates (including the contractor's cost estimating system);

    (ii) The contractor's cost reduction initiatives (e.g., competition advocacy programs, dual sourcing, spare parts pricing reform, value engineering);

    (iii) The adequacy of the contractor's management approach to controlling cost and schedule; and

    (iv) Any other factors which affect the contractor's ability to meet the cost targets, e.g., foreign currency exchange rates and inflation rates.

    (2) Above normal conditions. The contracting officer may assign a higher than normal value if the contractor can demonstrate a highly effective cost control program. Indicators of this are—

    (i) The contractor provides fully documented and reliable cost estimates;

    (ii) The contractor has an aggressive cost reduction program that has demonstrable benefits;

    (iii) The contractor uses a high degree of subcontract competition (e.g., aggressive dual sourcing); or

    (iv) The contractor has a proven record of cost tracking and control.

    (3) Below normal conditions. The contracting officer may assign a lower than normal value if the contractor demonstrates minimal concern for cost control. Indicators are—

    (i) The contractor's cost estimating system is marginal;

    (ii) The contractor has made minimal effort to initiate cost reduction programs;

    (iii) The contractor's cost proposal is inadequate;

    (iv) The contractor has a record of cost overruns or other indication of unreliable cost estimates and lack of cost control.